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This study conducts a comparative analysis of stochastic and deterministic models to better understand the dynamics of the HIV epidemic across genders. By incorporating gender-specific transmission probabilities and treatment uptake rates,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-30 Nuzhat Nuari Khan Rivu , Md Kamrujjaman , Shohel Ahmed

This paper introduces a high-dimensional binary variate model that accommodates nonstationary covariates and factors, and studies their asymptotic theory. This framework encompasses scenarios where single indices are nonstationary or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-29 Xinbing Kong , Bin Wu , Wuyi Ye

Methods are lacking to handle the problem of survival analysis in the presence of an interval-censored covariate, specifically the case in which the conditional hazard of the primary event of interest depends on the occurrence of a…

HIV-1 can disseminate between susceptible cells by two mechanisms: cell-free infection following fluid-phase diffusion of virions and by highly-efficient direct cell-to-cell transmission at immune cell contacts. The contribution of this…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-01-02 Changwang Zhang , Shi Zhou , Elisabetta Groppelli , Pierre Pellegrino , Ian Williams , Persephone Borrow , Benjamin M. Chain , Clare Jolly

In this paper, the mathematical model of HIV infection for CD8+ T-cells is illustrated. The homotopy analysis method and the Laplace transformations are combined for solving this model. Also, the convergence theorem is proved to demonstrate…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-07-03 Samad Noeiaghdam , Emran Khoshrouye Ghiasi

Heterogeneity is a dominant factor in the behaviour of many biological processes. Despite this, it is common for mathematical and statistical analyses to ignore biological heterogeneity as a source of variability in experimental data.…

This paper introduces a novel hybrid model combining Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) and Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs) to simulate infectious disease dynamics across geographic regions. By leveraging the spatial detail of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Kristina Kehrer , Martin Weiser , Tim Conrad

An optimal dynamic treatment regime (DTR) is a sequence of decision rules aimed at providing the best course of treatments individualized to patients. While conventional DTR estimation uses longitudinal data, such data can also be…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-06 Larry Dong , Eleanor Pullenayegum , Rodolphe Thiébaut , Olli Saarela

The inherent complexity of biological agents often leads to motility behavior that appears to have random components. Robust stochastic inference methods are therefore required to understand and predict the motion patterns from time…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-11-14 Jan Albrecht , Manfred Opper , Robert Großmann

We consider statistical inference for a class of dynamic mixed-effect models described by stochastic differential equations whose drift and diffusion coefficients simultaneously depend on fixed- and random-effect parameters. Assuming that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Maud Delattre , Hiroki Masuda

Many event sequence data exhibit mutually exciting or inhibiting patterns. Reliable detection of such temporal dependency is crucial for scientific investigation. The de facto model is the Multivariate Hawkes Process (MHP), whose impact…

Applications · Statistics 2023-05-31 Yu Chen , Fengpei Li , Anderson Schneider , Yuriy Nevmyvaka , Asohan Amarasingham , Henry Lam

The minimum description length (MDL) principle states that the best model to account for some data minimizes the sum of the lengths, in bits, of the descriptions of the model and the residual error. The description length is thus a…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-07-21 Peter T. Hraber , Bette T. Korber , Steven Wolinsky , Henry A. Erlich , Elizabeth A. Trachtenberg , Thomas B. Kepler

Mathematical modelling is a widely used approach to understand and interpret clinical trial data. This modelling typically involves fitting mechanistic mathematical models to data from individual trial participants. Despite the widespread…

HIV is a retrovirus that attacks the human immune system and can lead to death without proper treatment. In collaboration with the WHO and Wits University, we study how to improve the efficiency of HIV testing with the goal of eventual…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-01-26 Akseli Kangaslahti , Davin Choo , Lingkai Kong , Milind Tambe , Alastair van Heerden , Cheryl Johnson

Finding a set of nested partitions of a dataset is useful to uncover relevant structure at different scales, and is often dealt with a data-dependent methodology. In this paper, we introduce a general two-step methodology for model-based…

Computation · Statistics 2021-04-22 Etienne Côme , Nicolas Jouvin , Pierre Latouche , Charles Bouveyron

HIV transmission within serodiscordant couples remains a significant public health challenge, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa. Estimating the rate of such infection, alongside the rates of introduction of infection from outside the…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-05 Irene García Muñoz , Ian Hall , Thomas House

We consider a Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) model with a logistic growth term and continue the analysis of the previous article [6]. We now take the viral diffusion in a two-dimensional environment. The model consists of two ODEs for…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2012-11-02 Claude-Michel Brauner , Xinyue Fan , Luca Lorenzi

We introduce the Hyperedge-triggered Hawkes (HTH) process for inferring higher-order interaction structure in multi-cellular systems from asynchronous event-time data. Beyond standard pairwise excitation, the HTH intensity includes a term…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-27 Zihan Xu

Hybrid systems are traditionally difficult to identify and analyze using classical dynamical systems theory. Moreover, recently developed model identification methodologies largely focus on identifying a single set of governing equations…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-06-19 Niall M Mangan , Travis Askham , Steven L Brunton , J Nathan Kutz , Joshua L Proctor

Causal inference literature has extensively focused on binary treatments, with relatively fewer methods developed for multi-valued treatments. In particular, methods for multiple simultaneously assigned treatments remain understudied…

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