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We consider the use of Bayesian information criteria for selection of the graph underlying an Ising model. In an Ising model, the full conditional distributions of each variable form logistic regression models, and variable selection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-09 Rina Foygel Barber , Mathias Drton

We propose a novel polyhedral uncertainty set for robust optimization, termed the smooth uncertainty set, which captures dependencies of uncertain parameters by constraining their pairwise differences. The bounds on these differences may be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-13 Noam Goldberg , Michael Poss , Shimrit Shtern

Conformal prediction constructs a set of labels instead of a single point prediction, while providing a probabilistic coverage guarantee. Beyond the coverage guarantee, adaptiveness to example difficulty is an important property. It means…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Sooyong Jang , Insup Lee

An important challenge in statistical analysis concerns the control of the finite sample bias of estimators. For example, the maximum likelihood estimator has a bias that can result in a significant inferential loss. This problem is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-04 Stéphane Guerrier , Mucyo Karemera , Samuel Orso , Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser

Missing data and noisy observations pose significant challenges for reliably predicting events from irregularly sampled multivariate time series (longitudinal) data. Imputation methods, which are typically used for completing the data prior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-17 Hossein Soleimani , James Hensman , Suchi Saria

Data fusion describes the method of combining data from (at least) two initially independent data sources to allow for joint analysis of variables which are not jointly observed. The fundamental idea is to base inference on identifying…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-02 Florian Meinfelder , Jannik Schaller

This article aims at discovering the unknown variables in the system through data analysis. The main idea is to use the time of data collection as a surrogate variable and try to identify the unknown variables by modeling gradual and sudden…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-12 V. Roshan Joseph , William E. Lewis , Henry S. Yuchi , Kathryn A. Maupin

For many interesting tasks, such as medical diagnosis and web page classification, a learner only has access to some positively labeled examples and many unlabeled examples. Learning from this type of data requires making assumptions about…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-28 Jessa Bekker , Jesse Davis

Quantifying the dependence between high-dimensional random variables is central to statistical learning and inference. Two classical methods are canonical correlation analysis (CCA), which identifies maximally correlated projected versions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-29 Dor Tsur , Ziv Goldfeld , Kristjan Greenewald

Local decision rules are commonly understood to be more explainable, due to the local nature of the patterns involved. With numerical optimization methods such as gradient boosting, ensembles of local decision rules can gain good predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Xin Du , Subramanian Ramamoorthy , Wouter Duivesteijn , Jin Tian , Mykola Pechenizkiy

In this paper we focus on the estimation of mutual information from finite samples $(\mathcal{X}\times\mathcal{Y})$. The main concern with estimations of mutual information is their robustness under the class of transformations for which it…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-02-04 Nicholas Carrara , Jesse Ernst

It is generally known that counting statistics is not correctly described by a Gaussian approximation. Nevertheless, in neutron scattering, it is common practice to apply this approximation to the counting statistics; also at low counting…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-06-09 Jakob Lassa , Magnus Egede Bøggild , Per Hedegård , Kim Lefmann

Adversarial SAT (AdSAT) is a generalization of the satisfiability (SAT) problem in which two players try to make a boolean formula true (resp. false) by controlling their respective sets of variables. AdSAT belongs to a higher complexity…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2014-04-02 Marco Bardoscia , Daniel Nagaj , Antonello Scardicchio

The use of multivariate classifiers, especially neural networks and decision trees, has become commonplace in particle physics. Typically, a series of classifiers is trained rather than just one to enhance the performance; this is known as…

Nuclear Experiment · Physics 2015-06-16 Justin Stevens , Mike Williams

A central issue of many statistical learning problems is to select an appropriate model from a set of candidate models. Large models tend to inflate the variance (or overfitting), while small models tend to cause biases (or underfitting)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-25 Jie Ding , Enmao Diao , Jiawei Zhou , Vahid Tarokh

Modern stochastic optimization methods often rely on uniform sampling which is agnostic to the underlying characteristics of the data. This might degrade the convergence by yielding estimates that suffer from a high variance. A possible…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-07 Zalán Borsos , Andreas Krause , Kfir Y. Levy

Top-$N$ recommender systems typically utilize side information to address the problem of data sparsity. As nowadays side information is growing towards high dimensionality, the performances of existing methods deteriorate in terms of both…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2017-05-17 Yifan Chen , Xiang Zhao

We consider rank-one non-symmetric tensor estimation and derive simple formulas for the mutual information. We start by the order 2 problem, namely matrix factorization. We treat it completely in a simpler fashion than previous proofs using…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-11-28 Jean Barbier , Nicolas Macris , Léo Miolane

The uniform information density (UID) hypothesis posits a preference among language users for utterances structured such that information is distributed uniformly across a signal. While its implications on language production have been well…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-09-27 Clara Meister , Tiago Pimentel , Patrick Haller , Lena Jäger , Ryan Cotterell , Roger Levy

Feature selection methods are usually evaluated by wrapping specific classifiers and datasets in the evaluation process, resulting very often in unfair comparisons between methods. In this work, we develop a theoretical framework that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-11 Cláudia Pascoal , M. Rosário Oliveira , António Pacheco , Rui Valadas