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This paper describes a Bayesian method for learning causal networks using samples that were selected in a non-random manner from a population of interest. Examples of data obtained by non-random sampling include convenience samples and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Gregory F. Cooper

Factor analysis models are widely utilized in social and behavioral sciences, such as psychology, education, and marketing, to measure unobservable latent traits. In this article, we introduce a nonlinear structured latent factor analysis…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-07 Yimang Zhang , Xiaorui Wang , Jian Qing Shi

Regression is an essential and fundamental methodology in statistical analysis. The majority of the literature focuses on linear and nonlinear regression in the context of the Euclidean space. However, regression models in non-Euclidean…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-06 Jinzhao Liu , Chao Liu , Jian Qing Shi , Tom Nye

We consider the problem of discriminative factor analysis for data that are in general non-Gaussian. A Bayesian model based on the ranks of the data is proposed. We first introduce a new {\em max-margin} version of the rank-likelihood. A…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-05-20 Xin Yuan , Ricardo Henao , Ephraim L. Tsalik , Raymond J. Langley , Lawrence Carin

Statistical inference can be seen as information processing involving input information and output information that updates belief about some unknown parameters. We consider the Bayesian framework for making inferences about dynamical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-17 Artur O. Lopes , Silvia R. C. Lopes , Paulo Varandas

In the usual Bayesian setting, a full probabilistic model is required to link the data and parameters, and the form of this model and the inference and prediction mechanisms are specified via de Finetti's representation. In general, such a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Yu Luo , David A. Stephens , Daniel J. Graham , Emma J. McCoy

Phylogenetic trait evolution models allow for the estimation of evolutionary correlations between a set of traits observed in a sample of related organisms. By directly modeling the evolution of the traits along an estimable phylogenetic…

Variable selection for Gaussian process models is often done using automatic relevance determination, which uses the inverse length-scale parameter of each input variable as a proxy for variable relevance. This implicitly determined…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-24 Topi Paananen , Juho Piironen , Michael Riis Andersen , Aki Vehtari

Parameter identification and comparison of dynamical systems is a challenging task in many fields. Bayesian approaches based on Gaussian process regression over time-series data have been successfully applied to infer the parameters of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-04 Philippe Wenk , Alkis Gotovos , Stefan Bauer , Nico Gorbach , Andreas Krause , Joachim M. Buhmann

It is very challenging to select informative features from tens of thousands of measured features in high-throughput data analysis. Recently, several parametric/regression models have been developed utilizing the gene network information to…

Applications · Statistics 2014-08-01 Yize Zhao , Jian Kang , Tianwei Yu

We discuss Bayesian inference for parameters selected using the data. First, we provide a critical analysis of the existing positions in the literature regarding the correct Bayesian approach under selection. Second, we propose two types of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-12 Daniel G. Rasines , G. Alastair Young

Gaussian Process (GP) models are a powerful tool in probabilistic machine learning with a solid theoretical foundation. Thanks to current advances, modeling complex data with GPs is becoming increasingly feasible, which makes them an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Sarem Seitz

Biological phenotypes are products of complex evolutionary processes in which selective forces influence multiple biological trait measurements in unknown ways. Phylogenetic factor analysis disentangles these relationships across the…

A simple way to model phenotypic evolution is to assume that after splitting, the trait values of the sister species diverge as independent Brownian motions. Relying only on a prior distribution for the underlying species tree (conditioned…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-05-14 Serik Sagitov , Krzysztof Bartoszek

It has historically been a challenge to perform Bayesian inference in a design-based survey context. The present paper develops a Bayesian model for sampling inference in the presence of inverse-probability weights. We use a hierarchical…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-24 Yajuan Si , Natesh S. Pillai , Andrew Gelman

A phylogenetic birth-and-death model is a probabilistic graphical model for a so-called phylogenetic profile, i.e., the size distribution for a homolog gene family at the terminal nodes of a phylogeny. Profile datasets are used in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-02-06 Miklós Csűrös , István Miklós

Gaussian Processes (GPs) have been widely used in machine learning to model distributions over functions, with applications including multi-modal regression, time-series prediction, and few-shot learning. GPs are particularly useful in the…

Bayesian methods have become a popular way to incorporate prior knowledge and a notion of uncertainty into machine learning models. At the same time, the complexity of modern machine learning makes it challenging to comprehend a model's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-09 Sarem Seitz

This work is concerned with the convergence of Gaussian process regression. A particular focus is on hierarchical Gaussian process regression, where hyper-parameters appearing in the mean and covariance structure of the Gaussian process…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-20 Aretha L Teckentrup

We develop a hierarchical Gaussian process model for forecasting and inference of functional time series data. Unlike existing methods, our approach is especially suited for sparsely or irregularly sampled curves and for curves sampled with…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-02 Daniel R. Kowal , David S. Matteson , David Ruppert