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This paper extends some prominent statistical results including \emph{Fisher Theorem and Wilks phenomenon} to the penalized maximum likelihood estimation with a quadratic penalization. It appears that sharp expansions for the penalized MLE…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-11 Vladimir Spokoiny

Compression of integer sets and sequences has been extensively studied for settings where elements follow a uniform probability distribution. In addition, methods exist that exploit clustering of elements in order to achieve higher…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-02-11 N. Jesper Larsson

We introduce a novel method for sparse regression and variable selection, which is inspired by modern ideas in multiple testing. Imagine we have observations from the linear model y = X beta + z, then we suggest estimating the regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-30 Malgorzata Bogdan , Ewout van den Berg , Weijie Su , Emmanuel Candes

Obtaining guarantees on the convergence of the minimizers of empirical risks to the ones of the true risk is a fundamental matter in statistical learning. Instead of deriving guarantees on the usual estimation error, the goal of this paper…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-12 Paul Escande

We consider the segmentation problem of Poisson and negative binomial (i.e. overdispersed Poisson) rate distributions. In segmentation, an important issue remains the choice of the number of segments. To this end, we propose a penalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-19 Alice Cleynen , Emilie Lebarbier

Here we present an expository, general analysis of valid post-selection or post-regularization inference about a low-dimensional target parameter, $\alpha$, in the presence of a very high-dimensional nuisance parameter, $\eta$, which is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-03 Victor Chernozhukov , Christian Hansen , Martin Spindler

Protesting mildly against the notion of an exactly correct parametric model the view is adopted that the logistic regression equation is merely an approximation to the underlying, true function. The behaviour of likelihood based estimators…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Nils Lid Hjort

Given $n$ elements, an integer $k$ and a parameter $\varepsilon$, we study to select an element with rank in $(k-n\varepsilon,k+n\varepsilon]$ using unreliable comparisons where the outcome of each comparison is incorrect independently with…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-05-04 Shengyu Huang , Chih-Hung Liu , Daniel Rutschman

Classical penalized likelihood regression problems deal with the case that the independent variables data are known exactly. In practice, however, it is common to observe data with incomplete covariate information. We are concerned with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-08-04 Xiwen Ma , Bin Dai , Ronald Klein , Barbara E. K. Klein , Kristine E. Lee , Grace Wahba

In this work, we develop an importance sampling estimator by coupling the reduced-order model and the generative model in a problem setting of uncertainty quantification. The target is to estimate the probability that the quantity of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-20 Xiaoliang Wan , Shuangqing Wei

This article investigates the asymptotic distribution of penalized estimators with non-differentiable penalties designed to recover low-dimensional pattern structures. Patterns play a central role in estimation, as they reveal the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Ivan Hejný , Jonas Wallin , Małgorzata Bogdan

The aim of this paper is to address two related estimation problems arising in the setup of hidden state linear time invariant (LTI) state space systems when the dimension of the hidden state is unknown. Namely, the estimation of any finite…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-04 Boualem Djehiche , Othmane Mazhar

We propose a novel approach to select the best model of the data. Based on the exclusive properties of the nested models, we find the most parsimonious model containing the risk minimizer predictor. We prove the existence of probable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Mohammad Ali Hajiani , Babak Seyfe

A pattern of a sequence is a sequence of integer indices with each index describing the order of first occurrence of the respective symbol in the original sequence. In a recent paper, tight general bounds on the block entropy of patterns of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-11-15 Gil I. Shamir

We study the minimal error of the Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) procedure in the task of regression, both in the random and the fixed design settings. Our sharp lower bounds shed light on the possibility (or impossibility) of adapting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-25 Gil Kur , Alexander Rakhlin

The MPE (Most Probable Explanation) query plays an important role in probabilistic inference. MPE solution algorithms for probabilistic relational models essentially adapt existing belief assessment method, replacing summation with…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-10-19 Udi Apsel , Ronen I. Brafman

A very popular class of models for networks posits that each node is represented by a point in a continuous latent space, and that the probability of an edge between nodes is a decreasing function of the distance between them in this latent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-07 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , Dena Marie Asta

We consider the learning task consisting in predicting as well as the best function in a finite reference set G up to the smallest possible additive term. If R(g) denotes the generalization error of a prediction function g, under reasonable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Jean-Yves Audibert

Mixed-effect models are very popular for analyzing data with a hierarchical structure, e.g. repeated observations within subjects in a longitudinal design, patients nested within centers in a multicenter design. However, recently, due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-09 Abhik Ghosh , Magne Thoresen

Penalized methods are applied to quasi likelihood analysis for stochastic differential equation models. In this paper, we treat the quasi likelihood function and the associated statistical random field for which a polynomial type large…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-30 Yoshiki Kinoshita , Nakahiro Yoshida