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Related papers: Prediction in the Hypothesis-Rich Regime

200 papers

Prediction is a complex notion, and different predictors (such as people, computer programs, and probabilistic theories) can pursue very different goals. In this paper I will review some popular kinds of prediction and argue that the theory…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Vladimir Vovk

The aim of this article is to promote the use of probabilistic methods in the study of problems in mathematical general relativity. Two new and simple singularity theorems, whose features are different from the classical singularity…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-21 Ismael Bailleul

This article examines the subtle relationship between chaos and randomness, two concepts that, although they refer to seemingly unpredictable phenomenon, are based on fundamentally different principles. Chaos manifests in deterministic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-07-14 Mohamed El Ouafi , Hajar Ahalli , Abderrahim Aslimani , Kaoutar Lamrini Uahabi

We propose an interpretation of physics named potentiality realism. This view, which can be applied to classical as well as to quantum physics, regards potentialities (i.e. intrinsic, objective propensities for individual events to obtain)…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-10-08 Flavio Del Santo , Nicolas Gisin

The molecular biology revolution of the last seventy five years has transformed our view of living systems. Scientific explanations of biological phenomena are now synonymous with the identification of the genes, proteins, and signaling…

Biological Physics · Physics 2024-10-29 Pankaj Mehta

At its core, the physics paradigm adopts a reductionist approach, aiming to understand fundamental phenomena by decomposing them into simpler, elementary processes. While this strategy has been tremendously successful in physics, it has…

Biological Physics · Physics 2025-12-10 Ramón Nartallo-Kaluarachchi , Renaud Lambiotte , Alain Goriely

Bayesian probability theory is used to analyze the oft-made assumption that humans are typical observers in the universe. Some theoretical calculations make the {\it selection fallacy} that we are randomly chosen from a class of objects by…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2008-11-26 James B. Hartle , Mark Srednicki

Paradoxes are a relatively frequent occurrence in physics. The nature of their genesis is diverse and they are found in all branches of physics. There are a number of general and special classifications of paradoxes, but there are no…

General Physics · Physics 2009-12-11 Dragoljub A. Cucic

Based on the probability distribution observed in complex systems and an assumption that the probability distributions of complex systems satisfy a new generalized multiplication, it is proved that the statistical theory of complex systems…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Jincan Chen , Tie Liu , Zhifu Huang , Guozhen Su

In the Bayesian approach to probability theory, probability quantifies a degree of belief for a single trial, without any a priori connection to limiting frequencies. In this paper we show that, despite being prescribed by a fundamental…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 Carlton M. Caves , Christopher A. Fuchs , Ruediger Schack

I reason here that the known folk law in biology that there is no general law in biology because of exceptions is false. The (quantitative) systems biology offers the potential to solve the Borges Dilemma, by transcending it. There have…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2007-09-04 P Ao

Physicists are increasingly beginning to take seriously the possibility of laws outside the traditional time-evolution paradigm; yet our understanding of determinism is still predicated on a forwards time-evolution picture, making it…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2022-01-25 Emily Adlam

Testing hypotheses is an issue of primary importance in the scientific research, as well as in many other human activities. Much clarification about it can be achieved if the process of learning from data is framed in a stochastic model of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 G. D'Agostini

From the perspective of the physics of complex systems (1) we deal with the current state of modern physics including the crisis in physics demonstrated through its epistemological, psychological, economical as well as the social context;…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-06-06 Dragutin T. Mihailovic , Darko Kapor , Sinisa Crvenkovic , Anja Mihailovic

In Physics, we have laws that determine the time evolution of a given physical system, depending on its parameters and its initial conditions. When we have multi-stable systems, many attractors coexist so that their basins of attraction…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2020-12-15 Miguel A. F. Sanjuan

We will review some of the theoretical progresses that have been in the study of complex systems in physics and of their applications to biology.

Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-02-03 Giorgio Parisi

It is possible to completely explain all aspects of quantum mechanics by expressing the relations between physical properties in terms of complex conditional probabilities (Phys. Rev. A 89, 042115(2014)). These fully deterministic…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-05-02 Holger F. Hofmann

In this paper we deal with a new approach to probabilistic reasoning in a logical framework. Nearly almost all logics of probability that have been proposed in the literature are based on classical two-valued logic. After making clear the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Petr Hajek , Lluis Godo , Francesc Esteva

It is a widespread belief that results like G\"odel's incompleteness theorems or the intrinsic randomness of quantum mechanics represent fundamental limitations to humanity's strive for scientific knowledge. As the argument goes, there are…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2021-08-30 Markus P. Mueller

The principle of classification of macroprocesses is offered, which allows to avoid some methodological mistakes of modern natural sciences. The content and the nearest consequences of this principle is open and its conformity of a…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2014-06-20 V. A. Etkin