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Interpreting time series models is uniquely challenging because it requires identifying both the location of time series signals that drive model predictions and their matching to an interpretable temporal pattern. While explainers from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Owen Queen , Thomas Hartvigsen , Teddy Koker , Huan He , Theodoros Tsiligkaridis , Marinka Zitnik

Tree ensembles are very popular machine learning models, known for their effectiveness in supervised classification and regression tasks. Their performance derives from aggregating predictions of multiple decision trees, which are renowned…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-14 Lorenzo Bonasera , Emilio Carrizosa

Current work on using visual analytics to determine causal relations among variables has mostly been based on the concept of counterfactuals. As such the derived static causal networks do not take into account the effect of time as an…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2023-03-14 Jun Wang , Klaus Mueller

Nonlinear systems are capable of displaying complex behavior even if this is the result of a small number of interacting time scales. A widely studied case is when complex dynamics emerges out of a nonlinear system being forced by a simple…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-01 Leandro M. Alonso

Recommender systems have achieved great success in modeling user's preferences on items and predicting the next item the user would consume. Recently, there have been many efforts to utilize time information of users' interactions with…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-04-30 Junsu Cho , Dongmin Hyun , SeongKu Kang , Hwanjo Yu

This paper presents a qualitative study that investigates the effects of some language choices in expressing the trigger part of a trigger-action rule on the users' mental models. Specifically, we explored how 11 non-programmer participants…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2023-10-11 Margherita Andrao , Barbara Treccani , Massimo Zancanaro

We consider the problem of mining signal temporal logical requirements from a dataset of regular (good) and anomalous (bad) trajectories of a dynamical system. We assume the training set to be labeled by human experts and that we have…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-08-02 Laura Nenzi , Simone Silvetti , Ezio Bartocci , Luca Bortolussi

Models of narrative schema knowledge have proven useful for a range of event-related tasks, but they typically do not capture the temporal relationships between events. We propose a single model that addresses both temporal ordering,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-07-02 Shih-Ting Lin , Nathanael Chambers , Greg Durrett

We are sometimes forced to use the Interrupted Time Series (ITS) design as an identification strategy for potential policy change, such as when we only have a single treated unit and no comparable controls. For example, with recent county-…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-17 Luke Miratrix

This article studies the estimation of the causal effect of a time-varying treatment on time-to-an-event or on some other continuously distributed outcome. The paper applies to the situation where treatment is repeatedly adapted to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-06-19 Judith J. Lok

This paper introduces a novel methodology that utilizes latency to unveil time-series dependence patterns. A customized statistical test detects memory dependence in event sequences by analyzing their inter-event time distributions.…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-22 Fabio Vanni , David Lambert

Understanding temporal information and how the visual world changes over time is a fundamental ability of intelligent systems. In video understanding, temporal information is at the core of many current challenges, including compression,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-10-31 Laura Sevilla-Lara , Shengxin Zha , Zhicheng Yan , Vedanuj Goswami , Matt Feiszli , Lorenzo Torresani

Temporal logics are an obvious high-level descriptive companion formalism to dynamical systems which model behavior as deterministic evolution of state over time. A wide variety of distinct temporal logics applicable to dynamical systems…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2012-12-11 Baltasar Trancón y Widemann

In evolving complex systems such as air traffic and social organizations, collective effects emerge from their many components' dynamic interactions. While the dynamic interactions can be represented by temporal networks with nodes and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-09-21 Tiago P. Peixoto , Martin Rosvall

Brain can recognize different objects as ones that it has experienced before. The recognition accuracy and its processing time depend on task properties such as viewing condition, level of noise and etc. Recognition accuracy can be well…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2018-11-27 Hamed Heidari Gorji , Sajjad Zabbah , Reza Ebrahimpour

Automatic temporal ordering of events described in discourse has been of great interest in recent years. Event orderings are conveyed in text via va rious linguistic mechanisms including the use of expressions such as "before", "after" or…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2013-01-25 Leon Derczynski , Robert Gaizauskas

Apprenticeship learning crucially depends on effectively learning rewards, and hence control policies from user demonstrations. Of particular difficulty is the setting where the desired task consists of a number of sub-goals with temporal…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-11-10 Aniruddh G. Puranic , Jyotirmoy V. Deshmukh , Stefanos Nikolaidis

Tasks that require information about the world imply a trade-off between the time spent on observation and the variance of the response. In particular, fast decisions need to rely on uncertain information. However, standard estimates of…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2023-07-18 Sahel Azizpour , Viola Priesemann , Johannes Zierenberg , Anna Levina

Decision formation in perceptual decision-making involves sensory evidence accumulation instantiated by the temporal integration of an internal decision variable towards some decision criterion or threshold, as described by sequential…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-15 Brendan Lenfesty , Saugat Bhattacharyya , KongFatt Wong-Lin

Inferring a cause from its effect using observed time series data is a major challenge in natural and social sciences. Assuming the effect is generated by the cause trough a linear system, we propose a new approach based on the hypothesis…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-03-05 Naji Shajarisales , Dominik Janzing , Bernhard Shoelkopf , Michel Besserve
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