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It is widely reported that the power spectra of magnetic field and velocity fluctuations in the solar wind have power law scalings with inertial-range spectral indices of -5/3 and -3/2 respectively. Studies of solar wind turbulence have…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-09-26 Trevor A. Bowen , Alfred Mallet , John W. Bonnell , Stuart D. Bale

In recent years, probabilistic forecasts techniques were proposed in research as well as in applications to integrate volatile renewable energy resources into the electrical grid. These techniques allow decision makers to take the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-30 Jens Schreiber , Bernhard Sick

Despite significant anecdotal evidence regarding the vulnerability of the U.S. power infrastructure, there is a dearth of longitudinal and nation-level characterization of the spatial and temporal patterns in the frequency and extent of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-30 Bo Li , Junwei Ma , Femi Omitaomu , Ali Mostafavi

In this paper, we investigate the energy system design problems with the multi-generation technologies, i.e., simultaneous generation of multiple types of energy. We propose a long-term planning model which integrates macro-level strategic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-07 Qiao-Chu He , Tao Hong

Wind integration in power grids is very difficult, essentially because of the uncertain nature of wind speed. Forecasting errors on output from wind turbines may have costly consequences. For instance, power might be bought at highest price…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-04-28 Luckny Zéphyr , C. Lindsay Anderson

The revolution of hydraulic fracturing has dramatically increased the supply and lowered the cost of natural gas in the United States driving an expansion of natural gas-fired generation capacity in many electrical grids. Unrelated to the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-11-11 Michael Chertkov , Vladimir Lebedev , Scott Backhaus

We quantify resilience with metrics extracted from the historical outage data that is routinely recorded by many distribution utilities. The outage data is coordinated with wind data to relate average outage rates in an area to wind speed…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-13 Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson

This article develops multiple novel climate risk measures (or variables) based on the television news coverage by Bloomberg, CNBC, and Fox Business, and examines how they affect the systematic and idiosyncratic risks of clean energy firms…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-26 Wasim Ahmad , Mohammad Arshad Rahman , Suruchi Shrimali , Preeti Roy

While power systems are reliable infrastructures, their complex interconnectivities allow for propagation of disturbances through cascading failures which causes blackouts. Meanwhile the ever increasing penetration level of renewable…

Applied Physics · Physics 2017-07-03 Mir Hadi Athari , Zhifang Wang

The increasing frequency and intensity of extreme weather events is significantly affecting the power grid, causing large-scale outages and impacting power system resilience. Yet limited work has been done on systematically modeling the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-06 Apsara Adhikari , Charlotte Wertz , Anamika Dubey , Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson

We present a statistical, observational study of the $1/f$ range of solar wind turbulence, where $f$ denotes frequency, using in situ data from the Parker Solar Probe (PSP). We compute the energy cascade rate using the third order law of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-06-06 Maia Brodiano , Fouad Sahraoui , Davide Manzini , Lina Z. Hadid , Facundo Pugliese , Pablo Dmitruk , Nahuel Andrés

The increasing frequency and severity of High Impact and Low Probability events such as hurricanes and windstorms pose significant challenges to the resilience of electrical power distribution systems, particularly in regions of New England…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-31 Hritik Gopal Shah , Gregory Giustino , Elli Ntakou

Rapid deployment of offshore wind is expected within the coming decades to help meet climate goals. With offshore wind turbine lifetimes of 25-30 years, and new offshore leases spanning 60 years, it is vital to consider long-term changes in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-03 Simon C Warder , Matthew D Piggott

The concept of capacity value is widely used to quantify the contribution of additional generation (most notably renewables) within generation adequacy assessments. This paper surveys the existing probability theory of assessment of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-29 Chris Dent , Stan Zachary

We propose an enhancement to wholesale electricity markets whereby the exposure of consumers to increasingly large and volatile consumer payments arising as a byproduct of volatile real-time net loads -- i.e., loads minus renewable outputs…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-13 Daniel Bienstock , Yury Dvorkin , Cheng Guo , Robert Mieth , Jiayi Wang

Nowadays, power system inertia is changing as a consequence of replacing conventional units by renewable energy sources, mainly wind and PV power plants. This fact affects significantly the grid frequency response under power imbalances. As…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-06 A. Fernández-Guillamón , A. Vigueras-Rodríguez , A. Molina-García

This paper presents a method for probabilistic wind power forecasting that quantifies and integrates uncertainties from weather forecasts and weather-to-power conversion. By addressing both uncertainty sources, the method achieves…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-18 Gabriel Dantas , Jethro Browell

Securing an adequate supply of dispatchable resources is critical for keeping a power system reliable under high penetrations of variable generation. Traditional resource adequacy mechanisms are poorly suited to exploiting the growing…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-27 Farhad Billimoria , Filiberto Fele , Iacopo Savelli , Thomas Morstyn , Malcolm McCulloch

The deepening penetration of renewables in power systems has contributed to the increasing needs for generation scheduling flexibility. Specifically, for short-term operations, flexibility here indicates that sufficient ramp capacities…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-01-14 Runze Chen , Jianhui Wang , Audun Botterud , Hongbin Sun

With electric power infrastructure increasingly susceptible to impacts from climate-driven natural disasters, there is an increasing need for optimization algorithms that determine where to harden the power grid. Prior work has primarily…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-10 Ryan Piansky , Daniel K. Molzahn , Nicole D. Jackson , J. Kyle Skolfield