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Middle-term horizon (months to a year) power consumption prediction is a main challenge in the energy sector, in particular when probabilistic forecasting is considered. We propose a new modelling approach that incorporates trend,…
Power grid outages cause huge economical and societal costs. Disruptions in the power distribution grid are responsible for a significant fraction of electric power unavailability to customers. The impact of extreme weather conditions,…
In an isolated power grid or a micro-grid with a small carbon footprint, the penetration of renewable energy is usually high. In such power grids, energy storage is important to guarantee an uninterrupted and stable power supply for end…
The high variability of renewable energy resources presents significant challenges to the operation of the electric power grid. Conventional generators can be used to mitigate this variability but are costly to operate and produce carbon…
The inherent intermittency of renewable sources like wind and solar has resulted in a bundling of renewable generators with storage resources (batteries) for increased reliability. In this paper, we consider the problem of energy sharing…
Discontinuities can be fairly arbitrary but also cause a significant impact on outcomes in larger systems. Indeed, their arbitrariness is why they have been used to infer causal relationships among variables in numerous settings. Regression…
A central challenge in the design of energy-efficient wind farms is the presence of wake effects between turbines. When a wind turbine harvests energy from free wind, it produces a turbulent region with reduced energy for downstream…
Energy efficiency gains in production and consumption are undisputed economic and environmental goals. However, potential energy savings derived from efficiency innovations may have short-lasting effects due to increased demand for more…
The increasing intensity and frequency of wildfires are causing significant economic and societal impacts on communities through direct effects on the built environment, particularly critical infrastructure. Electrical systems can both…
Hosting capacity (HC) assessment plays a critical role in distribution system planning under increasing penetration of distributed energy resources (DERs) and associated uncertainties in load and generation. However, conventional approaches…
Maintaining energy balance and economical operation is significant for multi-energy systems such as the energy hub. However, it is usually challenged by the frequently changing and unpredictable uncertainties at different timescales. Under…
Flexibility of energy consumption can be harnessed for the purposes of ancillary services in a large power grid. In prior work by the authors a randomized control architecture is introduced for individual loads for this purpose. In examples…
Load forecasts have become an integral part of energy security. Due to the various influencing factors that can be considered in such a forecast, there is also a wide range of models that attempt to integrate these parameters into a system…
Atmospheric turbulent velocity fluctuations are known to increase wind turbine structural loading and accelerate wake recovery, but the impact of vortical coherent structures in the atmosphere on wind turbines has not yet been evaluated.…
The growing frequencies of extreme weather events and cyberattacks give rise to a novel threat where a malicious cyber actor aims to disrupt stressed components of critical infrastructure systems immediately before, during, or shortly after…
Wind and solar electricity generation account for 14% of total electricity generation in the United States and are expected to continue to grow in the next decades. In low carbon systems, generation from renewable energy sources displaces…
Preventive control is a crucial strategy for power system operation against impending natural hazards, and its effectiveness fundamentally relies on the realism of scenario generation. While most existing studies employ sequential Monte…
The rapid growth of offshore wind energy requires accurate modeling of the wind resource, which can be depleted by wind farm wakes. Turbulence dissipation rate governs the accuracy of model predictions of hub-height wind speed and the…
The integration of more intermittent generation, energy storage, and dynamic loads on top of a competitive market environment requires future grids to handle increasing diversity of power injection states. Grid planners need new tools and…
Growth of intermittent renewable energy and climate change make it increasingly difficult to manage electricity demand variability. Centralized storage can help but is costly. An alternative is to shift demand. Cooling and heating demands…