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Quantifying and reducing uncertainty in Earth system model parameterizations is essential to improving their reliability in decision-making. Forward uncertainty propagation is used to derive parameter sensitivity but requires physically…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-22 Ethan YoungIn Shin , Baris Kale , Michael F. Howland

Accurate characterization of subsurface heterogeneity is challenging but essential for applications such as reservoir pressure management, geothermal energy extraction and CO$_2$, H$_2$, and wastewater injection operations. This challenge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Harun Ur Rashid , Mingxin Li , Aleksandra Pachalieva , Georg Stadler , Daniel O'Malley

The availability of data from multiple heterogeneous environments has motivated methods that remain reliable under distributional shifts. When the joint distribution of response and predictors varies across environments, the response may…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-29 Ruqian Zhang , Juan Shen , Yijiao Zhang

In the field of modeling, the word validation refers to simple comparisons between model outputs and experimental data. Usually, this comparison constitutes plotting the model results against data on the same axes to provide a visual…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-11 Farid Mohammadi

High-throughput characterization often requires estimating parameters and model dimension from experimental data of limited quantity and quality. Such data may result in an ill-posed inverse problem, where multiple sets of parameters and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-08 Abigail N. Poteshman , Jiwon Yun , Tim H. Taminiau , Giulia Galli

Well-calibrated probabilistic regression models are a crucial learning component in robotics applications as datasets grow rapidly and tasks become more complex. Unfortunately, classical regression models are usually either probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Hany Abdulsamad , Peter Nickl , Pascal Klink , Jan Peters

Bayesian inference is a popular approach to calibrating uncertainties, but it can underpredict such uncertainties when model misspecification is present, impacting its reliability to inform decision making. Recently, the statistics and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-01-09 Rebekah White , Rileigh Bandy , Teresa Portone

Many inverse problems in nuclear fusion and high-energy astrophysics research, such as the optimization of tokamak reactor geometries or the inference of black hole parameters from interferometric images, necessitate high-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-09 Jonathan Gorard , Ammar Hakim , Hong Qin , Kyle Parfrey , Shantenu Jha

Magnetotelluric (MT) inversion is a key technique in geophysics for imaging deep subsurface resistivity structures. However, the inherent ill-posedness and non-uniqueness of inverse problems make them challenging to solve. While supervised…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-08-06 Dhruv Poddar , Rohan Sharma , Divakar Vashisth

A class of parametric distribution functions has been proposed in [C.DiTroia, Plasma Physics and Controlled Fusion,54,2012] as equilibrium distribution functions (EDFs) for charged particles in fusion plasmas, representing supra-thermal…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2018-10-17 Claudio Di Troia

We discuss efficient Bayesian estimation of dynamic covariance matrices in multivariate time series through a factor stochastic volatility model. In particular, we propose two interweaving strategies (Yu and Meng, Journal of Computational…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-07 Gregor Kastner , Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter , Hedibert Freitas Lopes

Recent advances in acquisition equipment is providing experiments with growing amounts of precise yet affordable sensors. At the same time an improved computational power, coming from new hardware resources (GPU, FPGA, ACAP), has been made…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-09-01 A. Rigoni Garola , R. Cavazzana , M. Gobbin , R. S. Delogu , G. Manduchi , C. Taliercio , A. Luchetta

The growing demand for accurate, continuous, and non-invasive health monitoring has propelled multi-sensor data fusion to the forefront of healthcare technology. This review aims to provide an overview of the development of fusion…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-10 Arlene John , Barry Cardiff , Deepu John

The Bayesian approach to inverse problems is widely used in practice to infer unknown parameters from noisy observations. In this framework, the ensemble Kalman inversion has been successfully applied for the quantification of uncertainties…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-15 Neil K. Chada , Claudia Schillings , Simon Weissmann

The present paper proposes a novel Bayesian, computational strategy in the context of model-based inverse problems in elastostatics. On one hand we attempt to provide probabilistic estimates of the material properties and their spatial…

Computation · Statistics 2015-12-21 P. S. Koutsourelakis

Integrative modeling of macromolecular assemblies allows for structural characterization of large assemblies that are recalcitrant to direct experimental observation. A Bayesian inference approach facilitates combining data from…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-13 Shreyas Arvindekar , Kartik Majila , Shruthi Viswanath

Derivative-free Bayesian inversion is an important task in many science and engineering applications, particularly when computing the forward model derivative is computationally and practically challenging. In this paper, we introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Hongkai Zheng , Austin Wang , Zihui Wu , Zhengyu Huang , Ricardo Baptista , Yisong Yue

Generative modeling within constrained sets is essential for scientific and engineering applications involving physical, geometric, or safety requirements (e.g., molecular generation, robotics). We present a unified framework for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Kijung Jeon , Michael Muehlebach , Molei Tao

This paper introduces a novel physics-informed impact identification (Phy-ID) framework. The proposed method integrates observational, inductive, and learning biases to combine physical knowledge with data-driven inference in a unified…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Natália Ribeiro Marinho , Richard Loendersloot , Jan Willem Wiegman , Frank Grooteman , Tiedo Tinga

In practical scenarios, time series forecasting necessitates not only accuracy but also efficiency. Consequently, the exploration of model architectures remains a perennially trending topic in research. To address these challenges, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-13 Tianxiang Zhan , Yuanpeng He , Yong Deng , Zhen Li , Wenjie Du , Qingsong Wen