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We develop a stochastic calculus that makes it easy to capture a variety of predictable transformations of semimartingales such as changes of variables, stochastic integrals, and their compositions. The framework offers a unified treatment…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-13 Aleš Černý , Johannes Ruf

Many problems in machine learning and statistics involve nested expectations and thus do not permit conventional Monte Carlo (MC) estimation. For such problems, one must nest estimators, such that terms in an outer estimator themselves…

Computation · Statistics 2018-05-24 Tom Rainforth , Robert Cornish , Hongseok Yang , Andrew Warrington , Frank Wood

We propose flexible Gaussian representations for conditional cumulative distribution functions and give a concave likelihood criterion for their estimation. Optimal representations satisfy the monotonicity property of conditional cumulative…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-22 Richard Spady , Sami Stouli

We give a bare-hands approach to the martingale representation theorem for integer valued random measures, which allows for a wide class of infinite activity jump processes, as well as all processes with well-ordered jumps.

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-24 Samuel N. Cohen

We consider a complete probability space $(\Omega,\mathcal{F},\mathbb{P})$, which is endowed with two filtrations, $\mathbb{G}$ and $\mathbb{F}$, assumed to satisfy the usual conditions and such that $\mathbb{F} \subset \mathbb{G}$. On this…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-21 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Jacek Jakubowski , Monique Jeanblanc , Mariusz Niewęgłowski

We develop a theory of optimal stopping problems under G-expectation framework. We first define a new kind of random times, called G-stopping times, which is suitable for this problem. For the discrete time case with finite horizon, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-21 Hanwu Li

In this paper we explore the fundamentals of the Martingale Representation Theorem (MRT) and a closely related result, the Clark-Ocone formula. We also investigate how far these theorems can be taken, notably beyond the regular Sobolev…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-25 Deborah Schneider-Luftman

We present a few techniques for proving $L^p$ estimates for martingales. Basic applications to It\^o integration and rough paths are included.

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-29 Pavel Zorin-Kranich

G-computation is a useful estimation method that can be adapted to address various biases in epidemiology. However, these adaptations may not be obvious for some complex causal structures. This challenge is an example of the much wider…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-01 Paul N Zivich , Haidong Lu

We give a collection of explicit sufficient conditions for the true martingale property of a wide class of exponentials of semimartingales. We express the conditions in terms of semimartingale characteristics. This turns out to be very…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-12 David Criens , Kathrin Glau , Zorana Grbac

Let $X$ be a point process and let $\mathbb{X}$ denote the filtration generated by $X$. In this paper we study martingale representation theorems in the filtration $\mathbb{G}$ obtained as an initial and progressive enlargement of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-09 Paolo Di Tella , Monique Jeanblanc

Via a covariance representation based on characteristic functions, a known elementary proof of the Gaussian concentration inequality is presented. A few other applications are briefly mentioned.

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-10 Christian Houdré

We show that all local martingales with respect to the initially enlarged natural filtration of a vector of multivariate point processes can be weakly represented up to the minimum among the explosion times of the components. We also prove…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-12 Antonella Calzolari , Barbara Torti

The solution of Poisson's equation plays a key role in constructing the martingale through which sums of Markov correlated random variables can be analyzed. In this paper, we study two different representations for the solution in countable…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-22 Peter W. Glynn , Alex Infanger

In the propositional setting, the marginal problem is to find a (maximum-entropy) distribution that has some given marginals. We study this problem in a relational setting and make the following contributions. First, we compare two…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-04-26 Ondrej Kuzelka , Yuyi Wang , Jesse Davis , Steven Schockaert

By the classical Martingale Representation Theorem, replication of random vectors can be achieved via stochastic integrals or solutions of stochastic differential equations. We introduce a new approach to replication of random vectors via…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-08-01 Nikolai Dokuchaev

We study the limiting distribution of the eigenvalues of the Ginibre ensemble conditioned on the event that a certain proportion lie in a given region of the complex plane. Using an equivalent formulation as an obstacle problem, we describe…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-09 Scott N. Armstrong , Sylvia Serfaty , Ofer Zeitouni

We consider an open question posed in \cite{Zhu-Baggio-17} on the uniqueness of the solution to a parametric spectral estimation problem.

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-04-19 Bin Zhu

We calculate certain estimates for the solution of the characteristic problem of the wave equation reduced to first order, in terms of the free data prescribed on two transverse surfaces, one of which is characteristic. Estimates of such…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 Simonetta Frittelli

In this article we study the existence and strong consistency of GEE estimators, when the generalized estimating functions are martingales with random coefficients. Furthermore, we characterize estimating functions which are asymptotically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-15 Laura Dumitrescu , Ioana Schiopu-Kratina