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Related papers: Confidence bands in density estimation

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The goal of this paper is to provide theorems on convergence rates of posterior distributions that can be applied to obtain good convergence rates in the context of density estimation as well as regression. We show how to choose priors so…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Tzee-Ming Huang

We provide estimates of the rate of strong approximation and bounds for probabilities of moderate deviations in the CLT for the $L_1$-norm of the kernel density estimator without any assumptions on the density and assuming that the kernel…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-07 Andrei Yu. Zaitsev

We develop a new method for generating prediction sets that combines the flexibility of conformal methods with an estimate of the conditional distribution $P_{Y \mid X}$. Existing methods, such as conformalized quantile regression and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-10 Vincent Plassier , Alexander Fishkov , Mohsen Guizani , Maxim Panov , Eric Moulines

We investigate the problem of deriving posterior concentration rates under different loss functions in nonparametric Bayes. We first provide a lower bound on posterior coverages of shrinking neighbourhoods that relates the metric or loss…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-06 Marc Hoffmann , Judith Rousseau , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

Conformal methods create prediction bands that control average coverage under no assumptions besides i.i.d. data. Besides average coverage, one might also desire to control conditional coverage, that is, coverage for every new testing…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-10 Rafael Izbicki , Gilson T. Shimizu , Rafael B. Stern

This paper develops a general asymptotic theory for nonparametric kernel regression in the presence of cluster dependence. We examine nonparametric density estimation, Nadaraya-Watson kernel regression, and local linear estimation. Our…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-31 Yuya Shimizu

Using the techniques of [arXiv:0911.4271], upper bounds for a given confidence level are modified in an optimal fashion to incorporate the a priori information that the parameter being estimated is non-negative. A paradox with different…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-12-09 Fyodor V. Tkachov

We consider the estimation of densities in multiple subpopulations, where the available sample size in each subpopulation greatly varies. This problem occurs in epidemiology, for example, where different diseases may share similar…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-15 Jiaming Qiu , Xiongtao Dai , Zhengyuan Zhu

The independence density of a finite hypergraph is the probability that a subset of vertices, chosen uniformly at random contains no hyperedges. Independence densities can be generalized to countable hypergraphs using limits. We show that,…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2016-04-20 Paul Balister , Béla Bollobás , Karen Gunderson

We establish sufficient conditions for the asymptotic normality of kernel density estimators, applied to causal linear random fields. Our conditions on the coefficients of linear random fields are weaker than known results, although our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-01-04 Yizao Wang , Michael Woodroofe

Fitting high-dimensional statistical models often requires the use of non-linear parameter estimation procedures. As a consequence, it is generally impossible to obtain an exact characterization of the probability distribution of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-03 Adel Javanmard , Andrea Montanari

This article deals with adaptive nonparametric estimation for L\'evy processes observed at low frequency. For general linear functionals of the L\'evy measure, we construct kernel estimators, provide upper risk bounds and derive rates of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Johanna Kappus

An important problem in statistics is the construction of confidence regions for unknown parameters. In most cases, asymptotic distribution theory is used to construct confidence regions, so any coverage probability claims only hold…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-28 Ryan Martin

Reconstructing a density of states or similar distribution from moments or continued fractions is an important problem in calculating the electronic and vibrational structure of defective or non-crystalline solids. For single bands a…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2015-05-20 Roger Haydock , C. M. M. Nex

This paper studies higher-order inference properties of nonparametric local polynomial regression methods under random sampling. We prove Edgeworth expansions for $t$ statistics and coverage error expansions for interval estimators that (i)…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-26 Sebastian Calonico , Matias D. Cattaneo , Max H. Farrell

The clusters of a distribution are often defined by the connected components of a density level set. However, this definition depends on the user-specified level. We address this issue by proposing a simple, generic algorithm, which uses an…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-29 Ingo Steinwart

In this paper we consider the construction of simultaneous confidence bands for the spectral density of a stationary time series using a Gaussian approximation for classical lag-window spectral density estimators evaluated at the set of all…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-25 Jens-Peter Kreiss , Anne Leucht , Efstathios Paparoditis

The classical concept of bounded completeness and its relation to sufficiency and ancillarity play a fundamental role in unbiased estimation, unbiased testing, and the validity of inference in the presence of nuisance parameters. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-03 Marc Hallin , Bas Werker , Bo Zhou

Kernel-based nonparametric hazard rate estimation is considered with a special class of infinite-order kernels that achieves favorable bias and mean square error properties. A fully automatic and adaptive implementation of a density and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-17 Arthur Berg , Dimitris N Politis , Kagba Suaray , Hui Zeng

We focus on the nonparametric density estimation problem with directional data. We propose a new rule for bandwidth selection for kernel density estimation. Our procedure is automatic, fully data-driven and adaptive to the smoothness degree…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-08 Thanh Mai Pham Ngoc
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