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We consider the problem of testing a null hypothesis defined by equality and inequality constraints on a statistical parameter. Testing such hypotheses can be challenging because the number of relevant constraints may be on the same order…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-19 Nils Sturma , Mathias Drton , Dennis Leung

Used to estimate the risk of an estimator or to perform model selection, cross-validation is a widespread strategy because of its simplicity and its apparent universality. Many results exist on the model selection performances of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-01 Sylvain Arlot , Alain Celisse

Statistical hypothesis testing, as formalized by 20th Century statisticians and taught in college statistics courses, has been a cornerstone of 100 years of scientific progress. Nevertheless, the methodology is increasingly questioned in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-22 Brian Dennis , Mark L Taper , José M Ponciano

In this paper an autoregressive time series model with conditional heteroscedasticity is considered, where both conditional mean and conditional variance function are modeled nonparametrically. A test for the model assumption of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-12 Marie Hušková , Natalie Neumeyer , Tobias Niebuhr , Leonie Selk

This paper introduces a framework for uncertainty quantification in regression models defined in metric spaces. Leveraging a newly defined notion of homoscedasticity, we develop a conformal prediction algorithm that offers finite-sample…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-22 Gábor Lugosi , Marcos Matabuena

Despite its prevalence in statistical datasets, heteroscedasticity (non-constant sample variances) has been largely ignored in the high-dimensional statistics literature. Recently, studies have shown that the Lasso can accommodate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-31 James Sharpnack , Mladen Kolar

We consider a regression model with errors that are a.s. negative. Thus the regression function is not the expected value of the observations but the right endpoint of their support. We develop two goodness-of-fit tests for the hypotheses…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-01 Jürgen Kampf , Alexander Meister

The field of causal discovery develops model selection methods to infer cause-effect relations among a set of random variables. For this purpose, different modelling assumptions have been proposed to render cause-effect relations…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-09 Daniela Schkoda , Mathias Drton

The multivariate linear regression model is an important tool for investigating relationships between several response variables and several predictor variables. The primary interest is in inference about the unknown regression coefficient…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-13 Daniel J. Eck

We suggest a new approach to hypothesis testing for ergodic and stationary processes. In contrast to standard methods, the suggested approach gives a possibility to make tests, based on any lossless data compression method even if the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Boris Ryabko , Jaakko Astola

This paper provides a general framework for testing instrument validity in heterogeneous causal effect models. The generalization includes the cases where the treatment can be multivalued ordered or unordered. Based on a series of testable…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-11 Zhenting Sun

Economic choices are often stochastic: the same person may make a different choice when facing the same alternatives repeatedly. Standard models assume that the degree of randomness reflects the size of utility differences, but choice…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-05 Shuhua Si

This paper studies the problem of testing whether a function is monotone from a nonparametric Bayesian perspective. Two new families of tests are constructed. The first uses constrained smoothing splines, together with a hierarchical…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-03 James G. Scott , Thomas S. Shively , Stephen G. Walker

In this paper we discuss how to evaluate the differences between fitted logistic regression models across sub-populations. Our motivating example is in studying computerized diagnosis for learning disabilities, where sub-populations based…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-24 Guy Ashiri-Prossner , Yuval Benjamini

This paper presents a goodness-of-fit test for parametric regression models with scalar response and directional predictor, that is, a vector on a sphere of arbitrary dimension. The testing procedure is based on the weighted squared…

In this paper, we develop invariance-based procedures for testing and inference in high-dimensional regression models. These procedures, also known as randomization tests, provide several important advantages. First, for the global null…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-27 Wenxuan Guo , Panos Toulis

Recently Hui et al. (2018) use F tests for testing a subset of random effect, demonstrating its computational simplicity and exactness when the first two moment of the random effects are specified. We extended the investigation of the F…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-11 P. Y. O'Shaughnessy , Francis Hui , Samuel Muller , A. H. Welsh

We consider a nonparametric heteroscedastic time series regression model and suggest testing procedures to detect changes in the conditional variance function. The tests are based on a sequential marked empirical process and thus combine…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-10 Maria Mohr , Natalie Neumeyer

A number of biomedical problems require performing many hypothesis tests, with an attendant need to apply stringent thresholds. Often the data take the form of a series of predictor vectors, each of which must be compared with a single…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-13 Yi-Hui Zhou , Fred Wright

The danger of confusing long-range dependence with non-stationarity has been pointed out by many authors. Finding an answer to this difficult question is of importance to model time-series showing trend-like behavior, such as river run-off…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-06-08 Olaf Kouamo , Eric Moulines , François Roueff