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We consider continuous-time random walk models described by arbitrary sojourn time probability density functions. We find a general expression for the distribution of time-averaged observables for such systems, generalizing some recent…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-09-10 Alberto Saa , Roberto Venegeroles

We consider the first exit time of a nonnegative Harris-recurrent Markov process from the interval $[0,A]$ as $A\to\infty$. We provide an alternative method of proof of asymptotic exponentiality of the first exit time (suitably…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-07 Moshe Pollak , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

We study exit times from a set for a family of multivariate autoregressive processes with normally distributed noise. By using the large deviation principle, and other methods, we show that the asymptotic behavior of the exit time depends…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-12 Brita Jung

We define the probability structure of a continuous-time time-homogeneous Markov jump process, on a finite graph, that represents the continuous-time counterpart of the so-called Ruelle-Bowen discrete-time random walk. It constitutes the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Yongxin Chen , Tryphon T. Georgiou , Michele Pavon

We consider weighted graphs satisfying sub-Gaussian estimate for the natural random walk. On such graphs, we study symmetric Markov chains with heavy tailed jumps. We establish a threshold behavior of such Markov chains when the index…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-03 Mathav Murugan , Laurent Saloff-Coste

We investigate the convergence of hitting times for jump-diffusion processes. Specifically, we study a sequence of stochastic differential equations with jumps. Under reasonable assumptions, we establish the convergence of solutions to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-09 Georgiy Shevchenko

We study a class of discrete-time random walks in $\mathbb{R}^d$ whose conditional drift decays polynomially in time and grows polynomially with the distance from the origin to the current position. This class is related to several models…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Ngo P. N. Ngoc , Tuan-Minh Nguyen

In order to approximate the exit time of a one-dimensional diffusion process, we propose an algorithm based on a random walk. Such an algorithm was already introduced in both the Brownian context and in the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck context. Here…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-12 Samuel Herrmann , Nicolas Massin

We consider integer-valued random walks with independent but not identically distributed increments, and extend to this context several classical estimates, including a local limit theorem, precise small-ball estimates (both conditional on…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Sébastien Ott , Yvan Velenik

We study quantitative asymptotics of planar random walks that are spatially non-homogeneous but whose mean drifts have some regularity. Specifically, we study the first exit time $\tau_\alpha$ from a wedge with apex at the origin and…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-27 Iain M. MacPhee , Mikhail V. Menshikov , Andrew R. Wade

We give a complete and unified description -- under some stability assumptions -- of the functional scaling limits associated with some persistent random walks for which the recurrent or transient type is studied in [1]. As a result, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-02 Peggy Cénac , Arnaud Le Ny , Basile De Loynes , Yoann Offret

The distribution of exit times is computed for a Brownian particle in spherically symmetric two- dimensional domains (disks, angular sectors, annuli) and in rectangles that contain an exit on their boundary. The governing partial…

Computational Physics · Physics 2014-09-29 J. -F. Rupprecht , O. Bénichou , D. S. Grebenkov , R. Voituriez

New results on conditional joint probability distributions of first exit times are presented for a continuous-time stochastic process defined as the mixture of Markov jump processes moving at different speeds on the same finite state space,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-19 B. A. Surya

We study the gambler's ruin problem for the Elephant Random Walk, focusing on escape time from a symmetric interval of the form $\{-N, \ldots, N\}$. As our main result, we derive tight exponential bounds for the tail of this escape time. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Morgan André , Leonel Zuaznábar

The mean first exit time and escape probability are utilized to quantify dynamical behaviors of stochastic differential equations with non-Gaussian alpha-stable type Levy motions. Both deterministic quantities are characterized by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-01-31 Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan , Xiaofan Li , Renming Song

Random walks find applications in many areas of science and are the heart of essential network analytic tools. When defined on temporal networks, even basic random walk models may exhibit a rich spectrum of behaviours, due to the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-11-11 Julien Petit , Renaud Lambiotte , Timoteo Carletti

We investigate fluid transport in random velocity fields with unsteady drift. First, we propose to quantify fluid transport between flow regimes of different characteristic motion, by escape probability and mean residence time. We then…

chao-dyn · Physics 2007-05-23 Jinqiao Duan , James Brannan , Vincent Ervin

Let $X$ be the constrained random walk on ${\mathbb Z}_+^2$ having increments $(1,0)$, $(-1,1)$, $(0,-1)$ with jump probabilities $\lambda(M_k)$, $\mu_1(M_k)$, and $\mu_2(M_k)$ where $M$ is an irreducible aperiodic finite state Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Fatma Başoğlu Kabran , Ali Devin Sezer

We consider multidimensional discrete valued random walks with nonzero drift killed when leaving general cones of the euclidian space. We find the asymptotics for the exit time from the cone and study weak convergence of the process…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-11 Jetlir Duraj

We consider a discrete-time random walk where the random increment at time step $t$ depends on the full history of the process. We calculate exactly the mean and variance of the position and discuss its dependence on the initial condition…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Gunter M. Schütz , Steffen Trimper