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The rate of entropy production provides a useful quantitative measure of a non-equilibrium system and estimating it directly from time-series data from experiments is highly desirable. Several approaches have been considered for stationary…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-02-21 Shun Otsubo , Sreekanth K Manikandan , Takahiro Sagawa , Supriya Krishnamurthy

When dealing with non-stationary systems, for which many time series are available, it is common to divide time in epochs, i.e. smaller time intervals and deal with short time series in the hope to have some form of approximate stationarity…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-11-17 Manan Vyas , T. Guhr , T. H. Seligman

In several practical applications, particularly healthcare, clinical data of each patient is individually recorded in a database at irregular intervals as required. This causes a sparse and irregularly sampled time series, which makes it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Mincheol Kim , Soo-Yong Shin

Samples of dynamic or time-varying networks and other random object data such as time-varying probability distributions are increasingly encountered in modern data analysis. Common methods for time-varying data such as functional data…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-23 Paromita Dubey , Hans-Georg Müller

Sparse trajectory data consist of a low number of trajectories such that the reconstruction of an underlying velocity field is not possible. Recently, approaches have been introduced to analyze flow behavior based on a single trajectory…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-02-22 Holger Theisel , Anke Friederici , Tobias Günther

In bulk systems the calculation of the main thermodynamic quantities leads to the same expectation values in the thermodynamic limit, regardless of the choice of the statistical ensemble. Single linear molecules can be still regarded as…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2013-05-29 M. Süzen , M. Sega , C. Holm

We provide an algorithm based on weighted-ensemble (WE) methods, to accurately sample systems at steady state. Applying our method to different one- and two-dimensional models, we succeed to calculate steady state probabilities of order…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-15 Justus A. Kromer , Lutz Schimansky-Geier , Raul Toral

Representing the nodes of continuous-time temporal graphs in a low-dimensional latent space has wide-ranging applications, from prediction to visualization. Yet, analyzing continuous-time relational data with timestamped interactions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Raphaël Romero , Jefrey Lijffijt , Riccardo Rastelli , Marco Corneli , Tijl De Bie

We experimentally demonstrate that the statistical properties of distances between pedestrians which are hindered from avoiding each other are described by the Gaussian Unitary Ensemble of random matrices. The same result has recently been…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-02-01 Daniel Jezbera , David Kordek , Jan Kriz , Petr Seba , Petr Sroll

We study a generalization of the Brownian bridge as a stochastic process that models the position and velocity of inertial particles between the two end-points of a time interval. The particles experience random acceleration and are assumed…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-07-15 Yongxin Chen , Tryphon Georgiou

It is well established that gene expression can be modeled as a Markovian stochastic process and hence proper observables might be subjected to large fluctuations and rare events. Since dynamics is often more than statics, one can work with…

Biological Physics · Physics 2019-09-11 Pegah Torkaman , Farhad H. Jafarpour

The weighted ensemble (WE) method, an enhanced sampling approach based on periodically replicating and pruning trajectories in a set of parallel simulations, has grown increasingly popular for computational biochemistry problems, due in…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-06-23 D. Aristoff , J. Copperman , G. Simpson , R. J. Webber , D. M. Zuckerman

Given a heterogeneous time-series sample, the objective is to find points in time (called change points) where the probability distribution generating the data has changed. The data are assumed to have been generated by arbitrary unknown…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-05-13 Azadeh Khaleghi , Daniil Ryabko

We develop flexible, semiparametric estimators of the average treatment effect (ATE) transported to a new population ("target population") that offer potential efficiency gains. Transport may be of value when the ATE may differ across…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-07 Kara E. Rudolph , Nicholas T. Williams , Elizabeth A. Stuart , Ivan Diaz

Pedestrian trajectory prediction is crucial for autonomous driving and robotics. While existing point-based and grid-based methods expose two main limitations: insufficiently modeling human motion dynamics, as they fail to balance local…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-01 Yanghong Liu , Xingping Dong , Ming Li , Weixing Zhang , Yidong Lou

Stepped wedge cluster randomized controlled trials are typically analyzed using models that assume the full effect of the treatment is achieved instantaneously. We provide an analytical framework for scenarios in which the treatment effect…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-25 Avi Kenny , Emily Voldal , Fan Xia , Patrick J. Heagerty , James P. Hughes

We analyze the question whether sliding window time averages applied to stationary increment processes converge to a limit in probability. The question centers on averages, correlations, and densities constructed via time averages of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Joseph L. McCauley

We present an efficient sampling method for computing a partition function and accelerating configuration sampling. The method performs a random walk in the $\lambda$ space, with $\lambda$ being any thermodynamic variable that characterizes…

Computational Physics · Physics 2010-03-02 Cheng Zhang , Jianpeng Ma

This paper presents two algorithms for calculating an ensemble of solutions to laminar natural convection problems. The ensemble average is the most likely temperature distribution and its variance gives an estimate of prediction…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-08-03 Joseph A. Fiordilino , Sarah Khankan

We study the long-term average evolution of the random ensemble along integrable Hamiltonian systems with time $T$-periodic transitions. More precisely, for any observable $G$, it is demonstrated that the ensemble under $G$ in long time…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-11-27 Xinyu Liu , Yong Li