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We report some properties of heavy-tailed Sibuya-like distributions related to thinning, self-decomposability and branching processes. Extension of the thinning operation of on-negative integer-valued random variables to scaling by…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Lev B. Klebanov , Michal Šumbera

Stochastic processes with multiplicative noise have been studied independently in several different contexts over the past decades. We focus on the regime, found for a generic set of control parameters, in which stochastic processes with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 D. Sornette

We study the stationary states of variants of the noisy voter model, subject to fluctuating parameters or external environments. Specifically, we consider scenarios in which the herding-to-noise ratio switches randomly and on different time…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-06-01 Annalisa Caligiuri , Tobias Galla

We study the spread of information on multi-type directed random graphs. In such graphs the vertices are partitioned into distinct types (communities) that have different transmission rates between themselves and with other types. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-06-21 Yaron Oz , Ittai Rubinstein , Muli Safra

Accurate modeling of opinion dynamics has the potential to help us understand polarization and what makes effective political discourse possible or impossible. Here, we use physics-based methods to model the evolution of political opinions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-10-07 David Sabin-Miller , Daniel M. Abrams

We consider a population constituted by two types of individuals; each of them can produce offspring in two different islands (as a particular case the islands can be interpreted as active or dormant individuals). We model the evolution of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-01 María Emilia Caballero , Adrián González Casanova , José Luis Pérez

Branched flow governs the transition from ballistic to diffusive motion of waves and conservative particle flows in spatially correlated random or complex environments. It occurs in many physical systems from micrometer to interstellar…

Biological Physics · Physics 2023-11-29 King Hang Mok , Ragnar Fleischmann

We analyse a family of two-types Wright-Fisher models with selection in a random environment and skewed offspring distribution. We provide a calculable criterion to quantify the impact of different shapes of selection on the fate of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-10 Adrián González Casanova , Dario Spanò , Maite Wilke-Berenguer

For measuring tail risk with scarce extreme events, extreme value analysis is often invoked as the statistical tool to extrapolate to the tail of a distribution. The presence of large datasets benefits tail risk analysis by providing more…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-18 Liujun Chen , Deyuan Li , Chen Zhou

A general multi-type population model is considered, where individuals live and reproduce according to their age and type, but also under the influence of the size and composition of the entire population. We describe the dynamics of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-13 Jie Yen Fan , Kais Hamza , Peter Jagers , Fima C. Klebaner

We consider random walks amongst random conductances in the cases where the conductances can be arbitrarily small, with a heavy-tailed distribution at 0, and where the conductances may or may not have a heavy-tailed distribution at…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-19 David A. Croydon , Daniel Kious , Carlo Scali

Bio-inspired paradigms are proving to be useful in analyzing propagation and dissemination of information in networks. In this paper we explore the use of multi-type branching processes to analyse viral properties of content in a social…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Ranbir Dhounchak , Veeraruna Kavitha , Eitan Altman

Linear systems with many degrees of freedom containing multiplicative and additive noise are considered. The steady state probability distribution for equations of this kind is examined. With multiplicative white noise it is shown that…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-22 J. M. Deutsch

We study a discrete time multitype branching random walk on a finite space with finite set of types. Particles follow a Markov chain on the spatial space whereas offspring distributions are given by a random field that is fixed throughout…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-30 Onur Gün , Wolfgang König , Ozren Sekulović

Branching processes pervade many models in statistical physics. We investigate the survival probability of a Galton-Watson branching process after a finite number of generations. We reveal the finite-size scaling law of the survival…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-11-26 Rosalba Garcia-Millan , Francesc Font-Clos , Alvaro Corral

This paper considers the tail asymptotics for a cumulative process $\{B(t); t \ge 0\}$ sampled at a heavy-tailed random time $T$. The main contribution of this paper is to establish several sufficient conditions for the asymptotic equality…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-30 Hiroyuki Masuyama

We study an iterated temporal and contemporaneous aggregation of $N$ independent copies of a strongly stationary subcritical Galton-Watson branching process with regularly varying immigration having index $\alpha \in (0, 2)$. Limits of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-09 Matyas Barczy , Fanni K. Nedényi , Gyula Pap

A self-organized branching process is introduced to describe one-dimensional ricepile model with stochastic topplings. Although the branching processes are generally supposed to describe well the systems in high dimension, our modification…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Frantisek Slanina

A typical polling system consists of a number of queues, attended by a single server in a fixed order. The vast majority of papers on polling systems focusses on Poisson arrivals, whereas very few results are available for general arrivals.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-04 Marko Boon , Erik Winands , Ivo Adan , Sandra van Wijk

We consider branching random walks on the Euclidean lattice in dimensions five and higher. In this non-Markovian setting, we first obtain a relationship between the equilibrium measure and Green's function, in the form of an approximate…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-31 Amine Asselah , Bruno Schapira , Perla Sousi