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We reconcile rough volatility models and jump models using a class of reversionary Heston models with fast mean reversions and large vol-of-vols. Starting from hyper-rough Heston models with a Hurst index $H \in (-1/2,1/2)$, we derive a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-13 Eduardo Abi Jaber , Nathan De Carvalho

In the Cont-Bouchaud model [cond-mat/9712318] of stock markets, percolation clusters act as buying or selling investors and their statistics controls that of the price variations. Rather than fixing the concentration controlling each…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Dietrich Stauffer , D. Sornette

Parametric estimation of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) has been a subject of intense studies already for several decades. The Heston model for instance is driven by two coupled SDEs and is often used in financial mathematics for…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-29 Jarosław Gruszka , Janusz Szwabiński

We give a stochastic microscopic modelling of stock markets driven by continuous double auction. If we take into account the mimetic behavior of traders, when they place limit order, our virtual markets shows the power-law tail of the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Jun-ichi Maskawa

In this paper the diffusion entropy technique is applied to investigate the scaling behavior of financial markets. The scaling behaviors of four representative stock markets, Dow Jones Industrial Average, Standard&Poor 500, Heng Seng Index,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Shi-Min Cai , Pei-Ling Zhou , Hui-Jie Yang , Chun-Xia Yang , Bing-Hong Wang , Tao Zhou

We present a simple model of a stock market where a random communication structure between agents gives rise to a heavy tails in the distribution of stock price variations in the form of an exponentially truncated power-law, similar to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-01-14 Rama Cont , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

The effect of stochasticity, in the form of Gaussian white noise, in a predator-prey model with two distinct time-scales is presented. A supercritical singular Hopf bifurcation yields a Type II excitability in the deterministic model. We…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-07-20 Susmita Sadhu

We show that the moments of the distribution of historic stock returns are in excellent agreement with the Heston model and not with the multiplicative model, which predicts power-law tails of volatility and stock returns. We also show that…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-01 Zhiyuan Liu , M. Dashti Moghaddam , R. A. Serota

Since its introduction, some sixty years ago, the Montroll-Weiss continuous time random walk has found numerous applications due its ease of use and ability to describe both regular and anomalous diffusion. Yet, despite its broad…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-09-14 Maxence Arutkin , Shlomi Reuveni

Refining previously known estimates, we give large-strike asymptotics for the implied volatility of Merton's and Kou's jump diffusion models. They are deduced from call price approximations by transfer results of Gao and Lee. For the Merton…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-10 Stefan Gerhold , Johannes F. Morgenbesser , Axel Zrunek

This paper concerns a local volatility model in which volatility takes two possible values, and the specific value depends on whether the underlying price is above or below a given threshold value. The model is known, and a number of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-17 Alexander Gairat , Vadim Shcherbakov

We compare the probability distribution of returns for the three major stock-market indexes (Nasdaq, S&P500, and Dow-Jones) with an analytical formula recently derived by Dragulescu and Yakovenko for the Heston model with stochastic…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Christian Silva , Victor M. Yakovenko

Based on the new type of random walk process called the Potentials of Unbalanced Complex Kinetics (PUCK) model, we theoretically show that the price diffusion in large scales is amplified 2/(2 + b) times, where b is the coefficient of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Takayuki Mizuno , Hideki Takayasu , Misako Takayasu

Dynamic jumps in the price and volatility of an asset are modelled using a joint Hawkes process in conjunction with a bivariate jump diffusion. A state space representation is used to link observed returns, plus nonparametric measures of…

Applications · Statistics 2016-03-10 Worapree Maneesoonthorn , Catherine S. Forbes , Gael M. Martin

In the classical model of stock prices which is assumed to be Geometric Brownian motion, the drift and the volatility of the prices are held constant. However, in reality, the volatility does vary. In quantitative finance, the Heston model…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-21 Arunangshu Biswas , Anindya Goswami , Ludger Overbeck

We provide a general probabilistic framework within which we establish scaling limits for a class of continuous-time stochastic volatility models with self-exciting jump dynamics. In the scaling limit, the joint dynamics of asset returns…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-02 Ulrich Horst , Wei Xu

The paper proposes a class of financial market models which are based on inhomogeneous telegraph processes and jump diffusions with alternating volatilities. It is assumed that the jumps occur when the tendencies and volatilities are…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-04 Nikita Ratanov

We study the statistical properties of volatility---a measure of how much the market is likely to fluctuate. We estimate the volatility by the local average of the absolute price changes. We analyze (a) the S&P 500 stock index for the…

We investigate the distribution of relative velocities between small heavy particles of different sizes in turbulence by analysing a statistical model for bidisperse turbulent suspensions, containing particles with two different Stokes…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2017-12-20 J. Meibohm , L. Pistone , K. Gustavsson , B. Mehlig

In this study, we present a simple stochastic order-book model for investors' swarm behaviors seen in the continuous double auction mechanism, which is employed by major global exchanges. Our study shows a characteristic called "fat tail"…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-23 Shingo Ichiki , Katsuhiro Nishinari