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Related papers: On information efficiency and financial stability

200 papers

Can Large Language Models (AI agents) aggregate dispersed private information through trading and reason about the knowledge of others by observing price movements? We conduct a controlled experiment where AI agents trade in a prediction…

General Economics · Economics 2026-05-08 Spyros Galanis

The distribution of efficient individuals in the economy and the efforts that they will put in if they are hired, there are two important concerns for a technologically advanced firm. wants to open a new branch. The firm does not have…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-01-27 Sujata Goala , Mridu Prabal Goswami , Surajit Borkotokey

We present a macro-finance model with innovation and knowledge spillover. Skilled agents engage in R&D activities (establish firms) or work in the knowledge-intensive sector. Unskilled agents work in the traditional sector. Knowledge…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-19 Tomohiro Hirano , Keiichi Kishi , Alexis Akira Toda

This paper studies the switching of trading strategies and its effect on the market volatility in a continuous double auction market. We describe the behavior when some uninformed agents, who we call switchers, decide whether or not to pay…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-17 Yi-Fang Liu , Wei Zhang , Chao Xu , Jørgen Vitting Andersen , Hai-Chuan Xu

We model an informed agent with information about the future value of an asset trying to maximize profits when subjected to a transaction cost as well as a market maker tasked with setting fair transaction prices. In a single auction model,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-29 Weston Barger , Ryan Donnelly

We focus on the influence of external sources of information upon financial markets. In particular, we develop a stochastic agent-based market model characterized by a certain herding behavior as well as allowing traders to be influenced by…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-28 Adrián Carro , Raúl Toral , Maxi San Miguel

The basis of arbitrage methods depends on the circulation of information within the framework of the financial market. Following the work of Modigliani and Miller, it has become a vital part of discussions related to the study of financial…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-12 Kiran Sharma , Abhijit Dutta , Rupak Mukherjee

Designing a financial market that works well is very important for developing and maintaining an advanced economy, but is not easy because changing detailed rules, even ones that seem trivial, sometimes causes unexpected large impacts and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-08 Takanobu Mizuta

A seller offers an asset in a decentralised market. Buyers have private signals about their common value. I study whether the market becomes allocatively more efficient with (i) more buyers, (ii) better-informed buyers. Both increase the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-04 D. Carlos Akkar

Episodes of market crashes have fascinated economists for centuries. Although many academics, practitioners and policy makers have studied questions related to collapsing asset price bubbles, there is little consensus yet about their causes…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-15 T. Kaizoji , D. Sornette

We present a model describing the competition between information transmission and decision making in financial markets. The solution of this simple model is recalled, and possible variations discussed. It is shown numerically that despite…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-10-31 R. D'Hulst , G. J. Rodgers

We study the effects of introducing information inefficiency in a model for a random linear economy with a representative consumer. This is done by considering statistical, instead of classical, economic general equilibria. Employing two…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-11 Joao Pedro Jerico , Renato Vicente

Since the 1960s, the question whether markets are efficient or not is controversially discussed. One reason for the difficulty to overcome the controversy is the lack of a universal, but also precise, quantitative definition of efficiency…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-10 Roland Rothenstein

Adaptive networks consist of a collection of agents with adaptation and learning abilities. The agents interact with each other on a local level and diffuse information across the network through their collaborations. In this work, we…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-04 Sheng-Yuan Tu , Ali H. Sayed

Most finance studies are discussed on the basis of several hypotheses, for example, investors rationally optimize their investment strategies. However, the hypotheses themselves are sometimes criticized. Market impacts, where trades of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-03 Takanobu Mizuta , Isao Yagi , Kosei Takashima

We consider a class of generalized capital asset pricing models in continuous time with a finite number of agents and tradable securities. The securities may not be sufficient to span all sources of uncertainty. If the agents have…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-10-23 Ulrich Horst , Michael Kupper , Andrea Macrina , Christoph Mainberger

The ability of a society to make the right decisions on relevant matters relies on its capability to properly aggregate the noisy information spread across the individuals it is made of. In this paper we study the information aggregation…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-16 Giacomo Livan , Matteo Marsili

We utilize a chartist-fundamentalist model to examine the limits of informationally efficient stock markets. In our model, chartists are permanently active in the stock market, while fundamentalists trade only when their…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-10-29 Laura Gardini , Davide Radi , Noemi Schmitt , Iryna Sushko , Frank Westerhoff

We introduce a minimal Agent Based Model for financial markets to understand the nature and Self-Organization of the Stylized Facts. The model is minimal in the sense that we try to identify the essential ingredients to reproduce the main…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 V. Alfi , M. Cristelli , L. Pietronero , A. Zaccaria

We consider a network of interacting agents and we model the process of choice on the adoption of a given innovative product by means of statistical-mechanics tools. The modelization allows us to focus on the effects of direct interactions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-02-24 Paolo Sgrignoli , Elena Agliari , Raffaella Burioni , Augusto Schianchi