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Vaccination policies play a central role in public health interventions and models are often used to assess the effectiveness of these policies. Many vaccines are leaky, in which case the observed vaccine effectiveness depends on the force…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-21 Gray Manicom , Emily Harvey , Joshua Looker , David Wu , Oliver Maclaren , Dion O' Neale

This paper reports a case study of an application of high-resolution agent-based modeling and simulation to pandemic response planning on a university campus. In the summer of 2020, we were tasked with a COVID-19 pandemic response project…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-11-11 Hiroki Sayama , Shun Cao

Pandemics, in addition to affecting the health of populations, can have huge impacts on their social and economic behavior. These factors, on the other hand, have the potential to feed back to and influence the disease spreading. It is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-09-28 Jan E. Snellman , Rafael A. Barrio , Kimmo K. Kaski , Maarit J. Korpi--Lagg

Agent-based simulators (ABS) are a popular epidemiological modelling tool to study the impact of various non-pharmaceutical interventions in managing an epidemic in a city (or a region). They provide the flexibility to accurately model a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-13 Daksh Mittal , Sandeep Juneja

Confirmed cases during the early stage of the 2009 H1N1 pdm in various countries showed an age shift between importations and local transmission cases, with adults mainly responsible for seeding unaffected regions and children most…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-04-18 Andrea Apolloni , Chiara Poletto , Vittoria Colizza

Agent-based models have been employed to describe numerous processes in immunology. Simulations based on these types of models have been used to enhance our understanding of immunology and disease pathology. We review various agent-based…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2017-12-05 Amy L. Bauer , Catherine A. A. Beauchemin , Alan S. Perelson

For a two-dimensional system of agents modeled by molecular dynamics, we simulate epidemics spreading, which was recently studied on complex networks. Our resulting network model is time-evolving. We study the transitions to spreading as…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 M. C. Gonzalez , H. J. Herrmann

The accurate forecasting of infectious epidemic diseases such as influenza is a crucial task undertaken by medical institutions. Although numerous flu forecasting methods and models based mainly on historical flu activity data and online…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-08 Taichi Murayama , Shoko Wakamiya , Eiji Aramaki

Critical infrastructures face demanding challenges due to natural and human-generated threats, such as pandemics, workforce shortages or cyber-attacks, which might severely compromise service quality. To improve system resilience,…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-02-11 David Carramiñana , Ana M. Bernardos , Juan A. Besada , José R. Casar

Epidemics seldom occur as isolated phenomena. Typically, two or more viral agents spread within the same host population and may interact dynamically with each other. We present a general model where two viral agents interact via an…

In this article, we focus on the analysis of the potential factors driving the spread of influenza, and possible policies to mitigate the adverse effects of the disease. To be precise, we first invoke discrete Fourier transform (DFT) to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-09 Ziming Liu , Yixuan Wang , Zizhao Han , Dian Wu

Agent-based modeling is a computational dynamic modeling technique that may be less familiar to some readers. Agent-based modeling seeks to understand the behaviour of complex systems by situating agents in an environment and studying the…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-04-19 G. Wade McDonald , Nathaniel D. Osgood

In this survey we report some recent results in the mathematical modeling of epidemic phenomena through the use of kinetic equations. We initially consider models of interaction between agents in which social characteristics play a key role…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-11 Giacomo Albi , Giulia Bertaglia , Walter Boscheri , Giacomo Dimarco , Lorenzo Pareschi , Giuseppe Toscani , Mattia Zanella

The phenomenon of brain drain, that is the emigration of highly skilled people, has many undesirable effects, particularly for developing countries. In this study, an agent-based model is developed to understand the dynamics of such…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-30 Furkan Gürsoy , Bertan Badur

A complex system is made up of many components with many interactions. So the design of systems such as simulation systems, cooperative systems or assistance systems includes a very accurate modelling of interactional and communicational…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2012-01-19 Alain-Jérôme Fougères

This paper is concerned with developing mean-field game models for the evolution of epidemics. Specifically, an agent's decision -- to be socially active in the midst of an epidemic -- is modeled as a mean-field game with health-related…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-23 S. Yagiz Olmez , Shubham Aggarwal , Jin Won Kim , Erik Miehling , Tamer Başar , Matthew West , Prashant G. Mehta

We develop a multiple compartment Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model to analyze the spread of several infectious diseases through different geographic areas. Additionally, we propose a data-quality sensitive optimization framework…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-06-21 Inbar Seroussi , Nir Levy , Daniela Paolotti , Nir Sochen , Elad Yom-Tov

Aedes Aegypti is the vector of several deadly diseases, including Zika. Effective and sustainable vector control measures must be deployed to keep A. aegypti numbers under control. The distribution of A. Aegypti is subject to spatial and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-08-05 Chathika Gunaratne , Mustafa Ilhan Akbas , Ivan Garibay , Ozlem Ozmen

Global problems, such as pandemics and climate change, require rapid international coordination and diffusion of policy. These phenomena are rare however, with one notable example being the international policy response to the COVID-19…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-02-23 Yannick Oswald , Nick Malleson , Keiran Suchak

Pandemics have the potential to cause immense disruption and damage to communities and societies. In this paper, we propose a hybrid model to determine how the pandemic spread through the world. The model combines the SEIR-based model for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-06-02 Teruhiko Yoneyama , Mukkai S. Krishnamoorthy