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We consider high-dimensional measurement errors with high-frequency data. Our objective is on recovering the high-dimensional cross-sectional covariance matrix of the random errors with optimality. In this problem, not all components of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-03 Jinyuan Chang , Qiao Hu , Cheng Liu , Cheng Yong Tang

The use of improved covariance matrix estimators as an alternative to the sample estimator is considered an important approach for enhancing portfolio optimization. Here we empirically compare the performance of 9 improved covariance…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-27 Ester Pantaleo , Michele Tumminello , Fabrizio Lillo , Rosario N. Mantegna

We investigate whether sophisticated volatility estimation improves the out-of-sample performance of mean-variance portfolio strategies relative to the naive 1/N strategy. The portfolio strategies rely solely upon second moments. Using a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-15 Michael Curran , Patrick O'Sullivan , Ryan Zalla

This paper investigates an important problem of an appropriate variance-covariance matrix estimation in the Modern Portfolio Theory. We propose a novel framework for variancecovariance matrix estimation for purposes of the portfolio…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-22 Maciej Wysocki , Paweł Sakowski

In dealing with high-dimensional data sets, factor models are often useful for dimension reduction. The estimation of factor models has been actively studied in various fields. In the first part of this paper, we present a new approach to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-27 Joongyeub Yeo , George Papanicolaou

We propose a new estimator of high-dimensional spot volatility matrices satisfying a low-rank plus sparse structure from noisy and asynchronous high-frequency data collected for an ultra-large number of assets. The noise processes are…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-03-12 Degui Li , Oliver Linton , Haoxuan Zhang

We discuss the issue of estimating large-scale vector autoregressive (VAR) models with stochastic volatility in real-time situations where data are sampled at different frequencies. In the case of a large VAR with stochastic volatility, the…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-12-06 Sebastian Ankargren , Paulina Jonéus

Traditional Markowitz portfolio optimization constrains daily portfolio variance to a target value, optimising returns, Sharpe or variance within this constraint. However, this approach overlooks the relationship between variance at…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-22 Revant Nayar , Raphael Douady

This paper proposes a dynamic process of portfolio risk measurement to address potential information loss. The proposed model takes advantage of financial big data to incorporate out-of-target-portfolio information that may be missed when…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-17 Kwangmin Jung , Donggyu Kim , Seunghyeon Yu

Asynchronous trading in high-frequency financial markets introduces significant biases into econometric analysis, distorting risk estimates and leading to suboptimal portfolio decisions. Existing synchronization methods, such as the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-17 Xinbing Kong , Cheng Liu , Bin Wu

We employ a Bayesian modelling technique for high dimensional cointegration estimation to construct low volatility portfolios from a large number of stocks. The proposed Bayesian framework effectively identifies sparse and important…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-16 Parley R Yang , Alexander Y Shestopaloff

In this paper, we propose a price staleness factor model that accounts for pervasive market friction across assets and incorporates relevant covariates. Using large-panel high-frequency data, we derive the maximum likelihood estimators of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Xinbing Kong , Bin Wu , Wuyi Ye

We extend and test empirically the multifractal model of asset returns based on a multiplicative cascade of volatilities from large to small time scales. The multifractal description of asset fluctuations is generalized into a multivariate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 J. -F. Muzy , D. Sornette , J. Delour , A. Arneodo

This paper focuses on a dynamic multi-asset mean-variance portfolio selection problem under model uncertainty. We develop a continuous time framework for taking into account ambiguity aversion about both expected return rates and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-02 Huyen Pham , Xiaoli Wei , Chao Zhou

We formulate a discrete-time Bayesian stochastic volatility model for high-frequency stock-market data that directly accounts for microstructure noise, and outline a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for parameter estimation. The methods…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-02 Georgi Dinolov , Abel Rodriguez , Hongyun Wang

This paper introduces one new multivariate volatility model that can accommodate an appropriately defined network structure based on low-frequency and high-frequency data. The model reduces the number of unknown parameters and the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-28 Huiling Yuan , Guodong Li , Junhui Wang

We discuss efficient Bayesian estimation of dynamic covariance matrices in multivariate time series through a factor stochastic volatility model. In particular, we propose two interweaving strategies (Yu and Meng, Journal of Computational…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-07 Gregor Kastner , Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter , Hedibert Freitas Lopes

High precision analytical approximation is proposed for variance-covariance based risk allocation in a portfolio of risky assets. A general case of a single-period multi-factor Merton-type model with stochastic recovery is considered. The…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-28 Mikhail Voropaev

Due to the mechanism of recording, the presence of multiple transactions at each recording time becomes a common feature for high-frequency data in financial market. Using random matrix theory, this paper considers the estimation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-06 Moming Wang , Ningning Xia , You Zhou

We consider an investor, whose portfolio consists of a single risky asset and a risk free asset, who wants to maximize his expected utility of the portfolio subject to the Value at Risk assuming a heavy tail distribution of the stock prices…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-02 Subhojit Biswas , Diganta Mukherjee