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Consider a subcritical branching Markov chain. Let $Z_n$ denote the counting measure of particles of generation $n$. Under some conditions, we give a probabilistic proof for the existence of the Yaglom limit of $(Z_n)_{n\in\mathbb{N}}$ by…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-17 Wenming Hong , Dan Yao

We study the problem of clustering $T$ trajectories of length $H$, each generated by one of K unknown ergodic Markov chains over a finite state space of size $S$. We derive an instance-dependent, high-probability lower bound on the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-18 Junghyun Lee , Yassir Jedra , Alexandre Proutière , Se-Young Yun

We introduce the exit time finite state projection (ETFSP) scheme, a truncation-based method that yields approximations to the exit distribution and occupation measure associated with the time of exit from a domain (i.e., the time of first…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-31 Juan Kuntz , Philipp Thomas , Guy-Bart Stan , Mauricio Barahona

The mixer chain on a graph G is the following Markov chain. Place tiles on the vertices of G, each tile labeled by its corresponding vertex. A "mixer" moves randomly on the graph, at each step either moving to a randomly chosen neighbor, or…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-13 Ariel Yadin

In an influential paper, Courtois and Semal (1984) establish that when $G$ is an irreducible substochastic matrix for which $\sum_{n=0}^{\infty}G^n <\infty$, then the stationary distribution of any stochastic matrix $P\ge G$ can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-09 Zeyu Zheng , Alex Infanger , Peter W. Glynn

The planar symmetric Markov random flight $\bold X(t), \; t>0,$ is represented by the stochastic motion of a particle moving with constant finite speed $c>0$ in the Euclidean plane $\Bbb R^2$ and taking on its initial and each new…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-11 Alexander D. Kolesnik

Let $P$ be a Markov kernel on a measurable space $\X$ and let $V:\X\r[1,+\infty)$. This paper provides explicit connections between the $V$-geometric ergodicity of $P$ and that of finite-rank nonnegative sub-Markov kernels $\Pc_k$…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-24 Loïc Hervé , James Ledoux

A lumping of a Markov chain is a coordinate-wise projection of the chain. We characterise the entropy rate preservation of a lumping of an aperiodic and irreducible Markov chain on a finite state space by the random growth rate of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-04-21 Bernhard C. Geiger , Christoph Temmel

Inspired by \citet{Berkes14} and \citet{Wu07}, we prove an almost sure invariance principle for stationary $\beta-$mixing stochastic processes defined on Hilbert space. Our result can be applied to Markov chain satisfying Meyn-Tweedie type…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-21 Jianya Lu , Wei Biao Wu , Zhijie Xiao , Lihu Xu

In this paper we extend the results of the research started by the first author, in which Karlin-McGregor diagonalization of certain reversible Markov chains over countably infinite general state spaces by orthogonal polynomials was used to…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2012-02-15 Yevgeniy Kovchegov , Nicholas Michalowski

We investigate the mixing properties of a model of reversible Markov chains in random environment, which notably contains the simple random walk on the superposition of a deterministic graph and a second graph whose vertex set has been…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Bastien Dubail

Let $(X_n)_{n=0}^\infty$ denote a Markov chain on a Polish space that has a stationary distribution $\varpi$. This article concerns upper bounds on the Wasserstein distance between the distribution of $X_n$ and $\varpi$. In particular, an…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-16 Qian Qin , James P. Hobert

We establish a simple variance inequality for U-statistics whose underlying sequence of random variables is an ergodic Markov Chain. The constants in this inequality are explicit and depend on computable bounds on the mixing rate of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-05 Gersende Fort , Eric Moulines , Pierre Priouret , Pierre Vandekerkhove

Let $G$ be a real connected algebraic semi-simple Lie group, and $H$ an algebraic subgroup of $G$. Let $\mu$ be a probability measure on $G$, with finite exponential moment, whose support spans a Zariski-dense subsemigroup of $G$. Let…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-07-20 Caroline Bruère

The spectral gap $\gamma$ of an ergodic and reversible Markov chain is an important parameter measuring the asymptotic rate of convergence. In applications, the transition matrix $P$ may be unknown, yet one sample of the chain up to a fixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-19 David A. Levin , Yuval Peres

We exhibit an efficient procedure for testing, based on a single long state sequence, whether an unknown Markov chain is identical to or $\varepsilon$-far from a given reference chain. We obtain nearly matching (up to logarithmic factors)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-26 Geoffrey Wolfer , Aryeh Kontorovich

The recurrence features of persistent random walks built from variable length Markov chains are investigated. We observe that these stochastic processes can be seen as L{\'e}vy walks for which the persistence times depend on some internal…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-11 Peggy Cénac , Basile De Loynes , Yoann Offret , Arnaud Rousselle

Let $X$ be the constrained random walk on ${\mathbb Z}_+^2$ having increments $(1,0)$, $(-1,1)$, $(0,-1)$ with jump probabilities $\lambda(M_k)$, $\mu_1(M_k)$, and $\mu_2(M_k)$ where $M$ is an irreducible aperiodic finite state Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Fatma Başoğlu Kabran , Ali Devin Sezer

Let $Y$ be an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck diffusion governed by an ergodic finite state Markov process $X$: $dY_t=-\lambda(X_t)Y_tdt+\sigma(X_t)dB_t$, $Y_0$ given. Under ergodicity condition, we get quantitative estimates for the long time behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-17 Jean-Baptiste Bardet , Hélène Guerin , Florent Malrieu

Let $\{W_t\}_{t=1}^{\infty}$ be a finite state stationary Markov chain, and suppose that $f$ is a real-valued function on the state space. If $f$ is bounded, then Gillman's expander Chernoff bound (1993) provides concentration estimates for…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-19 Assaf Naor , Shravas Rao , Oded Regev
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