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The problem of estimating the mean of random functions based on discretely sampled data arises naturally in functional data analysis. In this paper, we study optimal estimation of the mean function under both common and independent designs.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-24 T. Tony Cai , Ming Yuan

Distribution regression seeks to estimate the conditional distribution of a multivariate response given a continuous covariate. This approach offers a more complete characterization of dependence than traditional regression methods.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Rong Tang , Yun Yang

We obtain minimax-optimal convergence rates in the supremum norm, including information-theoretic lower bounds, for estimating the covariance kernel of a stochastic process which is repeatedly observed at discrete, synchronous design…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Max Berger , Hajo Holzmann

Selecting input variables or design points for statistical models has been of great interest in adaptive design and active learning. Motivated by two scientific examples, this paper presents a strategy of selecting the design points for a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-12 Chiwoo Park , Peihua Qiu , Jennifer Carpena-Núñez , Rahul Rao , Michael Susner , Benji Maruyama

Kernel methods, particularly kernel ridge regression (KRR), are time-proven, powerful nonparametric regression techniques known for their rich capacity, analytical simplicity, and computational tractability. The analysis of their predictive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Xin Bing , Xin He , Chao Wang

We develop a novel method of constructing confidence bands for nonparametric regression functions under shape constraints. This method can be implemented via a linear programming, and it is thus computationally appealing. We illustrate a…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-15 Harold D. Chiang , Kengo Kato , Yuya Sasaki , Takuya Ura

Nonparametric regression with random design is considered. Estimates are defined by minimzing a penalized empirical $L_2$ risk over a suitably chosen class of neural networks with one hidden layer via gradient descent. Here, the gradient…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Alina Braun , Michael Kohler , Harro Walk

We investigate statistical properties for a broad class of modern kernel-based regression (KBR) methods. These kernel methods were developed during the last decade and are inspired by convex risk minimization in infinite-dimensional Hilbert…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Andreas Christmann , Ingo Steinwart

Previous analysis of regularized functional linear regression in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) typically requires the target function to be contained in this kernel space. This paper studies the convergence performance of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-20 Jiading Liu , Lei Shi

We consider the problem of constructing confidence intervals for the locations of change points in a high-dimensional mean shift model. To that end, we develop a locally refitted least squares estimator and obtain component-wise and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-21 Abhishek Kaul , George Michailidis

We consider the problem of estimating the slope parameter in circular functional linear regression, where scalar responses Y1,...,Yn are modeled in dependence of 1-periodic, second order stationary random functions X1,...,Xn. We consider an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-01 Fabienne Comte , Jan Johannes

We address the problem of detection and estimation of one or two change-points in the mean of a series of random variables. We use the formalism of set estimation in regression: To each point of a design is attached a binary label that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-07 Victor-Emmanuel Brunel

We propose nonparametric Bayesian estimators for causal inference exploiting Regression Discontinuity/Kink (RD/RK) under sharp and fuzzy designs. Our estimators are based on Gaussian Process (GP) regression and classification. The GP…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-01 Ximing Wu

This article is dedicated to the estimation of the regression function when the explanatory variable is a weakly dependent process whose correlation coefficient exhibits exponential decay and has a known bounded density function. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-17 Karine Bertin , Lisandro Fermin , Miguel Padrino

We study nonparametric change-point estimation from indirect noisy observations. Focusing on the white noise convolution model, we consider two classes of functions that are smooth apart from the change-point. We establish lower bounds on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 A. Goldenshluger , A. Tsybakov , A. Zeevi

Scalable kernel methods, including kernel ridge regression, often rely on low-rank matrix approximations using the Nystrom method, which involves selecting landmark points from large data sets. The existing approaches to selecting landmarks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Farhad Pourkamali-Anaraki , Mohammad Amin Hariri-Ardebili , Lydia Morawiec

We investigate the problem of statistical inference for logistic regression with high-dimensional covariates in settings where dependence among individuals is induced by an underlying Markov random field. Going beyond the pairwise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-23 Josh Miles , Sohom Bhattacharya

In this paper, we propose a new threshold-kernel jump-detection method for jump-diffusion processes, which iteratively applies thresholding and kernel methods in an approximately optimal way to achieve improved finite-sample performance. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-07 José E. Figueroa-López , Cheng Li , Jeffrey Nisen

In this paper the problem of retrospective change-point detection and estimation in multivariate linear models is considered. The lower bounds for the error of change-point estimation are proved in different cases (one change-point:…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-10-27 Boris Brodsky , Boris Darkhovsky

Location estimation is a central problem in functional data analysis. In this paper, we investigate penalized spline estimators of location for discretely sampled functional data under a broad class of convex loss functions. Our framework…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-19 Ioannis Kalogridis