Related papers: Statistical inference for time-changed L\'{e}vy pr…
There are given sufficient conditions under which mixtures of dilations of L\'evy spectral measures, on a Hilbert space, are L\'evy measures again. We introduce some random integrals with respect to infinite dimensional L\'evy processes,…
Additive processes are obtained from L\'{e}vy ones by relaxing the condition of stationary increments, hence they are spatially (but not temporally) homogeneous. By analogy with the case of time-homogeneous Markov processes, one can define…
Large language model (LLM) evaluation platforms increasingly rely on pairwise human judgments. These data are noisy, sparse, and non-uniform, yet leaderboards are reported with limited uncertainty quantification. We study this as…
For one-dimensional symmetric L\'{e}vy processes, which hit every point with positive probability, we give sharp bounds for the tail function of the first hitting time of B which is either a single point or an interval. The estimates are…
In the statistical inference for long range dependent time series the shape of the limit distribution typically depends on unknown parameters. Therefore, we propose to use subsampling. We show the validity of subsampling for general…
The identification of Linear Time-Varying (LTV) systems from input-output data is a fundamental yet challenging ill-posed inverse problem. This work introduces a unified Bayesian framework that models the system's impulse response, $h(t,…
In this paper, we consider function-indexed normalized weighted integrated periodograms for equidistantly sampled multivariate continuous-time state space models which are multivariate continuous-time ARMA processes. Thereby, the sampling…
Let $(X_i)_{i=1,...,n}$ be a possibly nonstationary sequence such that $\mathscr{L}(X_i)=P_n$ if $i\leq n\theta$ and $\mathscr{L}(X_i)=Q_n$ if $i>n\theta$, where $0<\theta <1$ is the location of the change-point to be estimated. We…
Multi-type Markov point processes offer a flexible framework for modelling complex multi-type point patterns where it is pertinent to capture both interactions between points as well as large scale trends depending on observed covariates.…
Many statistical estimands of interest (e.g., in regression or causality) are functions of the joint distribution of multiple random variables. But in some applications, data is not available that measures all random variables on each…
In this article, we construct an It\^o integral with respect to a two-sided finite-variance L\'evy process $\{L(x)\}_{x\in \mathbb{R}}$, without a Gaussian component. Using Rosenthal inequality for discrete-time martingales, we give an…
In this paper, we develop statistical inference techniques for the unknown coefficient functions and single-index parameters in single-index varying-coefficient models. We first estimate the nonparametric component via the local linear…
Causal inference from observational data is an ambitious but highly relevant task, with diverse applications ranging from natural to social sciences. Within the scope of nonparametric time series, causal inference defined through…
The article is devoted to the nonparametric estimation of the quadratic covariation of non-synchronously observed It\^o processes in an additive microstructure noise model. In a high-frequency setting, we aim at establishing an asymptotic…
We develop a scale-invariant truncated L\'evy (STL) process to describe physical systems characterized by correlated stochastic variables. The STL process exhibits L\'evy stability for the probability density, and hence shows scaling…
This paper presents a model selection technique of estimation in semiparametric regression models of the type Y_i=\beta^{\prime}\underbarX_i+f(T_i)+W_i, i=1,...,n. The parametric and nonparametric components are estimated simultaneously by…
We study spectral-theoretic properties of non-self-adjoint operators arising in the study of one-dimensional L\'evy processes with completely monotone jumps with a one-sided barrier. With no further assumptions, we provide an integral…
In this paper we propose a semiparametric spatial autoregressive model that combines a linear covariate component with a nonparametrically estimated spatial term, allowing flexible dependence modeling without restrictive covariance…
This paper is concerned with combined inference for point processes on the real line observed in a broken interval. For such processes, the classic history-based approach cannot be used. Instead, we adapt tools from sequential spatial point…
This paper establishes a Transition Path Theory (TPT) for L\'{e}vy-type processes, addressing a critical gap in the study of the transition mechanism between meta-stabile states in non-Gaussian stochastic systems. A key contribution is the…