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This study develops a hybrid ensemble-variational approach for solving data assimilation problems. The method, called TR-4D-EnKF, is based on a trust region framework and consists of three computational steps. First an ensemble of model…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2015-02-03 Elias D. Nino , Adrian Sandu

Using a dynamical model to make predictions about a system has many sources of error. These can include errors in how the model was initialised but also errors in the dynamics of the model itself. For many applications in data assimilation,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-07 P. A. Browne

We adapt a previously introduced continuous in time data assimilation (downscaling) algorithm for the 2D Navier-Stokes equations to the more realistic case when the measurements are obtained discretely in time and may be contaminated by…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-05-24 Ciprian Foias , Cecilia F. Mondaini , Edriss S. Titi

The masses of data now available have opened up the prospect of discovering weak signals using machine-learning algorithms, with a view to predictive or interpretation tasks. As this survey of recent results attempts to show, bringing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Stephan Clémençon , Anne Sabourin

Continuous data assimilation (CDA) nudges observational data into governing equations to recover the underlying flow and improve predictions. Existing rigorous CDA analyses focus primarily on incompressible flows, yet no physical flow is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Aytekin Çıbık , Rui Fang

Data assimilation (DA) in the geophysical sciences remains the cornerstone of robust forecasts from numerical models. Indeed, DA plays a crucial role in the quality of numerical weather prediction, and is a crucial building block that has…

We propose, analyze, and test a novel continuous data assimilation reduced order model (DA-ROM) for simulating incompressible flows. While ROMs have a long history of success on certain problems with recurring dominant structures, they tend…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Camille Zerfas , Leo G. Rebholz , Michael Schneier , Traian Iliescu

Time-varying stochastic optimization problems frequently arise in machine learning practice (e.g. gradual domain shift, object tracking, strategic classification). Although most problems are solved in discrete time, the underlying process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Subha Maity , Debarghya Mukherjee , Moulinath Banerjee , Yuekai Sun

We propose an adaptive control strategy for the simultaneous estimation of topology and synchronization in complex dynamical networks with unknown, time-varying topology. Our approach transforms the problem of time-varying topology…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2024-09-16 Nana Wang , Esteban Restrepo , Dimos V. Dimarogonas

In many longitudinal settings, time-varying covariates may not be measured at the same time as responses and are often prone to measurement error. Naive last-observation-carried-forward methods incur estimation biases, and existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-10 Xinyue Chang , Yehua Li , Yi Li

Obtaining accurate high-resolution representations of model outputs is essential to describe the system dynamics. In general, however, only spatially- and temporally-coarse observations of the system states are available. These observations…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-11-08 Mohamad Abed El Rahman Hammoud , Olivier LeMaitre , Edriss S. Titi , Ibrahim Hoteit , Omar Knio

In this paper, we present a unified analysis of methods for such a wide class of problems as variational inequalities, which includes minimization problems and saddle point problems. We develop our analysis on the modified Extra-Gradient…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-18 Aleksandr Beznosikov , Alexander Gasnikov , Karina Zainulina , Alexander Maslovskiy , Dmitry Pasechnyuk

We analytically and numerically investigate the performance of weak-value amplification (WVA) and related parameter estimation methods in the presence of temporally correlated noise. WVA is a special instance of a general measurement…

A deterministic multiscale toy model is studied in which a chaotic fast subsystem triggers rare transitions between slow regimes, akin to weather or climate regimes. Using homogenization techniques, a reduced stochastic parametrization…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-04-11 Lewis Mitchell , Georg A. Gottwald

Standard methods of data assimilation assume prior knowledge of a model that describes the system dynamics and an observation function that maps the model state to a predicted output. An accurate mapping from model state to observation…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-05-22 Franz Hamilton , Tyrus Berry , Timothy Sauer

In this paper we propose the use of a continuous data assimilation algorithm for miscible flow models in a porous medium. In the absence of initial conditions for the model, observed sparse measurements are used to generate an approximation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-06-23 Hakima Bessaih , Victor Ginting , Bradley McCaskill

Variance reduction techniques have been successfully applied to temporal-difference (TD) learning and help to improve the sample complexity in policy evaluation. However, the existing work applied variance reduction to either the less…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Shaocong Ma , Yi Zhou , Shaofeng Zou

Strict stationarity is a common assumption used in the time series literature in order to derive asymptotic distributional results for second-order statistics, like sample autocovariances and sample autocorrelations. Focusing on weak…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-28 Yunyi Zhang , Efstathios Paparoditis , Dimitris N. Politis

We propose two new methods based/inspired by machine learning for tabular data and distance-free localization to enhance the covariance estimations in an ensemble data assimilation. The main goal is to enhance the data assimilation results…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-31 Vinicius L. S. Silva , Gabriel S. Seabra , Alexandre A. Emerick

An original graph clustering approach to efficient localization of error covariances is proposed within an ensemble-variational data assimilation framework. Here the localization term is very generic and refers to the idea of breaking up a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-03 Sibo Cheng , Jean-Philippe Argaud , Bertrand Iooss , Angélique Ponçot , Didier Lucor