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We propose dynamical systems trees (DSTs) as a flexible class of models for describing multiple processes that interact via a hierarchy of aggregating parent chains. DSTs extend Kalman filters, hidden Markov models and nonlinear dynamical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Andrew Howard , Tony S. Jebara

Living species, ranging from bacteria to animals, exist in environmental conditions that exhibit spatial and temporal heterogeneity which requires them to adapt. Risk-spreading through spontaneous phenotypic variations is a known concept in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-03 Aleksandra Ardaševa , Robert A. Gatenby , Alexander R. A. Anderson , Helen M. Byrne , Philip K. Maini , Tommaso Lorenzi

Spatial structure and species interactions jointly shape the dynamics and biodiversity of ecological systems, yet most theoretical models either neglect spatial heterogeneity or sacrifice analytical tractability. Here, we provide a unified…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-08 Davide Bernardi , Alice Doimo , Giorgio Nicoletti , Prajwal Padmanabha , Andrea Rinaldo , Samir Suweis , Sandro Azaele , Amos Maritan

Water availability is a major environmental driver affecting riparian and wetland vegetation. The interaction between water table fluctuations and vegetation in a stochastic environment contributes to the complexity of the dynamics of these…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-05-14 Stefania Scarsoglio , Paolo D'Odorico , Francesco Laio , Luca Ridolfi

We introduce a model of biological evolution where species evolve in response to biotic interactions and a fluctuating environmental stress. The species may either become extinct or mutate to acquire a new fitness value when the effective…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-12-19 Debarshee Bagchi , P. K. Mohanty

Dryland vegetation can survive water stress by forming spatial patterns but is often subjected to herbivory as an additional stress that puts it at risk of desertification. Understanding the mutual relationships between vegetation…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-17 Joydeep Singha , Hannes Uecker , Ehud Meron

Over the past century, nonlinear difference and differential equations have been used to understand conditions for species coexistence. However, these models fail to account for random fluctuations due to demographic and environmental…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-02-12 Sebastian J. Schreiber

Close to the critical point associated with nascent of bistability and large wavelength pattern forming regime, {\it the Lifshitz point}, the dynamics of many ecological spatially extended systems can be reduced to a simple partial…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2019-12-24 M. Tlidi , E. Berrios-Caro , D. Pinto-Ramo , A. G. Vladimirov , M. Clerc

Species extinction occurs regularly and unavoidably in ecological systems. The time scales for extinction can broadly vary and inform on the ecosystem's stability. We study the spatio-temporal extinction dynamics of a paradigmatic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-03-02 S. Rulands , T. Reichenbach , E. Frey

Motivated by a model of an area-wide integrated pest management, we develop an interacting particle system evolving in a random environment. It is a generalised contact process in which the birth rate takes two possible values, determined…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-27 Kevin Kuoch

Does an ecological community allow stable coexistence? Identifying the general principles that determine the answer to this question is a central problem of theoretical ecology. Random matrix theory approaches have uncovered the general…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-12 Yu Meng , Szabolcs Horvát , Carl D. Modes , Pierre A. Haas

We formulate a nonlinear synergistic theory of coevolutionary systems, disentangling and explaining dynamic complexity in terms of fundamental processes for optimised data analysis and dynamic model design: Dynamic Source Analysis (DSA).…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-11-11 Rui A. P. Perdigão , Carlos A. L. Pires , Julia Hall

The distributions of species lifetimes and species in space are related, since species with good local survival chances have more time to colonize new habitats and species inhabiting large areas have higher chances to survive local…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-02-18 Tobias Rogge , David Jones , Barbara Drossel , Korinna T. Allhoff

We present a stochastic approach to modeling the dynamics of coexistence of prey and predator populations. It is assumed that the space of coexistence is explicitly subdivided in a grid of cells. Each cell can be occupied by only one…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-26 Kelly C. de Carvalho , Tania Tome

All interesting and fascinating collective properties of a complex system arise from the intricate way in which its components interact. Various systems in physics, biology, social sciences and engineering have been successfully modelled as…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2021-04-23 L. V. Gambuzza , F. Di Patti , L. Gallo , S. Lepri , M. Romance , R. Criado , M. Frasca , V. Latora , S. Boccaletti

This study investigates the impacts of grazing duration and intensity on vegetation population dynamics in semi-arid ecosystems characterized by seasonal succession. A novel piecewise periodic model is proposed, dividing the annual cycle…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-05-07 Junhong Gan , Guohong Zhang , Xiaoli Wang

We present a model for evolution and extinction in large ecosystems. The model incorporates the effects of interactions between species and the influences of abiotic environmental factors. We study the properties of the model by approximate…

adap-org · Physics 2008-02-03 Bruce W. Roberts , M. E. J. Newman

Analyzing coexistence and survival scenarios of Lotka-Volterra (LV) networks in which the total biomass is conserved is of vital importance for the characterization of long-term dynamics of ecological communities. Here, we introduce a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-04-26 Johannes Knebel , Torben Krüger , Markus F. Weber , Erwin Frey

Concerns about biodiversity and the long-term stability of forest ecosystems have lead to changing attitudes with respect to plantations. These artificial communities are ubiquitous, yet provide reduced habitat value in comparison to their…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-10-05 Tom Adams , Graeme Ackland , Glenn Marion , Colin Edwards

The role of forest heterogeneity in the long-term, large-scale dynamics of forest fires is investigated by means of a cellular automata model and mean field approximation. Heterogeneity was conceived as trees (or acres of forest) with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-08-04 G. Camelo-Neto , S. Coutinho
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