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The study deals with the ruin problem when an insurance company having two business branches, life insurance and non-life insurance, invests its reserve into a risky asset with the price dynamics given by a geometric Brownian motion. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-17 Yuri Kabanov , Nikita Pukhlyakov

A refracted L\'evy process is a L\'evy process whose dynamics change by subtracting off a fixed linear drift (of suitable size) whenever the aggregate process is above a pre-specified level. More precisely, whenever it exists, a refracted…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-04 Andreas E. Kyprianou , J. C. Pardo , J. L. Pérez

In this note we consider the two-dimensional risk model introduced in Avram et al. \cite{APP08} with constant interest rate. We derive the integral-differential equations of the Laplace transforms, and asymptotic expressions for the finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-17 Ze-Chun Hu , Bin Jiang

In this text, we establish the risk model based on AR(1) series and propose the basic model which has a dependent structure under intensity of claim number. Considering some properties of the risk model, we take advantage of newton…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-10-31 Wenhao Li , Bolong Wang , Tianxiang Shen , Ronghua Zhu , Dehui Wang

The paper investigates a discrete time Binomial risk model with different types of polices and shock events may influence some of the claim sizes. It is shown that this model can be considered as a particular case of the classical compound…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-12 Pavlina K. Jordanova , Evelina Veleva

We consider a spectrally negative branching L{\'e}vy process in which particles are killed upon crossing below zero. It is known that such a process becomes extinct almost surely if the drift toward -$\infty$ is sufficiently strong to…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-06 Christophe Profeta

In this paper, we investigate the ruin probabilities of non-homogeneous risk models. By employing martingale method, the Lundberg-type inequalities of ruin probabilities of non-homogeneous renewal risk models are obtained under weak…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-05 Qianqian Zhou , Alexander Sakhanenko , Junyi Guo

Using the results of precise large deviation and renewal theory for widely dependent random variables, this paper obtains the asymptotic estimation of the random-time ruin probability and the uniform asymptotic estimation of finite-time…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-24 Yang Chen , Zhaolei Cui , Yuebao Wang

Due to its practical use, De Vylder's approximation of the ruin probability has been one of the most popular approximations in ruin theory and its application to insurance. Surprisingly, only heuristic and numerical evidence has supported…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-04 Azmi Makhlouf

We study the persistence probability for processes with stationary increments. Our results apply to a number of examples: sums of stationary correlated random variables whose scaling limit is fractional Brownian motion, random walks in…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-01 Frank Aurzada , Nadine Guillotin-Plantard , Françoise Pène

This note explores the mathematical theory to solve modern gamblers ruin problems. We establish a ruin framework and solve for the probability of bankruptcy. We also show how this relates to the expected time to bankruptcy and review the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-25 Salil Mehta

Given a spectrally negative L\'evy process, we predict, in a $L_1$ sense, the last passage time of the process below zero before an independent exponential time. This optimal prediction problem generalises Baurdoux and Pedraza (2020) where…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-11 Erik J. Baurdoux , José M. Pedraza

We investigate the behavior of L\'{e}vy processes with convolution equivalent L\'{e}vy measures, up to the time of first passage over a high level u. Such problems arise naturally in the context of insurance risk where u is the initial…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-23 Philip S. Griffin

This article deals with the asymptotic behaviour as $t\to +\infty$ of the survival function $P[T > t],$ where $T$ is the first passage time above a non negative level of a random process starting from zero. In many cases of physical…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-30 Frank Aurzada , Thomas Simon

We construct the law of L\'{e}vy processes conditioned to stay positive under general hypotheses. We obtain a Williams type path decomposition at the minimum of these processes. This result is then applied to prove the weak convergence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Loïc Chaumont , Ron A. Doney

We obtain the rate of growth of long strange segments and the rate of decay of infinite horizon ruin probabilities for a class of infinite moving average processes with exponentially light tails. The rates are computed explicitly. We show…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-18 Souvik Ghosh , Gennady Samorodnitsky

This paper considers magnitude, asymptotics and duration of drawdowns for some L\'{e}vy processes. First, we revisit some existing results on the magnitude of drawdowns for spectrally negative L\'{e}vy processes using an approximation…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-03 David Landriault , Bin Li , Hongzhong Zhang

We consider an optimal dividend problem with transaction costs where the surplus is modelled by a spectrally negative L\'evy process in an Omega model. n this model, the surplus is allowed to spend time below the critical ruin level, but is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-01 Dante Mata

We consider a L\'evy process reflected at the origin with additional i.i.d. collapses that occur at Poisson epochs, where a collapse is a jump downward to a state which is a random fraction of the state just before the jump. We first study…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-17 Onno Boxma , Offer Kella , David Perry

We consider the Airy$_1$ process, which is the limit process in KPZ growth models with flat and non-random initial conditions. We study the persistence probability, namely the probability that the process stays below a given threshold $c$…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-17 Patrik L. Ferrari , Min Liu
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