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We finely describe the speed of "coming down from infinity" for birth and death processes which eventually become extinct. Under general assumptions on the birth and death rates, we firstly determine the behavior of the successive hitting…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-01 Vincent Bansaye , Sylvie Méléard , Mathieu Richard

For ergodic systems with generating partitions, the well known result of Ornstein and Weiss shows that the exponential growth rate of the recurrence time is almost surely equal to the metric entropy. Here we look at the exponential growth…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-06-20 Chinmaya Gupta , Nicolai Haydn , Milton Ko , Erika A Rada-Mora

We establish abstract local limit theorems for hitting times and return-times of suitable sequences (A_{l}) of asymptotically rare events in ergodic probability preserving dynamical systems, including versions for tuples of consecutive…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-08-28 Max Auer , Roland Zweimüller

A distributional symmetry is invariance of a distribution under a group of transformations. Exchangeability and stationarity are examples. We explain that a result of ergodic theory provides a law of large numbers: If the group satisfies…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-30 Morgane Austern , Peter Orbanz

We study Hamiltonicity and pancyclicity in the graph obtained as the union of a deterministic $n$-vertex graph $H$ with $\delta(H)\geq\alpha n$ and a random $d$-regular graph $G$, for $d\in\{1,2\}$. When $G$ is a random $2$-regular graph,…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-09-29 Alberto Espuny Díaz , António Girão

We consider the rate of piecewise constant approximation to a locally stationary process $X(t),t\in [0,1]$, having a variable smoothness index $\alpha(t)$. Assuming that $\alpha(\cdot)$ attains its unique minimum at zero and satisfies the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-19 Enkelejd Hashorva , Mikhail Lifshits , Oleg Seleznjev

Normal approximations for descents and inversions of permutations of the set $\{1,2,...,n\}$ are well known. A number of sequences that occur in practice, such as the human genome and other genomes, contain many repeated elements. Motivated…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-28 Mark Conger , D. Viswanath

We prove that multimodal maps with an absolutely continuous invariant measure have exponential return time statistics around a.e. point. We also show a `polynomial Gibbs property' for these systems, and that the convergence to the entropy…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-04-20 Henk Bruin , Mike Todd

The spectral gap $\gamma$ of a finite, ergodic, and reversible Markov chain is an important parameter measuring the asymptotic rate of convergence. In applications, the transition matrix $P$ may be unknown, yet one sample of the chain up to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-25 Daniel Hsu , Aryeh Kontorovich , David A. Levin , Yuval Peres , Csaba Szepesvári

Construct recursively a long string of words w1. .. wn, such that at each step k, w k+1 is a new word with a fixed probability p $\in$ (0, 1), and repeats some preceding word with complementary probability 1 -- p. More precisely, given a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-26 Jean Bertoin

We present a unified approach to extensions of Bourgain's Double Recurrence Theorem and Bourgain's Return Times Theorem to integer parts of the Kronecker sequence, emphasizing stopping times and metric entropy. Specifically, we prove the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-01-14 Ben Krause

We prove an upper bound on the total variation mixing time of a finite Markov chain in terms of the absolute spectral gap and the number of elements in the state space. Unlike results requiring reversibility or irreducibility, this bound is…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-31 Daniel Jerison

We establish via a probabilistic approach the quenched invariance principle for a class of long range random walks in independent (but not necessarily identically distributed) balanced random environments, with the transition probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-27 Xin Chen , Zhen-Qing Chen , Takashi Kumagai , Jian Wang

We introduce a model of graph-constrained dynamic choice with reinforcement modeled by positively $\alpha$-homogeneous rewards. We show that its empirical process, which can be written as a stochastic approximation recursion with Markov…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-27 Konstantin Avrachenkov , Vivek S. Borkar , Sharayu Moharir , Suhail M. Shah

We prove exponential convergence to the stationary measure for a class of 1d Lagrangian systems with random forcing in the space-periodic setting: $$ \phi_t+\phi_x^2/2=F^{\omega}, x \in S^1 = \mathbb{R}/\mathbb{Z}. $$ This confirms a part…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-08-05 Alexandre Boritchev

Let $(X_t)$ be a discrete time Markov chain on a general state space. It is well-known that if $(X_t)$ is aperiodic and satisfies a drift and minorization condition, then it converges to its stationary distribution $\pi$ at an exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-20 Daniel C. Jerison

We establish and generalise several bounds for various random walk quantities including the mixing time and the maximum hitting time. Unlike previous analyses, our derivations are based on rather intuitive notions of local expansion…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-05 Thomas Sauerwald , Luca Zanetti

We investigate the mixing properties of a finite Markov chain in random environment defined as a mixture of a deterministic chain and a chain whose state space has been permuted uniformly at random. This work is the counterpart of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-07 Bastien Dubail

In this paper we study the quenched distributions of hitting times for a class of random dynamical systems. We prove that hitting times to dynamically defined cylinders converge to a Poisson point process under the law of random equivariant…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-11-30 Harry Crimmins , Benoît Saussol

Motivated by problems of statistical language modeling, we consider probability measures on infinite sequences over two countable alphabets of a different cardinality, such as letters and words. We introduce an invertible mapping between…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Łukasz Dębowski