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We present an efficient and practical (polynomial time) algorithm for online prediction in unknown and partially observed linear dynamical systems (LDS) under stochastic noise. When the system parameters are known, the optimal linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-13 Paria Rashidinejad , Jiantao Jiao , Stuart Russell

Link prediction in a graph is the problem of detecting the missing links that would be formed in the near future. Using a graph representation of the data, we can convert the problem of classification to the problem of link prediction which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-02 Seyed Amin Fadaee , Maryam Amir Haeri

This paper proposes and evaluates a new performance estimation method that leverages continual learning (CL) algorithms to carry out sequential simulation experiments for a feedback-based molecular communication protocol. As the protocol is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Siddhant Setia , Junichi Suzuki , Tadashi Nakano

Branch predictor (BP) is an essential component in modern processors since high BP accuracy can improve performance and reduce energy by decreasing the number of instructions executed on wrong-path. However, reducing latency and storage…

Hardware Architecture · Computer Science 2018-04-03 Sparsh Mittal

The problem of optimal linear estimation of a linear functional depending on the unknown values of periodically correlated stochastic process from observations of the process with additive noise is considered. Formulas for calculating the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-20 Iryna Dubovets'ka , Mykhailo Moklyachuk

An empirical best linear unbiased prediction (EBLUP) estimator is utilized for efficient inference in small-area estimation. To measure its uncertainty, we need to estimate its mean squared error (MSE) since the true MSE cannot generally be…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-14 Masayo Yoshimori Hirose

Recent advances in Schramm-Loewner evolution have driven increasing interest in non-standard Loewner flows. In this work, we propose a novel splitting algorithm to simulate random Loewner curves with rigorous convergence analysis in…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-04 Jiaming Chen , Vlad Margarint

We present an algorithm to compute best least-squares approximations of discrete real-valued functions by first-degree splines (broken lines) with free knots. We demonstrate that the algorithm delivers after a finite number of steps a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-04-20 Ludwig J. Cromme , Jens Kunath , Andreas Krebs

This paper provides estimation and inference methods for the best linear predictor (approximation) of a structural function, such as conditional average structural and treatment effects, and structural derivatives, based on modern machine…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-17 Vira Semenova , Victor Chernozhukov

In the setting of additive regression model for continuous time process, we establish the optimal uniform convergence rates and optimal asymptotic quadratic error of additive regression. To build our estimate, we use the marginal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-11 Mohammed Debbarh , Bertrand Maillot

When building linear or nonlinear models one is faced with the problem of selecting the best set of variable with which to predict the future dynamics. In nonlinear time series analysis the problem is to select the correct time delays in…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Michael Small

Nonlinear function estimation is core to modern machine learning applications. In this paper, to perform nonlinear function estimation, we reduce a nonlinear inverse problem to a linear one using a polynomial kernel expansion. These kernels…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-10-02 Hangjin Liu , You , Zhou , Ahmad Beirami , Dror Baron

We consider nonparametric regression in the context of functional data, that is, when a random sample of functions is observed on a fine grid. We obtain a functional asymptotic normality result allowing to build simultaneous confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-13 David A. Degras

We propose a novel flexible-step model predictive control algorithm for unknown linear time-invariant discrete-time systems. The goal is to asymptotically stabilize the system without relying on a pre-collected dataset that describes its…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-02 Markus Pietschner , Christian Ebenbauer , Bahman Gharesifard , Raik Suttner

The problem of optimal linear estimation of linear functionals depending on the unknown values of a periodically correlated stochastic process from observations of the process with additive noise is considered. Formulas for calculating the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-29 Iryna Dubovets'ka , Mykhailo Moklyachuk

The remaining Useful Life (RUL) of equipment is defined as the duration between the current time and its failure. An accurate and reliable prognostic of the remaining useful life provides decision-makers with valuable information to adopt…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-27 Alaaeddine Chaoub , Alexandre Voisin , Christophe Cerisara , Benoît Iung

This letter analyzes the contraction property of the nonlinear systems controlled by suboptimal model predictive control (MPC) using the continuation method. We propose a contraction metric that reflects the hierarchical dynamics inherent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-06 Ryotaro Shima , Yuji Ito , Tatsuya Miyano

A new statistical procedure, based on a modified spline basis, is proposed to identify the linear components in the panel data model with fixed effects. Under some mild assumptions, the proposed procedure is shown to consistently estimate…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-11-21 Ruiqi Liu , Ben Boukai , Zuofeng Shang

In this paper, we present an optimal filter for linear time-varying continuous-time stochastic systems that simultaneously estimates the states and unknown inputs in an unbiased minimum-variance sense. We first show that the unknown inputs…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Sze Zheng Yong , Minghui Zhu , Emilio Frazzoli

Small area estimation methods are used in surveys, where sample sizes are too small to get reliable direct estimates of parameters in some population domains. We consider design-based linear combinations of direct and synthetic estimators…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-22 Andrius Čiginas
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