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Recently, a series of papers proposed deep learning-based approaches to sample from target distributions using controlled diffusion processes, being trained only on the unnormalized target densities without access to samples. Building on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Lorenz Richter , Julius Berner

In a discrete-time market, we study model-independent superhedging, while the semi-static superhedging portfolio consists of {\it three} parts: static positions in liquidly traded vanilla calls, static positions in other tradable, yet…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-16 Arash Fahim , Yu-Jui Huang

The financial market is nonpredictable, as according to the Bachelier, the mathematical expectation of the speculator is zero. Nevertheless, we observe in the price fluctuations the two distinct scales, short and long time. Behaviour of a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 R. Wojnar

This paper addresses the trade-off between internalisation and externalisation in the management of stochastic trade flows. We consider agents who must absorb flows and manage risk by deciding whether to warehouse it or hedge in the market,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-05 Philippe Bergault , Olivier Guéant , Hamza Bodor

This paper focuses on a dynamic multi-asset mean-variance portfolio selection problem under model uncertainty. We develop a continuous time framework for taking into account ambiguity aversion about both expected return rates and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-02 Huyen Pham , Xiaoli Wei , Chao Zhou

We present a machine learning approach for finding minimal equivalent martingale measures for markets simulators of tradable instruments, e.g. for a spot price and options written on the same underlying. We extend our results to markets…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-13 Hans Buehler , Phillip Murray , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Ben Wood

In recent publications, the authors have considered inverse statistics of the Dow Jones Industrial Averaged (DJIA) [1-3]. Specifically, we argued that the natural candidate for such statistics is the investment horizons distribution. This…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 A. Johansen , I. Simonsen , M. H. Jensen

We apply rough-path theory to study the discrete-time gamma-hedging strategy. We show that if a trader knows that the market price of a set of European options will be given by a diffusive pricing model, then the discrete-time gamma-hedging…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-17 John Armstrong , Andrei Ionescu

Based on a recent theorem due to the authors, it is shown how the extreme tail dependence between an asset and a factor or index or between two assets can be easily calibrated. Portfolios constructed with stocks with minimal tail dependence…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Y. Malevergne , D. Sornette

Mean-reverting behavior of individuals assets is widely known in financial markets. In fact, we can construct a portfolio that has mean-reverting behavior and use it in trading strategies to extract profits. In this paper, we show that we…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-26 Sung Min Yoon

This paper considers a class of stochastic control problems with implicitly defined objective functions, which are the sources of time-inconsistency. We study the closed-loop equilibrium solutions in a general controlled diffusion…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-29 Zongxia Liang , Jianming Xia , Keyu Zhang

This paper analyzes a problem of optimal static hedging using derivatives in incomplete markets. The investor is assumed to have a risk exposure to two underlying assets. The hedging instruments are vanilla options written on a single…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-04 Tim Leung , Matthew Lorig , Yoshihiro Shirai

In this paper, we implement and evaluate a conditional diffusion model for asset return prediction and portfolio construction on large-scale equity data. Our method models the full distribution of future returns conditioned on firm…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Avi Bagchi , Michael Tesfaye , Om Shastri

Recent advances in machine learning make it possible to design efficient prediction algorithms for data sets with huge numbers of parameters. This paper describes a new technique for "hedging" the predictions output by many such algorithms,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-11-22 Alexander Gammerman , Vladimir Vovk

Hedge has been proposed as an adaptive scheme, which guides an agent's decision in resource selection and distribution problems that can be modeled as a multi-armed bandit full information game. Such problems are encountered in the areas of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-10 Miltiades E. Anagnostou , Maria A. Lambrou

This article studies a portfolio optimization problem, where the market consisting of several stocks is modeled by a multi-dimensional jump-diffusion process with age-dependent semi-Markov modulated coefficients. We study risk sensitive…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-21 Milan Kumar Das , Anindya Goswami , Nimit Rana

This paper studies the problem of optimal investment with CRRA (constant, relative risk aversion) preferences, subject to dynamic risk constraints on trading strategies. The market model considered is continuous in time and incomplete. the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-03-19 Santiago Moreno-Bromberg , Traian Pirvu , Anthony Réveillac

This paper presents a data-driven interpretable machine learning algorithm for semi-static hedging of Exchange Traded options, considering transaction costs with efficient run-time. Further, we provide empirical evidence on the performance…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-03 Vikranth Lokeshwar Dhandapani , Shashi Jain

Classical portfolio optimization often requires forecasting asset returns and their corresponding variances in spite of the low signal-to-noise ratio provided in the financial markets. Modern deep reinforcement learning (DRL) offers a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-19 Alessio Brini , Daniele Tantari

This paper introduces a methodology for constructing a market index composed of a liquid risky asset and a liquid risk-free asset that achieves a fixed target volatility. Existing volatility-targeting strategies typically scale portfolio…

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