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The declining response rates in probability surveys along with the widespread availability of unstructured data has led to growing research into non-probability samples. Existing robust approaches are not well-developed for non-Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Ali Rafei , Michael R. Elliott , Carol A. C. Flannagan

Gaussian process regression is a powerful Bayesian nonlinear regression method. Recent research has enabled the capture of many types of observations using non-Gaussian likelihoods. To deal with various tasks in spatial modeling, we benefit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-26 Yuta Shikuri

We consider coherent sublinear expectations on a measurable space, without assuming the existence of a dominating probability measure. By considering a decomposition of the space in terms of the supports of the measures representing our…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-27 Samuel N. Cohen

In this paper, we discuss the problem of minimizing the sum of two convex functions: a smooth function plus a non-smooth function. Further, the smooth part can be expressed by the average of a large number of smooth component functions, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Luo Luo , Zihao Chen , Zhihua Zhang , Wu-Jun Li

The recent proliferation of computers and the internet have opened new opportunities for collecting and processing data. However, such data are often obtained without a well-planned probability survey design. Such non-probability based…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-28 Vladislav Beresovsky , Julie Gershunskaya , Terrance D. Savitsky

The stochastic theory of non-relativistic quantum mechanics presented here relies heavily upon the theory of stochastic processes, with its definitions, theorems and specific vocabulary as well. Its main hypothesis states indeed that the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-04-01 Maurice J. M. L. O. Godart

We develop a general framework for extracting highly uniform bounds on local stability for stochastic processes in terms of information on fluctuations or crossings. This includes a large class of martingales: As a corollary of our main…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-05 Morenikeji Neri , Thomas Powell

We introduce a new family of estimators for unnormalized statistical models. Our family of estimators is parameterized by two nonlinear functions and uses a single sample from an auxiliary distribution, generalizing Maximum Likelihood Monte…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Miika Pihlaja , Michael Gutmann , Aapo Hyvarinen

In many areas of science one aims to estimate latent sub-population mean curves based only on observations of aggregated population curves. By aggregated curves we mean linear combination of functional data that cannot be observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-02-15 Ronaldo Dias , Nancy L. Garcia , Alexandra M. Schmidt

Nonparametric regression for massive numbers of samples (n) and features (p) is an increasingly important problem. In big n settings, a common strategy is to partition the feature space, and then separately apply simple models to each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-06-10 Rajarshi Guhaniyogi , David B. Dunson

Deep Gaussian Processes learn probabilistic data representations for supervised learning by cascading multiple Gaussian Processes. While this model family promises flexible predictive distributions, exact inference is not tractable.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-23 Jakob Lindinger , David Reeb , Christoph Lippert , Barbara Rakitsch

How might a smooth probability distribution be estimated, with accurately quantified uncertainty, from a limited amount of sampled data? Here we describe a field-theoretic approach that addresses this problem remarkably well in one…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-10-24 Wei-Chia Chen , Ammar Tareen , Justin B. Kinney

A specific family of point processes are introduced that allow to select samples for the purpose of estimating the mean or the integral of a function of a real variable. These processes, called quasi-systematic processes, depend on a tuning…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-19 Matthieu Wilhelm , Yves Tillé , Lionel Qualité

Gaussian Process (GP) models are a powerful tool in probabilistic machine learning with a solid theoretical foundation. Thanks to current advances, modeling complex data with GPs is becoming increasingly feasible, which makes them an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Sarem Seitz

We introduce a new method for solving nonlinear continuous optimization problems with chance constraints. Our method is based on a reformulation of the probabilistic constraint as a quantile function. The quantile function is approximated…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-17 Alejandra Peña-Ordieres , James R. Luedtke , Andreas Wächter

We study the existence of densities for distributions of piecewise deterministic Markov processes. We also obtain relationships between invariant densities of the continuous time process and that of the process observed at jump times. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-03 Piotr Gwiżdż , Marta Tyran-Kamińska

We present a quasi-Newton method for unconstrained stochastic optimization. Most existing literature on this topic assumes a setting of stochastic optimization in which a finite sum of component functions is a reasonable approximation of an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Matt Menickelly , Stefan M. Wild , Miaolan Xie

Copulas, generalized estimating equations, and generalized linear mixed models promote the analysis of grouped data where non-normal responses are correlated. Unfortunately, parameter estimation remains challenging in these three…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-16 Sarah S. Ji , Benjamin B. Chu , Hua Zhou , Kenneth Lange

This paper addresses the issues of conservativeness and computational complexity of probabilistic robustness analysis. We solve both issues by defining a new sampling strategy and robustness measure. The new measure is shown to be much less…

Applications · Statistics 2008-05-12 Xinjia Chen , Kemin Zhou , Jorge L. Aravena

This article introduces a general statistical modeling principle called "Density Sharpening" and applies it to the analysis of discrete count data. The underlying foundation is based on a new theory of nonparametric approximation and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-24 Subhadeep Mukhopadhyay
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