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We consider a risk-sensitive optimization of consumption-utility on infinite time horizon where the one-period investment gain depends on an underlying economic state whose evolution over time is assumed to be described by a discrete-time,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-19 Anindya Goswami , Nimit Rana , Tak Kuen Siu

In this paper, we consider statistical estimation of time-inhomogeneous aggregate Markov models. Unaggregated models, which corresponds to Markov chains, are commonly used in multi-state life insurance to model the biometric states of an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-11 Jamaal Ahmad , Mogens Bladt

We formulate some simple conditions under which a Markov chain may be approximated by the solution to a differential equation, with quantifiable error probabilities. The role of a choice of coordinate functions for the Markov chain is…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-04-23 R. W. R. Darling , J. R. Norris

We consider a time inhomogeneous strong Markov process $(\xi_t)_{t\ge 0}$ taking values in a Polish state space whose semigroup has a $T$-periodic structure. We give simple conditions which imply ergodicity of the grid chain…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-09 Reinhard Hoepfner , Eva Loecherbach

The paper studies an improved estimate for the rate of convergence for nonlinear homogeneous discrete-time Markov chains. These processes are nonlinear in terms of the distribution law. Hence, the transition kernels are dependent on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-21 Aleksandr Shchegolev

The class of nonlinear Markov processes is characterized by the dependence of the current state of the process on its current distribution in addition to the dependence on the previous state. Due to this feature, these processes are…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-27 Aleksandr Shchegolev

We study ergodic properties of nonlinear Markov chains and stochastic McKean-Vlasov equations. For nonlinear Markov chains we obtain sufficient conditions for existence and uniqueness of an invariant measure and uniform ergodicity. We also…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-26 Oleg Butkovsky

We study the problem of learning the transition matrices of a set of Markov chains from a single stream of observations on each chain. We assume that the Markov chains are ergodic but otherwise unknown. The learner can sample Markov chains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-14 Mohammad Sadegh Talebi , Odalric-Ambrym Maillard

We study the convergence rate to stationarity for a class of exchangeable partition-valued Markov chains called cut-and-paste chains. The law governing the transitions of a cut-and-paste chain are determined by products of i.i.d. stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-25 Harry Crane , Steven P. Lalley

Dynamical systems that are contracting on a subspace are said to be semicontracting. Semicontraction theory is a useful tool in the study of consensus algorithms and dynamical flow systems such as Markov chains. To develop a comprehensive…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-22 Giulia De Pasquale , Kevin D. Smith , Francesco Bullo , Maria Elena Valcher

We investigate the distribution of occupation times for a particle undergoing a random walk among random energy traps and in the presence of a deterministic potential field $U^{{\rm det}}(x)$. When the distribution of energy traps is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 S. Burov , E. Barkai

A study of time homogeneous, real valued Markov processes with a special property and a non-atomic initial distribution is provided. The new notion of a function of evolution of distribution which determines the dependency between one…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Tomasz Bielecki , Jacek Jakubowski , Maciej Wiśniewolski

This study of occupation time densities for continuous-time Markov processes was inspired by the work of E.Nir et al (2006) in the field of Single Molecule FRET spectroscopy. There, a single molecule fluctuates between two or more states,…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Yevgeniy Kovchegov , Nick Meredith , Eyal Nir

We investigate multivariate regular variation in the context of time-homogeneous Markov chains on general vector spaces and in random coefficient linear models. In the first part, we show that the regular variation of the stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-23 Piotr Dyszewski , Tamara Mika

Applications of stochastic models often involve the evaluation of steady-state performance, which requires solving a set of balance equations. In most cases of interest, the number of equations is infinite or even uncountable. As a result,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-08 Shukai Li , Sanjay Mehrotra

We study the classical occupancy problem from the viewpoint of its embedding Markov chain. We derive new expressions for the probability mass function and (complementary) distribution function in generalized form. Furthermore, we derive a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-06 Jim van Mechelen

We present a Markov-chain analysis of blockwise-stochastic algorithms for solving partially block-separable optimization problems. Our main contributions to the extensive literature on these methods are statements about the Markov operators…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-01 D. Russell Luke

We propose a method to sample stationary properties of solutions of stochastic differential equations, which is accurate and efficient if there are rarely visited regions or rare transitions between distinct regions of the state space. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-03-23 Rüdiger Kürsten , Ulrich Behn

Time-homogeneous Markov chains are often used as disease progression models in studies of cost-effectiveness and optimal decision-making. Maximum likelihood estimation of these models can be challenging when data are collected at a time…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-26 Duncan Ermini Leaf

We address the problem of estimating the mixing time of a Markov chain from a single trajectory of observations. Unlike most previous works which employed Hilbert space methods to estimate spectral gaps, we opt for an approach based on…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-13 Geoffrey Wolfer