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Although linear regression models are fundamental tools in statistical science, the estimation results can be sensitive to outliers. While several robust methods have been proposed in frequentist frameworks, statistical inference is not…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-15 Shintaro Hashimoto , Shonosuke Sugasawa

A common approach to modelling extreme values is to consider the excesses above a high threshold as realisations of a non-homogeneous Poisson process. While this method offers the advantage of modelling using threshold-invariant extreme…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-09 Paul Sharkey , Jonathan A. Tawn

We present a new modelling approach for longitudinal count data that is motivated by the increasing availability of longitudinal RNA-sequencing experiments. The distribution of RNA-seq counts typically exhibits overdispersion,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-27 Mirko Signorelli , Pietro Spitali , Roula Tsonaka

Probabilistic models analyze data by relying on a set of assumptions. Data that exhibit deviations from these assumptions can undermine inference and prediction quality. Robust models offer protection against mismatch between a model's…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-20 Yixin Wang , Alp Kucukelbir , David M. Blei

Exponential random graph models are an important tool in the statistical analysis of data. However, Bayesian parameter estimation for these models is extremely challenging, since evaluation of the posterior distribution typically involves…

Computation · Statistics 2017-05-05 Lampros Bouranis , Nial Friel , Florian Maire

This paper presents the application of a new semi-analytical method of linear regression for Poisson count data to COVID-19 events. The regression is based on the Bonamente and Spence (2022) maximum-likelihood solution for the best-fit…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-29 M. Bonamente

Most of previous works and applications of Bayesian factor model have assumed the normal likelihood regardless of its validity. We propose a Bayesian factor model for heavy-tailed high-dimensional data based on multivariate Student-$t$…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-10 Jaejoon Lee , Jaeyong Lee

I begin my discussion by summarizing the methodology proposed and new distributional results on multivariate log-Gamma derived in the paper. Then, I draw an interesting connection between their work with mean field variational Bayes.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-15 William Weimin Yoo

Probabilistic modeling is fundamental to the statistical analysis of complex data. In addition to forming a coherent description of the data-generating process, probabilistic models enable parameter inference about given data sets. This…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-05-01 Branden J. Olson , Frederick A. Matsen

Copula models have become one of the most widely used tools in the applied modelling of multivariate data. Similarly, Bayesian methods are increasingly used to obtain efficient likelihood-based inference. However, to date, there has been…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-13 Michael Stanley Smith

Probabilistic regression models the entire predictive distribution of a response variable, offering richer insights than classical point estimates and directly allowing for uncertainty quantification. While diffusion-based generative models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Carlo Kneissl , Christopher Bülte , Philipp Scholl , Gitta Kutyniok

Posterior computation for high-dimensional data with many parameters can be challenging. This article focuses on a new method for approximating posterior distributions of a low- to moderate-dimensional parameter in the presence of a…

Computation · Statistics 2022-04-08 Willem van den Boom , Galen Reeves , David B. Dunson

Poisson autoregressive count models have evolved into a time series staple for correlated count data. This paper proposes an alternative to Poisson autoregressions: count echo state networks. Echo state networks can be statistically…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-27 Qi Wang , Paul A. Parker , Robert B. Lund

The Poisson distribution is the default choice of likelihood for probabilistic models of count data. However, due to the equidispersion contraint of the Poisson, such models may have predictive uncertainty that is artificially inflated.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-15 Jimmy Lederman , Aaron Schein

The binomial and Poisson distributions have interesting relationships with the beta and gamma distributions, respectively, which involve their cumulative distribution functions and the use of conjugate priors in Bayesian statistics. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-25 Peter Peskun

The Dirichlet distribution, also known as multivariate beta, is the most used to analyse frequencies or proportions data. Maximum likelihood is widespread for estimation of Dirichlet's parameters. However, for small sample sizes, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-04 Vincenzo Gioia , Euloge Clovis Kenne Pagui

Multimodal regression estimation methods are introduced for regression models involving circular response and/or covariate. The regression estimators are based on the maximization of the conditional densities of the response variable over…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-10 María Alonso-Pena , Rosa M. Crujeiras

We propose a two-step pseudo-maximum likelihood procedure for semiparametric single-index regression models where the conditional variance is a known function of the regression and an additional parameter. The Poisson single-index…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-27 Marian Hristache , Weiyu Li , Valentin Patilea

This paper is devoted to the multivariate estimation of a vector of Poisson means. A novel loss function that penalises bad estimates of each of the parameters and the sum (or equivalently the mean) of the parameters is introduced. Under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-25 Emil Aas Stoltenberg , Nils Lid Hjort

This paper presents a novel approach to stochastic mortality modelling by using the Conway--Maxwell--Poisson (CMP) distribution to model death counts. Unlike standard Poisson or negative binomial distributions, the CMP is a more adaptable…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-06 Jackie Siaw Tze Wong , Emiliano A. Valdez
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