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A novel class of non-reversible Markov chain Monte Carlo schemes relying on continuous-time piecewise-deterministic Markov Processes has recently emerged. In these algorithms, the state of the Markov process evolves according to a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-16 Paul Vanetti , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

Proposed here is a dynamic Monte-Carlo algorithm that is efficient in simulating dense systems of long flexible chain molecules. It expands on the configurational-bias Monte-Carlo method through the simultaneous generation of a large set of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-08-29 Niels Boon

In this work, we consider systems that are subjected to intermittent instabilities due to external stochastic excitation. These intermittent instabilities, though rare, have a large impact on the probabilistic response of the system and…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-06-02 Mustafa A. Mohamad , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

The paper presents a computational stochastic model of virtual cells irradiation, based on Quasi-Markov Chain Monte Carlo method and using biophysical input. The model is based on a stochastic tree of probabilities for each cell of the…

Biological Physics · Physics 2014-12-23 Krzysztof Wojciech Fornalski

We consider the problem of inferring the unknown parameters of a stochastic biochemical network model from a single measured time-course of the concentration of some of the involved species. Such measurements are available, e.g., from…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2011-11-22 Christian L. Muller , Rajesh Ramaswamy , Ivo F. Sbalzarini

Intrinsic noise, the stochastic cell-to-cell fluctuations in mRNAs and proteins, has been observed and proved to play important roles in cellular systems. Due to the recent development in single-cell-level measurement technology, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-15 Chao Du , Wing Hong Wong

Gene expression is significantly stochastic making modeling of genetic networks challenging. We present an approximation that allows the calculation of not only the mean and variance but also the distribution of protein numbers. We assume…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2008-12-18 Vahid Shahrezaei , Peter S. Swain

Population structure can have a significant effect on evolution. For some systems with sufficient symmetry, analytic results can be derived within the mathematical framework of evolutionary graph theory which relate to the outcome of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-03-11 Christopher E. Overton , Mark Broom , Christoforos Hadjichrysanthou , Kieran J. Sharkey

We develop new unbiased estimators of a number of quantities defined for functions of conditional moments, like conditional expectations and variances, of functions of two independent random variables given the first variable, including…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-03 Tomasz Badowski

Biochemical reaction networks frequently consist of species evolving on multiple timescales. Stochastic simulations of such networks are often computationally challenging and therefore various methods have been developed to obtain sensible…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-20 Jae Kyoung Kim , Grzegorz A. Rempala , Hye-Won Kang

Master equations are common descriptions of mesoscopic systems. Analytical solutions to these equations can rarely be obtained. We here derive an analytical approximation of the time-dependent probability distribution of the master equation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-10-05 Philipp Thomas , Ramon Grima

In an experimental study of single enzyme reactions, it has been proposed that the rate constants of the enzymatic reactions fluctuate randomly, according to a given distribution. To quantify the uncertainty arising from random rate…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2012-02-07 Chia Ying Lee

After collecting data from observations or experiments, the next step is to build an appropriate mathematical or stochastic model to describe the data so that further studies can be done with the help of the models. In this article, the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-07-19 A. M. Mathai , H. J. Haubold

A general class of stochastic gene expression models with self regulation is considered. One or more genes randomly switch between regulatory states, each having a different mRNA transcription rate. The gene or genes are self regulating…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2014-12-30 Jay Newby

We introduce a counting process to model the random occurrence in time of car traffic accidents, taking into account some aspects of the self-excitation typical of this phenomenon. By combining methods from probability and differential…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-05-19 Simone Göttlich , Thomas Schillinger , Andrea Tosin

Stochastic processes generated by non-stationary distributions are difficult to represent with conventional models such as Gaussian processes. This work presents Recurrent Autoregressive Flows as a method toward general stochastic process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-20 John Mern , Peter Morales , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

We propose a probabilistic framework for developing computational models of biological neural systems. In this framework, physiological recordings are viewed as discrete-time partial observations of an underlying continuous-time stochastic…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-10 Ahmed ElGazzar , Marcel van Gerven

We introduce a rigorous framework for stochastic cell transmission models for general traffic networks. The performance of traffic systems is evaluated based on preference functionals and acceptable designs. The numerical implementation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-25 Zachary Feinstein , Marcel Kleiber , Stefan Weber

The seemingly stochastic transient dynamics of neocortical circuits observed in vivo have been hypothesized to represent a signature of ongoing stochastic inference. In vitro neurons, on the other hand, exhibit a highly deterministic…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2017-03-14 Mihai A. Petrovici , Johannes Bill , Ilja Bytschok , Johannes Schemmel , Karlheinz Meier

We consider particles that are conditioned to initial and final states. The trajectory of these particles is uniquely shaped by the intricate interplay of internal and external sources of randomness. The internal randomness is aptly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-13 Daniel Owusu Adu , Yongxin Chen