Related papers: Risk measuring under model uncertainty
We study the Neyman-Pearson theory for convex expectations (convex risk measures) on $L^{\infty}(\mu)$. Without assuming that the level sets of penalty functions are weakly compact, a new approach different from the convex duality method is…
In the conditional setting we provide a complete duality between quasiconvex risk measures defined on $L^{0}$ modules of the $L^{p}$ type and the appropriate class of dual functions. This is based on a general result which extends the usual…
Non-probabilistic convex model utilizes a convex set to quantify the uncertainty domain of uncertain-but-bounded parameters, which is very effective for structural uncertainty analysis with limited or poor-quality experimental data. To…
Mean-deviation models, along with the existing theory of coherent risk measures, are well studied in the literature. In this paper, we characterize monotonic mean-deviation (risk) measures from a general mean-deviation model by applying a…
We propose in this short note a prime numbers-based method for constructing probability measures on infinite-dimensional Banach spaces annihilating all finite-dimensional subspaces, supplementing the methods of construction of Gaussian…
Since the quasiconvex risk measures is a bigger class than the well known convex risk measures, the study of quasiconvex risk measures makes sense especially in the financial markets with volatility. In this paper, we will study the…
The purpose of this paper is devoted to studying representation of measures of non generalized compactness, in particular, measures of noncompactness, of non-weak compactness, and of non-super weak compactness, etc, defined on Banach spaces…
Let $C$ be an open cone in a Banach space equipped with the Thompson metric with closure a normal cone. The main result gives sufficient conditions for Borel probability measures $\mu,\nu$ on $C$ with finite first moment for which $\mu\leq…
The expectile can be considered as a generalization of quantile. While expected shortfall is a quantile based risk measure, we study its counterpart -- the expectile based expected shortfall -- where expectile takes the place of quantile.…
We develop a general theory of risk measures that determines the optimal amount of capital to raise and invest in a portfolio of reference traded securities in order to meet a pre-specified regulatory requirement. The distinguishing feature…
In this paper, we continue to study random convex analysis. First, we introduce the notion of an $L^0$--pre--barreled module. Then, we develop the theory of random duality under the framework of a random locally convex module endowed with…
In this paper, we prove that under the domination condition: \begin{equation*} {\cal{E}}^{-\mu,-\nu}[-\xi|{\cal{F}}_t]\leq\rho_t(\xi)\leq{\cal{E}}^{\mu,\nu}[-\xi|{\cal{F}}_t],\quad \forall\xi\in \mathcal{L}^{\exp}_T\ (\text{resp.}\…
Adequate uncertainty representation and quantification have become imperative in various scientific disciplines, especially in machine learning and artificial intelligence. As an alternative to representing uncertainty via one single…
This paper proposes an algorithm to calculate the maximal probability of unsafety with respect to trajectories of a stochastic process and a hazard set. The unsafe probability estimation problem is cast as a primal-dual pair of…
Optimization of conditional convex risk measure is a central theme in dynamic portfolio selection theory, which has not yet systematically studied in the previous literature perhaps since conditional convex risk measures are neither random…
Bayesian model comparison (BMC) offers a principled probabilistic approach to study and rank competing models. In standard BMC, we construct a discrete probability distribution over the set of possible models, conditional on the observed…
The family of admissible positions in a transaction costs model is a random closed set, which is convex in case of proportional transaction costs. However, the convexity fails, e.g. in case of fixed transaction costs or when only a finite…
We provide a characterization in terms of Fatou closedness for weakly closed monotone convex sets in the space of $\mathcal{P}$-quasisure bounded random variables, where $\mathcal{P}$ is a (possibly non-dominated) class of probability…
A risk analyst assesses potential financial losses based on multiple sources of information. Often, the assessment does not only depend on the specification of the loss random variable but also various economic scenarios. Motivated by this…
Systemic risk measures are crucial for the stability of financial markets, yet classical formulations fail to capture the complexity of market volatility. We propose a new framework for systemic risk measurement on the variable-exponent…