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The theoretical description of non-renewal stochastic systems is a challenge. Analytical results are often not available or can only be obtained under strong conditions, limiting their applicability. Also, numerical results have mostly been…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2017-06-07 Wilhelm Braun , Rüdiger Thul , André Longtin

We consider a generic class of stochastic particle-based models whose state at an instant in time is described by a set of continuous degrees of freedom (e.g. positions), and the length of this set changes stochastically in time due to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-03 Samuel Cameron , Elsen Tjhung

Continuous-time Markov chains are used to model stochastic systems where transitions can occur at irregular times, e.g., birth-death processes, chemical reaction networks, population dynamics, and gene regulatory networks. We develop a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-13 Majerle Reeves , Harish S. Bhat

Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton

Conventional Monte Carlo simulations are stochastic in the sense that the acceptance of a trial move is decided by comparing a computed acceptance probability with a random number, uniformly distributed between 0 and 1. Here we consider the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-05-24 Daan Frenkel , K. Julian Schrenk , Stefano Martiniani

Bootstrapping was designed to randomly resample data from a fixed sample using Monte Carlo techniques. However, the original sample itself defines a discrete distribution. Convolutional methods are well suited for discrete distributions,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-19 Jared M. Clark , Richard L. Warr

We revisit two basic Direct Simulation Monte Carlo Methods to model aggregation kinetics and extend them for aggregation processes with collisional fragmentation (shattering). We test the performance and accuracy of the extended methods and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-07-27 A. Kalinov , A. I. Osinsky , S. A. Matveev , W. Otieno , N. V. Brilliantov

In this study, we address the central issue of statistical inference for Markov jump processes using discrete time observations. The primary problem at hand is to accurately estimate the infinitesimal generator of a Markov jump process, a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-19 F. Baltazar-Larios , Luz Judith R. Esparza

We propose sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods for sampling the posterior distribution of state-space models under highly informative observation regimes, a situation in which standard SMC methods can perform poorly. A special case is…

Computation · Statistics 2015-07-10 Pierre Del Moral , Lawrence M. Murray

We propose an efficient method for Monte Carlo simulation of quantum lattice models. Unlike most other quantum Monte Carlo methods, a single run of the proposed method yields the free energy and the entropy with high precision for the whole…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Chiaki Yamaguchi , Naoki Kawashima , Yutaka Okabe

Stochastic dynamics is generated by a matrix of transition probabilities. Certain eigenvectors of this matrix provide observables, and when these are plotted in the appropriate multi-dimensional space the phases (in the sense of phase…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-11-08 B. Gaveau , L. S. Schulman

Numerical methods for stochastic partial differential equations typically estimate moments of the solution from sampled paths. Instead, we shall directly target the deterministic equations satisfied by the first and second moments, as well…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-11-17 Kristin Kirchner

In mathematical finance and other applications of stochastic processes, it is frequently the case that the characteristic function may be known but explicit forms for density functions are not available. The simulation of any distribution…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-03-10 William T. Shaw , Jonathan McCabe

The Diffusion Monte Carlo method is devoted to the computation of electronic ground-state energies of molecules. In this paper, we focus on implementations of this method which consist in exploring the configuration space with a {\bf fixed}…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Tony Lelievre , Mohamed El Makrini , Benjamin Jourdain

We consider stochastic and open quantum systems with a finite number of states, where a stochastic transition between two specific states is monitored by a detector. The long-time counting statistics of the observed realizations of the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-03-27 M. Bruderer , L. D. Contreras-Pulido , M. Thaller , L. Sironi , D. Obreschkow , M. B. Plenio

We present a new method, Non-Stationary Forward Flux Sampling, that allows efficient simulation of rare events in both stationary and non-stationary stochastic systems. The method uses stochastic branching and pruning to achieve uniform…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-03 Nils B. Becker , Rosalind J. Allen , Pieter Rein ten Wolde

Sequential Monte Carlo methods, also known as particle methods, are a popular set of techniques for approximating high-dimensional probability distributions and their normalizing constants. These methods have found numerous applications in…

Computation · Statistics 2021-06-23 Jeremy Heng , Adrian N. Bishop , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

Monte Carlo simulations are widely used in many areas including particle accelerators. In this lecture, after a short introduction and reviewing of some statistical backgrounds, we will discuss methods such as direct inversion, rejection…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-06-19 Ji Qiang

We propose a new Markov chain Monte Carlo method in which trial configurations are generated by evolving a state, sampled from a prior distribution, using a Markov transition matrix. We present two prototypical algorithms and derive their…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-01-09 Joel Mabillard , Isha Malhotra , Bortolo Matteo Mognetti

We use kinetic Monte Carlo simulations to investigate current fluctuations in boundary driven generalized exclusion processes, in different dimensions. Simulation results are in full agreement with predictions based on the additivity…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-01 T. Becker , K. Nelissen , B. Cleuren