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Detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) is a scaling analysis method used to quantify long-range power-law correlations in signals. Many physical and biological signals are ``noisy'', heterogeneous and exhibit different types of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-07 Zhi Chen , Plamen Ch. Ivanov , Kun Hu , H. Eugene Stanley

We address the problem of the statistical analysis of a time series generated by complex dynamics with a new method: the Diffusion Entropy Analysis (DEA) (Fractals, {\bf 9}, 193 (2001)). This method is based on the evaluation of the Shannon…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-31 Nicola Scafetta , Vito Latora , Paolo Grigolini

Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA) is widely used to assess the presence of long-range temporal correlations in time series. Signals with long-range temporal correlations are typically defined as having a power law decay in their…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2013-06-24 Maria Botcharova , Simon F Farmer , Luc Berthouze

Fitting probabilistic models to data is often difficult, due to the general intractability of the partition function. We propose a new parameter fitting method, Minimum Probability Flow (MPF), which is applicable to any parametric model. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-21 Jascha Sohl-Dickstein , Peter Battaglino , Michael R. DeWeese

We propose an inference-time scaling approach for pretrained flow models. Recently, inference-time scaling has gained significant attention in LLMs and diffusion models, improving sample quality or better aligning outputs with user…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Jaihoon Kim , Taehoon Yoon , Jisung Hwang , Minhyuk Sung

Many dynamic processes such as telecommunication and transport networks can be described through discrete time series of graphs. Modelling the dynamics of such time series enables prediction of graph structure at future time steps, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Sevvandi Kandanaarachchi , Ziqi Xu , Stefan Westerlund , Conrad Sanderson

Most data processing techniques, applied to biomedical and sociological time series, are only valid for random fluctuations that are stationary in time. Unfortunately, these data are often non stationary and the use of techniques of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 M. Ignaccolo , P. Allegrini , P. Grigolini , P. Hamilton , B. J. West

A new concept, called balanced estimator of diffusion entropy, is proposed to detect scalings in short time series. The effectiveness of the method is verified by means of a large number of artificial fractional Brownian motions. It is used…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-11-15 Jingzhao Qi , Huijie Yang

Predictable Feature Analysis (PFA) (Richthofer, Wiskott, ICMLA 2015) is an algorithm that performs dimensionality reduction on high dimensional input signal. It extracts those subsignals that are most predictable according to a certain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-05 Stefan Richthofer , Laurenz Wiskott

We examine the Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA), which is a well-established method for the detection of long-range correlations in time series. We show that deviations from scaling that appear at small time scales become stronger in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Jan W. Kantelhardt , Eva Koscielny-Bunde , Henio H. A. Rego , Shlomo Havlin , Armin Bunde

Total Flow Analysis (TFA) is a method for conducting the worst-case analysis of time sensitive networks without cyclic dependencies. In networks with cyclic dependencies, Fixed-Point TFA introduces artificial cuts, analyses the resulting…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2022-05-12 Stéphan Plassart , Jean-Yves Le Boudec

The progressive hedging algorithm (PHA) is a cornerstone among algorithms for large-scale stochastic programming problems. However, its traditional implementation is hindered by some limitations, including the requirement to solve all…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-13 Di Zhang , Yihang Zhang , Suvrajeet Sen

Extracted event data from information systems often contain a variety of process executions making the data complex and difficult to comprehend. Unlike current research which only identifies the variability over time, we focus on other…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Ali Norouzifar , Majid Rafiei , Marcus Dees , Wil van der Aalst

We illustrate the efficacy of a discrete wavelet based approach to characterize fluctuations in non-stationary time series. The present approach complements the multi-fractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MF-DFA) method and is quite…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2008-04-16 P. Manimaran , Prasanta K. Panigrahi , Jitendra C. Parikh

Performance analysis is challenging as different components (e.g.,different libraries, and applications) of a complex system can interact with each other. However, few existing tools focus on understanding such interactions. To bridge this…

Performance · Computer Science 2024-10-24 Steven , Tang , Mingcan Xiang , Yang Wang , Bo Wu , Jianjun Chen , Tongping Liu

We present an approach for flux analysis in process algebra models of biological systems. We perceive flux as the flow of resources in stochastic simulations. We resort to an established correspondence between event structures, a broadly…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2010-02-23 Ozan Kahramanoğullari

New time-series analysis tools are needed in disciplines as diverse as astronomy, economics and meteorology. In particular, the increasing rate of data collection at multiple wavelengths requires new approaches able to handle these data.…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2021-01-05 C. E. Ferreira Lopes , N. J. G. Cross , F. Jablonski

This paper proposes a novel diffusion-index model for forecasting when predictors are high-dimensional matrix-valued time series. We apply an $\alpha$-PCA method to extract low-dimensional matrix factors and build a bilinear regression…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-07 Zhiren Ma , Qian Zhao , Riquan Zhang , Zhaoxing Gao

In this paper, we show that slow feature analysis (SFA), a common time series decomposition method, naturally fits into the flow-based models (FBM) framework, a type of invertible neural latent variable models. Building upon recent advances…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-21 Edouard Pineau , Sébastien Razakarivony , Thomas Bonald

Current methods for determining whether a time series exhibits fractal structure (FS) rely on subjective assessments on estimators of the Hurst exponent (H). Here, I introduce the Bayesian Assessment of Scaling, an analytical framework for…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 Fermín Moscoso del Prado Martín