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Preterm newborns undergo various stresses that may materialize as learning problems at school-age. Sleep staging of the Electroencephalogram (EEG), followed by prediction of their brain-age from these sleep states can quantify deviations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-20 Kirubin Pillay , Maarten De Vos

We establish concentration rates for estimation of treatment effects in experiments that incorporate prior sources of information -- such as past pilots, related studies, or expert assessments -- whose external validity is uncertain. Each…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-24 Frederico Finan , Demian Pouzo

A new approach for Bayesian model averaging (BMA) and selection is proposed, based on the mixture model approach for hypothesis testing in Kaniav et al., 2014. Inheriting from the good properties of this approach, it extends BMA to cases…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-02 Merlin Keller , Kaniav Kamary

Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) is an application of Bayesian inference to the problems of model selection, combined estimation and prediction that produces a straightforward model choice criteria and less risky predictions. However, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-08 Tiago M. Fragoso , Francisco Louzada Neto

Classification of motor imagery (MI) using non-invasive electroencephalographic (EEG) signals is a critical objective as it is used to predict the intention of limb movements of a subject. In recent research, convolutional neural network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-03 Taveena Lotey , Prateek Keserwani , Debi Prosad Dogra , Partha Pratim Roy

This work explores the potential of foundation models, specifically a Mamba-based selective state space model, for enhancing EEG analysis in neurological disorder diagnosis. EEG, crucial for diagnosing conditions like epilepsy, presents…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-04 Saarang Panchavati , Corey Arnold , William Speier

A core goal of functional neuroimaging is to study how the environment is processed in the brain. The mainstream paradigm involves concurrently measuring a broad spectrum of brain responses to a small set of environmental features…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-14 Pedro F. da Costa , Rianne Haartsen , Elena Throm , Luke Mason , Anna Gui , Robert Leech , Emily J. H. Jones

Conformal prediction has emerged as a popular technique for facilitating valid predictive inference across a spectrum of machine learning models, under minimal assumption of exchangeability. Recently, Hoff (2023) showed that full conformal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Pankaj Bhagwat , Linglong Kong , Bei Jiang

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) estimate the posterior distribution of model parameters and utilize posterior samples for Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) in prediction. However, despite the crucial role of flatness in the loss landscape in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-18 Sungjun Lim , Jeyoon Yeom , Sooyon Kim , Hoyoon Byun , Jinho Kang , Yohan Jung , Jiyoung Jung , Kyungwoo Song

We propose Bayesian model averaging (BMA) as a method for postprocessing the results of model-based clustering. Given a number of competing models, appropriate model summaries are averaged, using the posterior model probabilities, instead…

Computation · Statistics 2015-07-01 Niamh Russell , Thomas Brendan Murphy , Adrian E Raftery

Background: For newborn infants in critical care, continuous monitoring of brain function can help identify infants at-risk of brain injury. Quantitative features allow a consistent and reproducible approach to EEG analysis, but only when…

Medical Physics · Physics 2017-04-20 John M. O' Toole , Geraldine B. Boylan

Investigation of human brain states through electroencephalograph (EEG) signals is a crucial step in human-machine communications. However, classifying and analyzing EEG signals are challenging due to their noisy, nonlinear and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-19 Farzana Nasrin , Christopher Oballe , David L. Boothe , Vasileios Maroulas

Machine learning (ML) has the potential to support and improve expert performance in monitoring the brain function of at-risk newborns. Developing accurate and reliable ML models depends on access to high-quality, annotated data, a resource…

We assess the accuracy of Bayesian polynomial extrapolations from small parameter values, x, to large values of x. We consider a set of polynomials of fixed order, intended as a proxy for a fixed-order effective field theory (EFT)…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-17 M. A. Connell , I. Billig , D. R. Phillips

The electroencephalographic (EEG) signals provide highly informative data on brain activities and functions. However, their heterogeneity and high dimensionality may represent an obstacle for their interpretation. The introduction of a…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Aurora Saibene , Francesca Gasparini

The behavior of Bayesian model averaging (BMA) for the normal linear regression model in the presence of influential observations that contribute to model misfit is investigated. Remedies to attenuate the potential negative impacts of such…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-23 Christopher M. Hans , Mario Peruggia , Junyan Wang

We revisit the classical, full-fledged Bayesian model averaging (BMA) paradigm to ensemble pre-trained and/or lightly-finetuned foundation models to enhance the classification performance on image and text data. To make BMA tractable under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Mijung Park

Electroencephalography (EEG) is a valuable clinical tool for grading injury caused by lack of blood and oxygen to the brain during birth. This study presents a novel end-to-end architecture, using a deep convolutional neural network, that…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-13 Sumit A. Raurale , Geraldine B. Boylan , Gordon Lightbody , John M. O'Toole

This paper asks whether integrating multimodal EEG and fMRI data offers a better characterisation of functional brain architectures than either modality alone. This evaluation rests upon a dynamic causal model that generates both EEG and…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-06-19 Huilin Wei , Amirhossein Jafarian , Peter Zeidman , Vladimir Litvak , Adeel Razi , Dewen Hu , Karl J. Friston

Empathy in young children is crucial for their social and emotional development, yet predicting it remains challenging. Traditional methods often only rely on self-reports or observer-based labeling, which are susceptible to bias and fail…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Chen Xie , Gaofeng Wu , Kaidong Wang , Zihao Zhu , Xiaoshu Luo , Yan Liang , Feiyu Quan , Ruoxi Wu , Xianghui Huang , Han Zhang
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