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Related papers: Universal Fluctuations of the FTSE100

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We show an analogy at high curvature between a $f(R) = R + aR^{n - 1} + bR^2$ theory and the $\alpha$-Attractors. We calculate the expressions of the parameters $a$, $b$ and $n$ as functions of $\alpha$ and the predictions of the model…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2017-10-09 T. Miranda , J. C. Fabris , O. F. Piattella

Let G be a finite group. Let pi be a permutation from S{n}. We study the distribution of probabilities of equality a{1} a{2} ...a{n-1}a{n}=a{pi{1}}^{epsilon{1}} a{pi_{2}}^{epsilon{2}}...a{pi{n-1}}^{epsilon_{n-1}} a_{pi_{n}}^{epsilon{n}},…

Group Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-20 Robert Shwartz , Vadim E. Levit

In this article we refine well-known results concerning the fluctuations of one-dimensional random walks. More precisely, if $(S_n)_{n \geq 0}$ is a random walk starting from 0 and $r\geq 0$, we obtain the precise asymptotic behavior as…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-06 Rim Essifi , Marc Peigné , Kilian Raschel

We impose the uniform probability measure on the set of all discrete Gelfand-Tsetlin patterns of depth $n$ with the particles on row $n$ in deterministic positions. These systems equivalently describe a broad class of random tilings models,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-03 Erik Duse , Anthony Metcalfe

The formulaic alphas are mathematical formulas that transform raw stock data into indicated signals. In the industry, a collection of formulaic alphas is combined to enhance modeling accuracy. Existing alpha mining only employs the neural…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-01 Tao Ren , Ruihan Zhou , Jinyang Jiang , Jiafeng Liang , Qinghao Wang , Yijie Peng

We address the problem of recognizing alpha-stable Levy distribution with Levy index close to 2 from experimental data. We are interested in the case when the sample size of available data is not large, thus the power law asymptotics of the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-05 Krzysztof Burnecki , Agnieszka Wyłomańska , Aleksei Beletskii , Vsevolod Gonchar , Aleksei Chechkin

We study distributions $F$ on $[0,\infty)$ such that for some $T\le\infty$, $F^{*2}(x,x+T]\sim 2 F(x,x+T]$. The case $T=\infty$ corresponds to $F$ being subexponential, and our analysis shows that the properties for $T<\infty$ are, in fact,…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-20 S. Asmussen , S. Foss , D. Korshunov

Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA) is the most popular fractal analytical technique used to evaluate the strength of long-range correlations in empirical time series in terms of the Hurst exponent, $H$. Specifically, DFA quantifies the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-27 Aaron D. Likens , Madhur Mangalam , Aaron Y. Wong , Anaelle C. Charles , Caitlin Mills

We introduce a non-parametric method to recover physical probability distributions of asset returns based on their European option prices and some other sparse parametric information. Thus the main problem is similar to the one considered…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-13 Jarno Talponen

The financial market is nonpredictable, as according to the Bachelier, the mathematical expectation of the speculator is zero. Nevertheless, we observe in the price fluctuations the two distinct scales, short and long time. Behaviour of a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 R. Wojnar

In the present work, we provide the general expression of the normalized centered moments of the Fr\'echet extreme-value distribution. In order to try to represent a set of data corresponding to rare events by a Fr\'echet distribution, it…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-29 Jean-Christophe Pain

There are numerous examples of natural and artificial processes that represent stochastic sequences of events followed by an absolute refractory period during which the occurrence of a subsequent event is impossible. In the simplest case of…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-24 A. V. Paraskevov , A. S. Minkin

We give an explicit algorithm and source code for extracting equity risk factors from dead (a.k.a. "flatlined" or "hockey-stick") alphas and using them to improve performance characteristics of good (tradable) alphas. In a nutshell, we use…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-27 Zura Kakushadze , Willie Yu

Financial time series typically exhibit strong fluctuations that cannot be described by a Gaussian distribution. In recent empirical studies of stock market indices it was examined whether the distribution P(r) of returns r(tau) after some…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Ofer Biham , Zhi-Feng Huang , Ofer Malcai , Sorin Solomon

We analyze the energy density fluctuations contributed by scalar fields $\Phi$ with vanishing expectation values, $\langle\Phi\rangle=0$, which are present in addition to the inflaton field. For simplicity we take $\Phi$ to be…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2009-09-25 Harald F. Muller , Christoph Schmid

The major goal of the present paper is to find out the manifestation of the boundedness of fluctuations. Two different subjects are considered: (i) an ergodic Markovian process associated with a new type of large scaled fluctuations at…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Maria K. Koleva , Valery C. Covachev

The equation of state with quantum statistics corrections is used for particle number fluctuations $\omega$ of isotopically symmetric nuclear matter with interparticle van der Waals and Skyrme local density interactions. The fluctuations,…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2023-03-01 A. G. Magner , S. N. Fedotkin , U. V. Grygoriev

This paper focuses on testing for the presence of alpha in time-varying factor pricing models, specifically when the number of securities N is larger than the time dimension of the return series T. We introduce a maximum-type test that…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-19 Huifang MA , Long Feng , Zhaojun Wang

The paper assesses stationary probability distributions in out of equilibrium systems. In the phenomenology proposed, no free energy can be well defined. Fluctuations of Landau free energy couplings arise when the intrinsic chemical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-01-31 Guillaume Attuel

We analyze the problem of the analytical characterization of the probability distribution of financial returns in the exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model with stochastic volatility. In this model the prices are driven by a Geometric…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Giacomo Bormetti , Valentina Cazzola , Guido Montagna , Oreste Nicrosini