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We propose an autoregressive framework for modelling dynamic networks with dependent edges. It encompasses models that accommodate, for example, transitivity, degree heterogenenity, and other stylized features often observed in real network…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-25 Jinyuan Chang , Qin Fang , Eric D. Kolaczyk , Peter W. MacDonald , Qiwei Yao

Exponential random graph models are an important tool in the statistical analysis of data. However, Bayesian parameter estimation for these models is extremely challenging, since evaluation of the posterior distribution typically involves…

Computation · Statistics 2017-05-05 Lampros Bouranis , Nial Friel , Florian Maire

To address the common problem of high dimensionality in tensor regressions, we introduce a generalized tensor random projection method that embeds high-dimensional tensor-valued covariates into low-dimensional subspaces with minimal loss of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-03 Roberto Casarin , Radu Craiu , Qing Wang

The maximum likelihood threshold of a statistical model is the minimum number of datapoints required to fit the model via maximum likelihood estimation. In this paper we determine the maximum likelihood thresholds of generic linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Daniel Irving Bernstein , Steven J. Gortler , Louis Theran

In this note, we give a short information-theoretic proof of the consistency of the Gaussian maximum likelihood estimator in linear auto-regressive models. Our proof yields nearly optimal non-asymptotic rates for parameter recovery and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-11 Ingvar Ziemann

In this paper, a Mixed Data Sampling (MIDAS) model is studied when both low and high frequency variables are contaminated with measurement error. It is shown that the profile likelihood estimator becomes inconsistent in the presence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-28 Sukhbir Kaur , Sukhbir Singh , Kanchan Jain , Pooja Soni

We consider a binary sequence generated by thresholding a hidden continuous sequence. The hidden variables are assumed to have a compound symmetry covariance structure with a single parameter characterizing the common correlation. We study…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Haolei Weng , Yang Feng

We consider the problem of estimating a variable number of parameters with a dynamic nature. A familiar example is finding the position of moving targets using sensor array observations. The problem is challenging in cases where either the…

Computation · Statistics 2015-04-03 Ashkan Panahi , Mats Viberg

Signal processing makes extensive use of point estimators and accompanying error bounds. These work well up until the likelihood function has two or more high peaks. When it is important for an estimator to remain reliable, it becomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-04 Ning Xu , Christopher M. Foster , Jonathan H. Manton

In this paper, the parameter estimation of ARMA(p,q) model is given by approximate Bayesian computation algorithm. In order to improve the sampling efficiency of the algorithm, approximate Bayesian computation should select as many…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-01 Linghui Li , Anshui Li , Huizeng Zhang

This paper introduces an integer-valued generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (INGARCH) model based on the novel geometric distribution and discusses some of its properties. The parameter estimation problem of the models…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-24 Divya Kuttenchalil Andrews , N. Balakrishna

To estimate a sparse linear model from data with Gaussian noise, consilience from lasso and compressed sensing literatures is that thresholding estimators like lasso and the Dantzig selector have the ability in some situations to identify…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-14 Jairo Diaz-Rodriguez , Sylvain Sardy

In this paper, we consider a linear regression model with AR(p) error terms with the assumption that the error terms have a t distribution as a heavy tailed alternative to the normal distribution. We obtain the estimators for the model…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-13 Yetkin Tuaç , Yeşim Güney Birdal Şenoğlu , Olcay Arslan

We study the parameter estimation method for linear regression models with possibly skewed stable distributed errors. Our estimation procedure consists of two stages: first, for the regression coefficients, the Cauchy quasi-maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-25 Eitaro Kawamo , Hiroki Masuda

The consistency of the Bayesian estimation of a parameter is shown for a class of ergodic discrete Markov chains. J.L. Doob's method was used, offered earlier for the i.i.d. situation. The result may be useful in the reliability theory for…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-27 A. I. Nurieva , A. Yu. Veretennikov

We consider estimation of a sparse parameter vector that determines the covariance matrix of a Gaussian random vector via a sparse expansion into known "basis matrices". Using the theory of reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces, we derive lower…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-01-21 Alexander Jung , Sebastian Schmutzhard , Franz Hlawatsch , Alfred O. Hero

This paper focuses on linear regression models with non-conjugate sparsity-inducing regularizers such as lasso and group lasso. Although the empirical Bayes approach enables us to estimate the regularization parameter, little is known on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-03 Tsukasa Yoshida , Kazuho Watanabe

High-dimensional vector autoregression with measurement error is frequently encountered in a large variety of scientific and business applications. In this article, we study statistical inference of the transition matrix under this model.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-18 Xiang Lyu , Jian Kang , Lexin Li

A method for sequential inference of the fixed parameters of a dynamic latent Gaussian models is proposed and evaluated that is based on the iterated Laplace approximation. The method provides a useful trade-off between computational…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-29 Tiep Mai , Simon Wilson

Bayesian, classical, and extended maximum likelihood approaches to estimation of upper limits in experiments with small numbers of signal events are surveyed. The discussion covers only experiments whose outcomes are well described by a…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2011-07-19 Ilya Narsky