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We study the problem of estimating the origin of an epidemic outbreak -- given a contact network and a snapshot of epidemic spread at a certain time, determine the infection source. Finding the source is important in different contexts of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-11-20 Andrey Y. Lokhov , Marc Mézard , Hiroki Ohta , Lenka Zdeborová

Detecting the origin of information or infection spread in networks is a fundamental challenge with applications in misinformation tracking, epidemiology, and beyond. We study the multi-source detection problem: given snapshot observations…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Xingchao Jian , Purui Zhang , Lan Tian , Feng Ji , Wenfei Liang , Wee Peng Tay , Bihan Wen , Felix Krahmer

Spreading is a ubiquitous process in the social, biological and technological systems. Therefore, identifying influential spreaders, which is important to prevent epidemic spreading and to establish effective vaccination strategies, is full…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-10-17 Senbin Yu , Liang Gao , Yi-Fan Wang , Ge Gao , Congcong Zhou , Zi-You Gao

As an important type of dynamics on complex networks, spreading is widely used to model many real processes such as the epidemic contagion and information propagation. One of the most significant research questions in spreading is to rank…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-12-18 Ye Sun , Long Ma , An Zeng , Wen-Xu Wang

Identifying the source of epidemic-like spread in networks is crucial for removing internet viruses or finding the source of rumors in online social networks. The challenge lies in tracing the source from a snapshot observation of infected…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Pei-Duo Yu , Chee Wei Tan

Infectious diseases are studied to understand their spreading mechanisms, to evaluate control strategies and to predict the risk and course of future outbreaks. Because people only interact with a small number of individuals, and because…

Applications · Statistics 2018-09-05 Ritabrata Dutta , Antonietta Mira , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

Source localization, the act of finding the originator of a disease or rumor in a network, has become an important problem in sociology and epidemiology. The localization is done using the infection state and time of infection of a few…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-02-07 Brunella Spinelli , L. Elisa Celis , Patrick Thiran

Identifying important nodes for disease spreading is a central topic in network epidemiology. We investigate how well the position of a node, characterized by standard network measures, can predict its epidemiological importance in any…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-28 Doina Bucur , Petter Holme

Epidemics, neural cascades, power failures, and many other phenomena can be described by a diffusion process on a network. To identify the causal origins of a spread, it is often necessary to identify the triggering initial node. Here we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-10-04 V. AT. Nguyen , D. C. Vural

Finding the important nodes in complex networks by topological structure is of great significance to network invulnerability. Several centrality measures have been proposed recently to evaluate the performance of nodes based on their…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Pengli Lu , Chen Dong , Yuhong Guo

Given an aftermath of a cascade in the network, i.e. a set $V_I$ of "infected" nodes after an epidemic outbreak or a propagation of rumors/worms/viruses, how can we infer the sources of the cascade? Answering this challenging question is…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-08-24 Hung T. Nguyen , Preetam Ghosh , Michael L. Mayo , Thang N. Dinh

We study the problem of identifying the source of a diffusion spreading over a regular tree. When the degree of each node is at least three, we show that it is possible to construct confidence sets for the diffusion source with size…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-08 Justin Khim , Po-Ling Loh

Contagion processes on networks, including disease spreading, information diffusion, or social behaviors propagation, can be modeled as simple contagion, i.e. involving one connection at a time, or as complex contagion, in which multiple…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-06-19 Giulia Cencetti , Diego Andrés Contreras , Marco Mancastroppa , Alain Barrat

We introduce a new method to efficiently approximate the number of infections resulting from a given initially-infected node in a network of susceptible individuals. Our approach is based on counting the number of possible infection walks…

Biological Physics · Physics 2012-10-25 Frank Bauer , Joseph T. Lizier

In this paper we study the interplay between epidemic spreading and risk perception on multiplex networks. The basic idea is that the effective infection probability is affected by the perception of the risk of being infected, which we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-11-26 Franco Bagnoli , Emanuele Massaro

The goal of an infection source node (e.g., a rumor or computer virus source) in a network is to spread its infection to as many nodes as possible, while remaining hidden from the network administrator. On the other hand, the network…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-06-14 Wuqiong Luo , Wee Peng Tay , Mei Leng

The initial phase of an epidemic is often characterized by an exponential increase in the number of infected individuals. In this paper, we predict the exponential spreading rate of an epidemic on a complex network. We first find an…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-21 Samuel Cure , Florian G. Pflug , Simone Pigolotti

Identifying the most influential spreaders is an important issue in controlling the spreading processes in complex networks. Centrality measures are used to rank node influence in a spreading dynamics. Here we propose a node influence…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-03-23 Ying Liu , Ming Tang , Tao Zhou , Younghae Do

The safety and robustness of the network have attracted the attention of people from all walks of life, and the damage of several key nodes will lead to extremely serious consequences. In this paper, we proposed the clustering H-index…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-10 Pengli Lu , Chen Dong

Centrality measures such as the degree, k-shell, or eigenvalue centrality can identify a network's most influential nodes, but are rarely usefully accurate in quantifying the spreading power of the vast majority of nodes which are not…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-05-27 Glenn Lawyer