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In time series analysis, statistics based on collections of estimators computed from sub-samples play a crucial role in an increasing variety of important applications. Proving results about the joint asymptotic distribution of such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-27 Stanislav Volgushev , Xiaofeng Shao

By a mixture density is meant a density of the form $\pi_{\mu}(\cdot)=\int\pi_{\theta}(\cdot)\times\mu(d\theta)$, where $(\pi_{\theta})_{\theta\in\Theta}$ is a family of probability densities and $\mu$ is a probability measure on $\Theta$.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 François Roueff , Tobias Rydén

Stochastic processes are considered on free loop spaces, geometric loop and diffeomorphism groups of real and complex manifolds. They are used for investigations of Wiener differentiable quasi-invariant measures on such groups relative to…

Group Theory · Mathematics 2007-05-23 S. V. Ludkovsky

In stochastic decision problems, one often wants to estimate the underlying probability measure statistically, and then to use this estimate as a basis for decisions. We shall consider how the uncertainty in this estimation can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-24 Samuel N. Cohen

We analyze the properties of arguably the simplest bilinear stochastic multiplicative process, proposed as a model of financial returns and of other complex systems combining both nonlinearity and multiplicative noise. By construction, it…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 D. Sornette , V. F. Pisarenko

In order to bring contraction analysis into the very fruitful and topical fields of stochastic and Bayesian systems, we extend here the theory describes in \cite{Lohmiller98} to random differential equations. We propose new definitions of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-09-27 Nicolas Tabareau , Jean-Jacques Slotine

In this work, we examine sampling problems with non-smooth potentials. We propose a novel Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for sampling from non-smooth potentials. We provide a non-asymptotical analysis of our algorithm and establish a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-11 Jiaming Liang , Yongxin Chen

Sequential Monte Carlo Samplers are a class of stochastic algorithms for Monte Carlo integral estimation w.r.t. probability distributions, which combine elements of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods and importance sampling/resampling…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Andreas Eberle , Carlo Marinelli

This paper introduces a novel family of geostatistical models designed to capture complex features beyond the reach of traditional Gaussian processes. The proposed family, termed the Poisson-Gaussian Mixture Process (POGAMP), is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-09 F. B. Gonçalves , M. O. Prates , G. A. S. Aguilar

Given a c\`adl\`ag process $X$ on a filtered measurable space, we construct a version of its semimartingale characteristics which is measurable with respect to the underlying probability law. More precisely, let $\mathfrak{P}_{sem}$ be the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-08 Ariel Neufeld , Marcel Nutz

We develop a novel stochastic valuation and premium calculation principle based on probability measure distortions that are induced by quantile processes in continuous time. Necessary and sufficient conditions are derived under which the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-07 Holly Brannelly , Andrea Macrina , Gareth W. Peters

This paper generalizes the notion of stochastic order to a relation between probability measures over arbitrary measurable spaces. This generalization is motivated by the observation that for the stochastic ordering of two stationary Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-24 Lasse Leskelä

We analyze convergence rates of stochastic optimization procedures for non-smooth convex optimization problems. By combining randomized smoothing techniques with accelerated gradient methods, we obtain convergence rates of stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-04-10 John C. Duchi , Peter L. Bartlett , Martin J. Wainwright

It has recently been shown that many of the existing quasi-Newton algorithms can be formulated as learning algorithms, capable of learning local models of the cost functions. Importantly, this understanding allows us to safely start…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-06 Adrian G. Wills , Thomas B. Schön

Quantum estimation theory is a reformulation of random statistical theory with the modern language of quantum mechanics. In fact, the density operator plays a role similar to that of probability distribution functions in classical…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-11-15 Bakmou Lahcen , Daoud Mohammed

When uncertainty is modelled by a set of non-dominated and non-compact probability measures, a notion of essential supremum for a family of real-valued functions is developed in terms of upper semi-analytic functions. We show how the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-19 Laurence Carassus

Variational inequality problems allow for capturing an expansive class of problems, including convex optimization problems, convex Nash games and economic equilibrium problems, amongst others. Yet in most practical settings, such problems…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-02-17 Uma V. Ravat , Uday V. Shanbhag

We present an application of the theory of stochastic processes to model and categorize non-equilibrium physical phenomena. The concepts of uniformly continuous probability measures and modular evolution lead to a systematic hierarchical…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-08-18 Enrique Hernandez-Lemus , Jesus K. Estrada-Gil

Nonuniform subsampling methods are effective to reduce computational burden and maintain estimation efficiency for massive data. Existing methods mostly focus on subsampling with replacement due to its high computational efficiency. If the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-06 Jun Yu , HaiYing Wang , Mingyao Ai , Huiming Zhang

This paper outlines an approach to the approximation of probability density functions by quadratic forms of weighted orthonormal basis functions with positive semi-definite Hermitian matrices of unit trace. Such matrices are called…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Igor G. Vladimirov