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In this work, we study discrete-time Markov decision processes (MDPs) under constraints with Borel state and action spaces and where all the performance functions have the same form of the expected total reward (ETR) criterion over the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-10 F. Dufour , Alexandre Genadot

The theory of convex risk functions has now been well established as the basis for identifying the families of risk functions that should be used in risk averse optimization problems. Despite its theoretical appeal, the implementation of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Jonathan Yu-Meng Li

Having a perfect model to compute the optimal policy is often infeasible in reinforcement learning. It is important in high-stakes domains to quantify and manage risk induced by model uncertainties. Entropic risk measure is an exponential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-23 Reazul Hasan Russel , Bahram Behzadian , Marek Petrik

The relationship between set-valued risk measures for processes and vectors on the optional filtration is investigated. The equivalence of risk measures for processes and vectors and the equivalence of their penalty function formulations…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-30 Yanhong Chen , Zachary Feinstein

The new notion of maturity-independent risk measures is introduced and contrasted with the existing risk measurement concepts. It is shown, by means of two examples, one set on a finite probability space and the other in a diffusion…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Thaleia Zariphopoulou , Gordan Zitkovic

Continuous-time Markov process models of contagions are widely studied, not least because of their utility in predicting the evolution of real-world contagions and in formulating control measures. It is often the case, however, that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-11-23 Peter G. Fennell , Sergey Melnik , James P. Gleeson

Model uncertainty has been one prominent issue both in the theory of risk measures and in practice such as financial risk management and regulation. Motivated by this observation, in this paper, we take a new perspective to describe the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-04-14 Shuo Gong , Yijun Hu , Linxiao Wei

This paper investigates risk measures derived from the expected maximum deficit in a continuous-time framework and develops optimal reserve allocation strategies across multiple lines of business. We formalize the expected maximum deficit…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-19 Claude Lefevre , Pierre Zuyderhoff

We present an algorithm for robust model predictive control with consideration of uncertainty and safety constraints. Our framework considers a nonlinear dynamical system subject to disturbances from an unknown but bounded uncertainty set.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-23 Dongchan Lee , Konstantin Turitsyn , Jean-Jacques Slotine

This paper presents a systematic study of the notion of surplus invariance, which plays a natural and important role in the theory of risk measures and capital requirements. So far, this notion has been investigated in the setting of some…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-16 Niushan Gao , Cosimo Munari

This paper concerns sequential computation of risk measures for financial data and asks how, given a risk measurement procedure, we can tell whether the answers it produces are `correct'. We draw the distinction between `external' and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-20 Mark H. A. Davis

Here we introduce some new classes of discrete stable random variables, which are useful for understanding of a new general notion of stability of random variables called us as casual stability. There are given some examples of casual and…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-17 Lev B. Klebanov , Lenka Slámová

We present a unified technique for sequential estimation of convex divergences between distributions, including integral probability metrics like the kernel maximum mean discrepancy, $\varphi$-divergences like the Kullback-Leibler…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-14 Tudor Manole , Aaditya Ramdas

We develop an approach to time-consistent risk evaluation of continuous-time processes in Markov systems. Our analysis is based on dual representation of coherent risk measures, differentiability concepts for multivalued mappings, and a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-01-31 Darinka Dentcheva , Andrzej Ruszczynski

This paper studies the dynamic programming principle using the measurable selection method for stochastic control of continuous processes. The novelty of this work is to incorporate intermediate expectation constraints on the canonical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-22 Yuk-Loong Chow , Xiang Yu , Chao Zhou

We show that a wide class of risk-constrained nonconvex functional optimization problems exhibit strong duality, regardless of nonconvexity. We develop two novel results under distinct sets of assumptions, establishing strong duality over…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-17 Dionysis Kalogerias , Spyridon Pougkakiotis

We give a characterization of the controllability for discrete-time linear systems with convex output constraints. It extends all previously known characterizations in the literature, as well as our previous results on controllability of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-06 Mustafa Devrim Kaba , M. Kanat Camlibel

In this paper we introduce a generalization of classical risk measures in which the risk is represented by a step function taking two values, corresponding to two endogenously determined market regimes. This extends the traditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Mihaela-Adriana Nistor , Ionel Popescu

We propose the Star-Shaped deviation measures in the same vein as Star-Shaped risk measures and Star-Shaped acceptability indexes. We characterize Star-Shaped deviation measures through Star-Shaped acceptance sets and as the minimum of a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-19 Marcelo Brutti Righi , Marlon Ruoso Moresco

This paper applies risk analysis to medical problems, through the properties of nonlinear responses (convex or concave). It shows 1) necessary relations between the nonlinearity of dose-response and the statistical properties of the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-08-02 Nassim Nicholas Taleb