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We apply Geometric Arbitrage Theory to obtain results in mathematical finance for credit markets, which do not need stochastic differential geometry in their formulation. We obtain closed form equations involving default intensities and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-19 Simone Farinelli , Hideyuki Takada

The separating time for two probability measures on a filtered space is an extended stopping time which captures the phase transition between equivalence and singularity. More specifically, two probability measures are equivalent before…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-10 David Criens , Mikhail Urusov

The No Free Lunch (NFL) theorem guarantees equal average performance only under uniform sampling of a function space closed under permutation (c.u.p.). We ask when this averaging ceases to reflect what benchmarking actually reports. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-05 Grzegorz Sroka

The present paper deals with the characterization of no-arbitrage properties of a continuous semimartingale. The first main result, Theorem \refMainTheoremCharNA, extends the no-arbitrage criterion by Levental and Skorohod [Ann. Appl.…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Eva Strasser

We consider a one-period market model composed by a risk-free asset and a risky asset with $n$ possible future values (namely, a $n$-nomial market model). We characterize the lower envelope of the class of equivalent martingale measures in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-06 Andrea Cinfrignini , Davide Petturiti , Barbara Vantaggi

The concept of absence of opportunities for free lunches is one of the pillars in the economic theory of financial markets. This natural assumption has proved very fruitful and has lead to great mathematical, as well as economical, insights…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-02-16 Constantinos Kardaras

We have embedded the classical theory of stochastic finance into a differential geometric framework called Geometric Arbitrage Theory and show that it is possible to: --Write arbitrage as curvature of a principal fibre bundle.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-06 Simone Farinelli

In a general semimartingale financial model, we study the stability of the No Arbitrage of the First Kind (NA1) (or, equivalently, No Unbounded Profit with Bounded Risk) condition under initial and under progressive filtration enlargements.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-20 Beatrice Acciaio , Claudio Fontana , Constantinos Kardaras

We investigate the impossibility of universally winning trading strategies -- those generating strict profit across all market trajectories -- through three distinct mathematical paradigms. Fundamentally, under standard admissibility…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-16 Karl Svozil

Drawing on set theory, this paper contributes to a deeper understanding of the structural condition of mathematical finance under Knightian uncertainty. We adopt a projective framework in which all components of the model -- prices, priors…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-01 Alexandre Boistard , Laurence Carassus , Safae Issaoui

In a seminal paper, F. Delbaen and W. Schachermayer proved that the classical NA ("no arbitrage") condition implies the existence of an "absolutely continuous local martingale measure" (ACLMM). It is known that in general the existence of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-15 David Criens , Mikhail Urusov

We study the existence of the numeraire portfolio under predictable convex constraints in a general semimartingale model of a financial market. The numeraire portfolio generates a wealth process, with respect to which the relative wealth…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 Ioannis Karatzas , Constantinos Kardaras

This paper addresses the question of how an arbitrage-free semimartingale model is affected when stopped at a random horizon. We focus on No-Unbounded-Profit-with-Bounded-Risk (called NUPBR hereafter) concept, which is also known in the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-21 Anna Aksamit , Tahir Choulli , Jun Deng , Monique Jeanblanc

We consider non-concave and non-smooth random utility functions with do- main of definition equal to the non-negative half-line. We use a dynamic pro- gramming framework together with measurable selection arguments to establish both the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-29 Romain Blanchard , Laurence Carassus , Miklós Rásonyi

A stock market is called diverse if no stock can dominate the market in terms of relative capitalization. On one hand, this natural property leads to arbitrage in diffusion models under mild assumptions. On the other hand, it is also easy…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-26 Attila Herczegh , Vilmos Prokaj , Miklós Rásonyi

Under short sales prohibitions, no free lunch with vanishing risk (NFLVR-S) is known to be equivalent to the existence of an equivalent supermartingale measure for the price processes (Pulido [22]). For two given price processes, we…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-28 Delia Coculescu , Monique Jeanblanc

We provide a Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing and a Superhedging Theorem for a model independent discrete time financial market with proportional transaction costs. We consider a probability-free version of the Robust No Arbitrage…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-26 Matteo Burzoni

In a discrete time setting, we study the central problem of giving a fair price to some financial product. For several decades, the no-arbitrage conditions and the martingale measures have played a major role for solving this problem. We…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-07 Laurence Carassus , Emmanuel Lépinette

We introduce a universal diffusion-based downscaling framework that lifts deterministic low-resolution weather forecasts into probabilistic high-resolution predictions without any model-specific fine-tuning. A single conditional diffusion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Roberto Molinaro , Niall Siegenheim , Henry Martin , Mark Frey , Niels Poulsen , Philipp Seitz , Marvin Vincent Gabler

This paper uses dynamical invariants to describe the evolution of collisionless systems subject to time-dependent gravitational forces without resorting to maximum-entropy probabilities. We show that collisionless relaxation can be viewed…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2015-06-03 Jorge Peñarrubia