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We propose the entropy of random Markov trajectories originating and terminating at a state as a measure of the stability of a state of a Markov process. These entropies can be computed in terms of the entropy rates and stationary…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Marc Harper , Dashiell Fryer

The intrinsic stochasticity of gene expression can give rise to large fluctuations and rare events that drive phenotypic variation in a population of genetically identical cells. Characterizing the fluctuations that give rise to such rare…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-05-24 Jordan M. Horowitz , Rahul V. Kulkarni

The dynamics of adaptation is difficult to predict because it is highly stochastic even in large populations. The uncertainty emerges from number fluctuations, called genetic drift, arising in the small number of particularly fit…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-30 Oskar Hallatschek , Lukas Geyrhofer

A general formalism is developed to construct a Markov chain model that converges to a one-dimensional map in the infinite population limit. Stochastic fluctuations are therefore internal to the system and not externally specified. For…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-09-15 Joseph D. Challenger , Duccio Fanelli , Alan J. McKane

We analyze the population dynamics of a broad class of fitness functions that exhibit epochal evolution---a dynamical behavior, commonly observed in both natural and artificial evolutionary processes, in which long periods of stasis in an…

adap-org · Physics 2007-05-23 James P. Crutchfield , Erik van Nimwegen

We study the statistical properties of population dynamics evolving in a realistic two-dimensional compressible turbulent velocity field. We show that the interplay between turbulent dynamics and population growth and saturation leads to…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-19 Prasad Perlekar , Roberto Benzi , David R. Nelson , Federico Toschi

A stochastic dynamics has a natural decomposition into a drift capturing mean rate of change and a martingale increment capturing randomness. They are two statistically uncorrelated, but not necessarily independent mechanisms contributing…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-06-28 Ying-Jen Yang , Hong Qian

A Markovian model of group-structured (two-level) population dynamics features births, deaths, and migrations of individuals, and fission and extinction of groups. These models are useful for studying group selection and other evolutionary…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-26 A. Puhalskii , B. Simon

A stochastic approach to the quantum dynamics randomly modulated in time by a discrete state non-Markovian noise, which possesses an arbitrary non-exponential distribution of the residence times, is developed. The formally exact expression…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Igor Goychuk

The present paper is devoted to the study of the long term dynamics of diffusion processes modelling a single species that experiences both demographic and environmental stochasticity. In our setting, the long term dynamics of the diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-10 Alexandru Hening , Weiwei Qi , Zhongwei Shen , Yingfei Yi

The Markov evolution is studied of an infinite age-structured population of migrants arriving in and departing from a continuous habitat $X \subseteq\mathds{R}^d$ -- at random and independently of each other. Each population member is…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Dominika Jasinska , Yuri Kozitsky

In this paper we develop a perturbation method to predict the rate of occurrence of rare events for singularly perturbed stochastic systems using a probability density function approach. In contrast to a stochastic normal form approach, we…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-16 Christoffer R. Heckman , Ira B. Schwartz

One of the fundamental questions in population dynamics is how biological populations respond to environmental perturbations. In population dynamics, the mean fitness and the fraction of a trait in the steady state are important because…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-27 Koya Katayama , Ryuna Nagayama , Sosuke Ito

In numerous papers, the behaviour of stochastic population models is investigated through the sign of a real quantity which is the growth rate of the population near the extinction set. In many cases, it is proven that when this growth rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-06 Dang H. Nguyen , Edouard Strickler

The role of the selection pressure and mutation amplitude on the behavior of a single-species population evolving on a two-dimensional lattice, in a periodically changing environment, is studied both analytically and numerically. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 Ioana Bena , Michel Droz , Janusz Szwabinski , Andrzej Pekalski

We analyze ecological systems that are influenced by random environmental fluctuations. We first provide general conditions which ensure that the species coexist and the system converges to a unique invariant probability measure (stationary…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-19 Alexandru Hening , Yao Li

Deterministic evolutionary game dynamics can lead to stable coexistences of different types. Stochasticity, however, drives the loss of such coexistences. This extinction is usually accompanied by population size fluctuations. We…

Biological Physics · Physics 2017-11-02 Hye Jin Park , Arne Traulsen

We are interested in the dynamics of a population structured by a phenotypic trait. Individuals reproduce sexually, which is represented by a non-linear integral operator. This operator is combined to a multiplicative operator representing…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-04-14 Gaël Raoul

The question of whether a population will persist or go extinct is of key interest throughout ecology and biology. Various mathematical techniques allow us to generate knowledge regarding individual behaviour, which can be analysed to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-28 Stuart T. Johnston , Matthew J. Simpson , Edmund J. Crampin

We study the population profile in a simple discrete time model of population dynamics. Our model, which is closely related to certain ``bit-string'' models of evolution, incorporates competition for resources via a population dependent…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Martin Howard , R. K. P. Zia
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