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We consider a type of nonnormal approximation of infinitely divisible distributions that incorporates compound Poisson, Gamma, and normal distributions. The approximation relies on achieving higher orders of cumulant matching, to obtain…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-24 Zhiyi Chi

We develop a data-driven information-theoretic framework for sharp partial identification of causal effects under unmeasured confounding. Existing approaches often rely on restrictive assumptions, such as bounded or discrete outcomes;…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-24 Yonghan Jung , Bogyeong Kang

We obtain quenched hitting distributions to be compound Poissonian for a certain class of random dynamical systems. The theory is general and designed to accommodate non-uniformly expanding behavior and targets that do not overlap much with…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Lucas Amorim , Nicolai Haydn , Sandro Vaienti

Poisson-like behavior for event count data is ubiquitous in nature. At the same time, differencing of such counts arises in the course of data processing in a variety of areas of application. As a result, the Skellam distribution -- defined…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-04 H. L. Gan , Eric D. Kolaczyk

The accuracy of compound Poisson approximation to the sum $S=w_1S_1+w_2S_2+...+w_NS_N$ is estimated. Here $S_i$ are sums of independent or weakly dependent random variables, and $w_i$ denote weights. The overall smoothing effect of $S$ on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-04 Vydas Cekanavicius , Aiste Elijio

The following problem is considered: given a joint distribution $P_{XY}$ and an event $E$, bound $P_{XY}(E)$ in terms of $P_XP_Y(E)$ (where $P_XP_Y$ is the product of the marginals of $P_{XY}$) and a measure of dependence of $X$ and $Y$.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-03-12 Ibrahim Issa , Amedeo Roberto Esposito , Michael Gastpar

In this article, we consider Poisson and Poisson convoluted geometric approximation to the sums of $n$ independent random variables under moment conditions. We use Stein's method to derive the approximation results in total variation…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-07 Pratima Eknath Kadu

We explore asymptotically optimal bounds for deviations of Bernoulli convolutions from the Poisson limit in terms of the Shannon relative entropy and the Pearson $\chi^2$-distance. The results are based on proper non-uniform estimates for…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-13 S. G. Bobkov , G. P. Chistyakov , F. Götze

We show a general relation between the spatially disjoint product of probability density functions and the sum of their Fisher information metric tensors. We then utilise this result to give a method for constructing the probability density…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-04-14 T. Clingman , Jeff Murugan , Jonathan P. Shock

We establish a general inequality on the Poisson space, yielding an upper bound for the distance in total variation between the law of a regular random variable with values in the integers and a Poisson distribution. Several applications…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-18 Giovanni Peccati

We consider the approximation of a convolution of possibly different probability measures by (compound) Poisson distributions and also by related signed measures of higher order. We present new total variation bounds having a better…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-08 Bero Roos

Different change-point type models encountered in statistical inference for stochastic processes give rise to different limiting likelihood ratio processes. In a previous paper of one of the authors it was established that one of these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-06 Serguei Dachian , Ilia Negri

A Poisson or a binomial process on an abstract state space and a symmetric function $f$ acting on $k$-tuples of its points are considered. They induce a point process on the target space of $f$. The main result is a functional limit theorem…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-07 Laurent Decreusefond , Matthias Schulte , Christoph Thäle

In statistical physics and information theory, although the exponent of the partition function is often of our primary interest, there are cases where one needs more detailed information. In this paper, we present a general framework to…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-02-06 Ryuhei Mori , Toshiyuki Tanaka

Estimates are constructed for the deviation of the concentration functions of sums of independent random variables with finite variances from the folded normal distribution function without any assumptions concerning the existence of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-11 V. Yu. Korolev , A. V. Dorofeeva

The aim of the present work is to show that the results obtained earlier on the approximation of distributions of sums of independent terms by the accompanying compound Poisson laws may be interpreted as rather sharp quantitative estimates…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-04 Friedrich Götze , Andrei Yu. Zaitsev

Compound Poisson distributions have been employed by many authors to fit experimental data, typically via the method of moments or maximum likelihood estimation. We propose a new technique and apply it to several sets of published data. It…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 S. R. Mane

The aim of the present work is to provide a supplement to the authors' paper (2018). It is shown that our results on the approximation of distributions of sums of independent summands by the accompanying compound Poisson laws and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-04 Friedrich Götze , Andrei Yu. Zaitsev

Distribution of the sum of independent identically distributed symmetric lattice vectors is approximated by the accompanying compound Poisson law and the second-order Hipp-type signed compound Poisson measure. Bergstr\"om -type asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Vydas Čekanavičius , Simona Jokubauskienė

Fundamental relations between information and estimation have been established in the literature for the continuous-time Gaussian and Poisson channels, in a long line of work starting from the classical representation theorems by Duncan and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-04-19 Jiantao Jiao , Kartik Venkat , Tsachy Weissman