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We are introducing a model-free control and a control with a restricted model for finite-dimensional complex systems. This control design may be viewed as a contribution to "intelligent" PID controllers, the tuning of which becomes quite…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2009-04-03 Michel Fliess , Cédric Join

Probabilistic model checking is an approach to the formal modelling and analysis of stochastic systems. Over the past twenty five years, the number of different formalisms and techniques developed in this field has grown considerably, as…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-09-17 Marta Kwiatkowska , Gethin Norman , David Parker

We solve the superhedging problem for European options in an illiquid extension of the Black-Scholes model, in which transactions have transient price impact and the costs and the strategies for hedging are affected by physical or cash…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-13 Dirk Becherer , Todor Bilarev

Feature engineering is a crucial step in the process of predictive modeling. It involves the transformation of given feature space, typically using mathematical functions, with the objective of reducing the modeling error for a given…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-09-22 Udayan Khurana , Horst Samulowitz , Deepak Turaga

Option pricing theory, such as the Black and Scholes (1973) model, provides an explicit solution to construct a strategy that perfectly hedges an option in a continuous-time setting. In practice, however, trading occurs in discrete time and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-30 Pierre Brugière , Gabriel Turinici

We present a machine learning approach for finding minimal equivalent martingale measures for markets simulators of tradable instruments, e.g. for a spot price and options written on the same underlying. We extend our results to markets…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-13 Hans Buehler , Phillip Murray , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Ben Wood

Architectural modeling is an integral part of modern software development. In particular, diverse systems benefit from precise architectural models since similar components can often be reused between different system variants. However,…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2014-09-09 Arne Haber , Holger Rendel , Bernhard Rumpe , Ina Schaefer

According to the leading models in modern finance, the presence of intraday lead-lag relationships between financial assets is negligible in efficient markets. With the advance of technology, however, markets have become more sophisticated.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-03 Chester Curme , Michele Tumminello , Rosario N. Mantegna , H. Eugene Stanley , Dror Y. Kenett

In software engineering, technical debt, signifying the compromise between short-term expediency and long-term maintainability, is being addressed by researchers through various machine learning approaches. This study seeks to provide a…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-11-24 Eric L. Melin , Nasir U. Eisty

Regime-switching models, in particular Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) where the switching is driven by an unobservable Markov chain, are widely-used in financial applications, due to their tractability and good econometric properties. In this…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-18 Vikram Krishnamurthy , Elisabeth Leoff , Jörn Sass

Systemic risk is a rapidly developing area of research. Classical financial models often do not adequately reflect the phenomena of bubbles, crises, and transitions between them during credit cycles. To study very improbable events,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-11 Kamil Fortuna , Janusz Szwabiński

We examine the possibility of incorporating information or views of market movements during the holding period of a portfolio, in the hedging of European options with respect to the underlying. Given a fixed holding period interval, we…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-23 Antoine E. Zambelli

The model-free control approach is an advanced control law that requires few information about the process to control. Since its introduction in 2008, numerous applications have been successfully considered, highlighting attractive…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2025-02-27 Loïc Michel

Since the latest financial crisis, the idea of systemic risk has received considerable interest. In particular, contagion effects arising from cross-holdings between interconnected financial firms have been studied extensively. Drawing…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-30 Nils Bertschinger , Julian Stobbe

The need for control strategies that can address dynamic system uncertainty is becoming increasingly important. In this work, we propose a Model Predictive Control by quantifying the risk of failure in our system model. The proposed control…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-17 Mostafa Tavakkoli Anbarani , Efe C. Balta , Rômulo Meira-Góes , Ilya Kovalenko

Concept drift detectors allow learning systems to maintain good accuracy on non-stationary data streams. Financial time series are an instance of non-stationary data streams whose concept drifts (market phases) are so important to affect…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-02 Filippo Neri

In this paper we propose an overview of the recent academic literature devoted to the applications of Hawkes processes in finance. Hawkes processes constitute a particular class of multivariate point processes that has become very popular…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-19 Emmanuel Bacry , Iacopo Mastromatteo , Jean-François Muzy

Dealers make money by providing liquidity to clients but face flow uncertainty and thus price risk. They can efficiently skew their prices and wait for clients to mitigate risk (internalization), or trade with other dealers in the open…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-16 Alexander Barzykin , Philippe Bergault , Olivier Guéant

The current global financial system forms a highly interconnected network where a default in one of its nodes can propagate to many other nodes, causing a catastrophic avalanche effect. In this paper we consider the problem of reducing the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-05 Giuseppe Calafiore , Giulia Fracastoro , Anton V. Proskurnikov

This paper presents an evaluation framework that attempts to quantify the "degree of realism" of simulated financial time series, whatever the simulation method could be, with the aim of discover unknown characteristics that are not being…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-20 Javier Franco-Pedroso , Joaquin Gonzalez-Rodriguez , Maria Planas , Jorge Cubero , Rafael Cobo , Fernando Pablos