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We address the problem of incremental sequence classification, where predictions are updated as new elements in the sequence are revealed. Drawing on temporal-difference learning from reinforcement learning, we identify a…

A time series represents a set of observations collected over time. Typically, these observations are captured with a uniform sampling frequency (e.g. daily). When data points are observed in uneven time intervals the time series is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-03 Pedro Costa , Vitor Cerqueira , João Vinagre

Real-time and human-interpretable decision-making in cyber-physical systems is a significant but challenging task, which usually requires predictions of possible future events from limited data. In this paper, we introduce a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-30 Erfan Aasi , Mingyu Cai , Cristian Ioan Vasile , Calin Belta

Time series analysis has proven to be a powerful method to characterize several phenomena in biology, neuroscience and economics, and to understand some of their underlying dynamical features. Despite a plethora of methods have been…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-01 Andrea Santoro , Federico Battiston , Giovanni Petri , Enrico Amico

We consider adaptive designs for a trial involving N individuals that we follow along T time steps. We allow for the variables of one individual to depend on its past and on the past of other individuals. Our goal is to learn a mean…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-20 Aurelien Bibaut , Maya Petersen , Nikos Vlassis , Maria Dimakopoulou , Mark van der Laan

Temporal set prediction involves forecasting the elements that will appear in the next set, given a sequence of prior sets, each containing a variable number of elements. Existing methods often rely on intricate architectures with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Ashish Ranjan , Ayush Agarwal , Shalin Barot , Sushant Kumar

In the data deluge context, pattern recognition or labeling in streams is becoming quite an essential and pressing task as data flows inside always bigger streams. The assessment of such tasks is not so easy when dealing with temporal data,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2016-12-01 Pierre-François Marteau

We propose TRACIE, a novel temporal reasoning dataset that evaluates the degree to which systems understand implicit events -- events that are not mentioned explicitly in natural language text but can be inferred from it. This introduces a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Ben Zhou , Kyle Richardson , Qiang Ning , Tushar Khot , Ashish Sabharwal , Dan Roth

Integrated interpretability without sacrificing the prediction accuracy of decision making algorithms has the potential of greatly improving their value to the user. Instead of assigning a label to an image directly, we propose to learn…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Stephan Alaniz , Diego Marcos , Bernt Schiele , Zeynep Akata

We consider the problem of sequential evaluation, in which an evaluator observes candidates in a sequence and assigns scores to these candidates in an online, irrevocable fashion. Motivated by the psychology literature that has studied…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-20 Jingyan Wang , Ashwin Pananjady

Temporal reasoning is the task of predicting temporal relations of event pairs. While temporal reasoning models can perform reasonably well on in-domain benchmarks, we have little idea of these systems' generalizability due to existing…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-06-01 Yu Feng , Ben Zhou , Haoyu Wang , Helen Jin , Dan Roth

In general, many dynamic processes are involved with interacting variables, from physical systems to sociological analysis. The interplay of components in the system can give rise to confounding dynamic behavior. Many approaches model…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Qianyu Feng , Bang Zhang , Yi Yang

In many areas, practitioners seek to use observational data to learn a treatment assignment policy that satisfies application-specific constraints, such as budget, fairness, simplicity, or other functional form constraints. For example,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Susan Athey , Stefan Wager

Time series reasoning treats time as a first-class axis and incorporates intermediate evidence directly into the answer. This survey defines the problem and organizes the literature by reasoning topology with three families: direct…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Ching Chang , Yidan Shi , Defu Cao , Wei Yang , Jeehyun Hwang , Haixin Wang , Jiacheng Pang , Wei Wang , Yan Liu , Wen-Chih Peng , Tien-Fu Chen

Repeat consumption, such as repurchasing items and relistening songs, is a common scenario in daily life. To model repeat consumption, the repeat-aware recommendation has been proposed to predict which item will be re-interacted based on…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Shigang Quan , Shui Liu , Zhenzhe Zheng , Fan Wu

General regression and classification models are constructed as linear combinations of simple rules derived from the data. Each rule consists of a conjunction of a small number of simple statements concerning the values of individual input…

Applications · Statistics 2008-11-12 Jerome H. Friedman , Bogdan E. Popescu

To maximize future rewards in this ever-changing world, animals must be able to discover the temporal structure of stimuli and then anticipate or act correctly at the right time. How the animals perceive, maintain, and use time intervals…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-08 Zedong Bi , Changsong Zhou

We address the problem of sequentially selecting and observing processes from a given set to find the anomalies among them. The decision-maker observes one process at a time and obtains a noisy binary indicator of whether or not the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-14 Geethu Joseph , M. Cenk Gursoy , Pramod K. Varshney

We suggest a mechanism based on spike time dependent plasticity (STDP) of synapses to store, retrieve and predict temporal sequences. The mechanism is demonstrated in a model system of simplified integrate-and-fire type neurons densely…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-11-07 Thomas Nowotny , Misha I. Rabinovich , Henry D. I. Abarbanel

Our goal is to $\textit{efficiently}$ discover a compact set of temporal logic rules to explain irregular events of interest. We introduce a neural-symbolic rule induction framework within the temporal point process model. The negative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-07 Yang Yang , Chao Yang , Boyang Li , Yinghao Fu , Shuang Li