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A validated simulation model primarily requires performing an appropriate input analysis mainly by determining the behavior of real-world processes using probability distributions. In many practical cases, probability distributions of the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-05 Issac Shams , Saeede Ajorlou , Kai Yang

We study a diagnostic strategy which is based on the anticipation of the diagnostic process by simulation of the dynamical process starting from the initial findings. We show that such a strategy could result in more accurate diagnoses…

Biological Physics · Physics 2018-04-04 Alireza Mashaghi , Abolfazl Ramezanpour

We discuss two methods of an exact stochastic representation of the non-Markovian quantum dynamics of open systems. The first method employs a pair of stochastic product vectors in the total system's state space, while the second method…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-07-13 Heinz-Peter Breuer , Francesco Petruccione

Although histogram methods have been extremely effective for analyzing data from Monte Carlo simulations, they do have certain limitations, including the range over which they are valid and the difficulties of combining data from…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Robert H. Swendsen , Jian-Sheng Wang , Shing-Te Li , Brian Diggs , Christopher Genovese , Joseph B. Kadane

We analyze a new Monte Carlo method which uses transition matrix in the space of energy. This method gives an efficient reweighting technique. The associated artificial dynamics is a constrained random walk in energy, producing the result…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Jian-Sheng Wang

Stochastic mathematical models are essential tools for understanding and predicting complex phenomena. The purpose of this work is to study the exit times of a stochastic dynamical system-specifically, the mean exit time and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-06 Eric José Ávila-Vales , José Villa-Morales

A stochastic ordering approach is applied with Stein's method for approximation by the equilibrium distribution of a birth-death process. The usual stochastic order and the more general s-convex orders are discussed. Attention is focused on…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-09 Fraser Daly , Claude Lefèvre , Sergey Utev

In this paper we investigate the effectiveness of direct statistical simulation (DSS) for two low-order models of dynamo action. The first model, which is a simple model of solar and stellar dynamo action, is third-order and has cubic…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-10-22 Kuan Li , J. B. Marston , Steven M. Tobias

Solving decision problems in complex, stochastic environments is often achieved by estimating the expected outcome of decisions via Monte Carlo sampling. However, sampling may overlook rare, but important events, which can severely impact…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-16 Lachlan Gibson , Marcus Hoerger , Dirk Kroese

Exact generalized stochastic representation of deterministic interaction between two dynamical (quantum or classical) systems is derived which helps when considering one of them to replace another by equivalent commutative ($c$-number…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Yuriy E. Kuzovlev

An overview is given of recent advances in nonequilibrium statistical mechanics about the statistics of random paths and current fluctuations. Although statistics is carried out in space for equilibrium statistical mechanics, statistics is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-04-12 Pierre Gaspard

The paper introduces a simple way of recording and manipulating general stochastic processes without explicit reference to a probability measure. In the new calculus, operations traditionally presented in a measure-specific way are instead…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-08 Aleš Černý , Johannes Ruf

This paper presents in detail the originally developed Quadratic Point Estimate Method (QPEM), aimed at efficiently and accurately computing the first four output moments of probabilistic distributions, using 2n^2+1 sample (or sigma)…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-21 Minhyeok Ko , Konstantinos G. Papakonstantinou

The generalized master equation or the equivalent continuous time random walk equations can be used to compute the macroscopic first passage time distribution (FPTD) of a complex stochastic system from short-term microscopic simulation…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2009-11-11 David Shalloway , Anton Faradjian

A validated simulation model primarily requires performing an appropriate input analysis mainly by determining the behavior of real-world processes using probability distributions. In many practical cases, probability distributions of the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-09-01 Issac Shams , Saeede Ajorlou , Kai Yang

Statistical thermodynamics delivers the probability distribution of the equilibrium state of matter through the constrained maximization of a special functional, entropy. Its elegance and enormous success have led to numerous attempts to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-06-22 Themis Matsoukas

A research frontier has emerged in scientific computation, wherein numerical error is regarded as a source of epistemic uncertainty that can be modelled. This raises several statistical challenges, including the design of statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-19 François-Xavier Briol , Chris. J. Oates , Mark Girolami , Michael A. Osborne , Dino Sejdinovic

In this paper the computational aspects of probability calculations for dynamical partial sum expressions are discussed. Such dynamical partial sum expressions have many important applications, and examples are provided in the fields of…

Computation · Statistics 2017-12-14 Sorawit Saengkyongam , Anthony Hayter , Seksan Kiatsupaibul , Wei Liu

The present work addresses the question how sampling algorithms for commonly applied copula models can be adapted to account for quasi-random numbers. Besides sampling methods such as the conditional distribution method (based on a…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-15 Mathieu Cambou , Marius Hofert , Christiane Lemieux

We consider the probabilistic numerical scheme for fully nonlinear PDEs suggested in \cite{cstv}, and show that it can be introduced naturally as a combination of Monte Carlo and finite differences scheme without appealing to the theory of…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-26 Arash Fahim , Nizar Touzi , Xavier Warin