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Factorial moments and cumulants are usually defined with respect to the unconditioned Poisson process. Conditioning a sample by selecting events of a given overall multiplicity $N$ necessarily introduces correlations. By means of Edgeworth…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-10-28 P. Lipa , H. C. Eggers , B. Buschbeck

New algorithms for construction of asymptotic expansions for stationary distributions of nonlinearly perturbed semi-Markov processes with finite phase spaces are presented. These algorithms are based on a special technique of sequential…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-16 Dmitrii Silvestrov , Sergei Silvestrov

In this paper we propose an efficient variance reduction approach for additive functionals of Markov chains relying on a novel discrete time martingale representation. Our approach is fully non-asymptotic and does not require the knowledge…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-22 D. Belomestny , E. Moulines , S. Samsonov

Markov automata combine non-determinism, probabilistic branching, and exponentially distributed delays. This compositional variant of continuous-time Markov decision processes is used in reliability engineering, performance evaluation and…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-05-11 Tim Quatmann , Sebastian Junges , Joost-Pieter Katoen

We investigate the convergence in distribution of sequential empirical processes of dependent data indexed by a class of functions F. Our technique is suitable for processes that satisfy a multiple mixing condition on a space of functions…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-26 Herold Dehling , Olivier Durieu , Marco Tusche

Previous work has separately addressed different forms of action, state and action-state entropy regularization, pure exploration and space occupation. These problems have become extremely relevant for regularization, generalization,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-03 Dmytro Grytskyy , Jorge Ramírez-Ruiz , Rubén Moreno-Bote

We develop the idea of non-Markovian CTRW (continuous time random walk) approximation to the evolution of interacting particle systems, which leads to a general class of fractional kinetic measure-valued evolutions with variable order. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-07 Vassili N. Kolokoltsov , Marianna S. Troeva

We prove the existence of limiting distributions for a large class of Markov chains on a general state space in a random environment. We assume suitable versions of the standard drift and minorization conditions. In particular, the system…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-04 Attila Lovas , Miklós Rásonyi

In Monte-Carlo methods the Markov processes used to sample a given target distribution usually satisfy detailed balance, i.e. they are time-reversible. However, relatively recent results have demonstrated that appropriate reversible and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-29 Luc Rey-Bellet , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

A finite range interacting particle system on a transitive graph is considered. Assuming that the dynamics and the initial measure are invariant, the normalized empirical distribution process converges in distribution to a centered…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Paul Doukhan , Gabriel Lang , Sana Louhichi , Bernard Ycart

We consider stochastic processes arising from dynamical systems simply by evaluating an observable function along the orbits of the system and study marked point processes associated to extremal observations of such time series…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-07-07 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mário Magalhães

Two approaches to studying the correlation functions of the binary Markov sequences are considered. The first of them is based on the study of probability of occurring different ''words'' in the sequence. The other one uses recurrence…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 S. S. Apostolov , Z. A. Mayzelis , O. V. Usatenko , V. A. Yampol'skii

This note provides several recent progresses in the study of long time behavior of Markov processes. The examples presented below are related to other scientific fields as PDE's, physics or biology. The involved mathematical tools as…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-22 Florian Bouguet , Florent Malrieu , Fabien Panloup , Christophe Poquet , Julien Reygner

In this paper we investigate the normal and the large fluctuations of additive functionals associated with a stochastic process under a general non-Poissonian resetting mechanism. Cumulative functionals of regenerative processes are very…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-24 Marco Zamparo

In this paper, we study darning of general symmetric Markov processes by shorting some parts of the state space into singletons. A natural way to construct such processes is via Dirichlet forms restricted to the function space whose members…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-08 Zhen-Qing Chen , Jun Peng

A classical approach for the analysis of the longtime behavior of Markov processes is to consider suitable Lyapunov functionals like the variance or more generally $\Phi$-entropies. Via purely analytic arguments it can be shown that these…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-26 Benedikt Jahnel , Jonas Köppl

We establish new conditions for obtaining uniform bounds on the moments of discrete-time stochastic processes. Our results require a weak negative drift criterion along with a state-dependent restriction on the sizes of the one-step jumps…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-02 Arnab Ganguly , Debasish Chatterjee

We consider a countable system of interacting (possibly non-Markovian) stochastic differential equations driven by independent Brownian motions and indexed by the vertices of a locally finite graph $G = (V,E)$. The drift of the process at…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-28 Daniel Lacker , Kavita Ramanan , Ruoyu Wu

Large deviations for additive path functionals of stochastic processes have attracted significant research interest, in particular in the context of stochastic particle systems and statistical physics. Efficient numerical `cloning'…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-21 Letizia Angeli , Stefan Grosskinsky , Adam M. Johansen

In this paper, we study the existence and uniqueness of solutions for general fractional-time parabolic equations of mixture type, and their probabilistic representations in terms of the corresponding inverse subordinators with or without…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-04 Zhen-Qing Chen