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We show that large-scale typicality of Markov sample paths implies that the likelihood ratio statistic satisfies a law of iterated logarithm uniformly to the same scale. As a consequence, the penalized likelihood Markov order estimator is…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-31 Ramon van Handel

This paper deals with order identification for nested models in the i.i.d. framework. We study the asymptotic efficiency of two generalized likelihood ratio tests of the order. They are based on two estimators which are proved to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Antoine Chambaz

In finite mixtures of location-scale distributions, if there is no constraint or penalty on the parameters, then the maximum likelihood estimator does not exist because the likelihood is unbounded. To avoid this problem, we consider a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-04 Kentaro Tanaka

In this article, model selection via penalized empirical loss minimization in nonparametric classification problems is studied. Data-dependent penalties are constructed, which are based on estimates of the complexity of a small subclass of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Gabor Lugosi , Marten Wegkamp

Skew normal mixture models provide a more flexible framework than the popular normal mixtures for modelling heterogeneous data with asymmetric behaviors. Due to the unboundedness of likelihood function and the divergency of shape…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-05 Libin Jin , Wangli Xu , Liping Zhu , Lixing Zhu

Information theoretic criteria (ITC) have been widely adopted in engineering and statistics for selecting, among an ordered set of candidate models, the one that better fits the observed sample data. The selected model minimizes a penalized…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-10 Andrea Mariani , Andrea Giorgetti , Marco Chiani

A permutation $\sigma$ describing the relative orders of the first $n$ iterates of a point $x$ under a self-map $f$ of the interval $I=[0,1]$ is called an \emph{order pattern}. For fixed $f$ and $n$, measuring the points $x\in I$ (according…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2010-03-30 Aaron Abrams , Eric Babson , Henry Landau , Zeph Landau , James Pommersheim

In the context of Structural Risk Minimization, one is presented a sequence of classes $\{\mathcal{G}_j\}$ from which, given a random sample $(X_i,Y_i)$ one wants to choose a strongly consistent estimator. For certain types of classes of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-12 Fabián Latorre

Multivariate normal mixtures provide a flexible model for high-dimensional data. They are widely used in statistical genetics, statistical finance, and other disciplines. Due to the unboundedness of the likelihood function, classical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-05-27 Jiahua Chen , Xianming Tan

We consider the segmentation problem of univariate distributions from the exponential family with multiple parameters. In segmentation, the choice of the number of segments remains a difficult issue due to the discrete nature of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-27 Alice Cleynen , Emilie Lebarbier

Consider bivariate observations $(X_1,Y_1), \ldots, (X_n,Y_n) \in \mathbb{R}\times \mathbb{R}$ with unknown conditional distributions $Q_x$ of $Y$, given that $X = x$. The goal is to estimate these distributions under the sole assumption…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-31 Alexandre Mösching , Lutz Duembgen

The purpose of this article is to develop a general parametric estimation theory that allows the derivation of the limit distribution of estimators in non-regular models where the true parameter value may lie on the boundary of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-28 Junichiro Yoshida , Nakahiro Yoshida

Finite mixture models are ubiquitous in modern statistical modeling, and a recurring practical issue is choosing the model order. In \citet[Sankhy\=a Series A, \textbf62, pp. 49--66]{keribin2000consistent}, the Bayesian information…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Hien Duy Nguyen , TrungTin Nguyen

Logistic regression models for binomial responses are routinely used in statistical practice. However, the maximum likelihood estimate may not exist due to data separability. We address this issue by considering a conjugate prior penalty…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-18 Tommaso Rigon , Emanuele Aliverti

We develop a constant-tracking likelihood theory for two nonregular models: the folded normal and finite Gaussian mixtures. For the folded normal, we prove boundary coercivity for the profiled likelihood, show that the profile path of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Koustav Mallik

Inference based on the penalized density ratio model is proposed and studied. The model under consideration is specified by assuming that the log--likelihood function of two unknown densities is of some parametric form. The model has been…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-07-17 Konstantinos Fokianos

An estimate of the order of approximation in the central limit theorem for strictly stationary associated random variables with finite moments of order q > 2 is obtained. A moderate deviation result is also obtained. We have a refinement of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-19 M. Sreehari

A new family of penalty functions, adaptive to likelihood, is introduced for model selection in general regression models. It arises naturally through assuming certain types of prior distribution on the regression parameters. To study…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-26 Yang Feng , Tengfei Li , Zhiliang Ying

Fix a modulus $q$. One would expect the number of primes in each invertible residue class mod $q$ to be multinomially distributed, i.e. for each $p \,\mathrm{mod}\, q$ to behave like an independent random variable uniform on…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-30 Alex Cowan

We introduce a general random model of a combinatorial optimization problem with geometric structure that encapsulates both linear programming and integer linear programming. Let $Q$ be a bounded set called the feasible set, $E$ be an…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-25 Dylan J. Altschuler
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