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The forward estimation problem for stationary and ergodic time series $\{X_n\}_{n=0}^{\infty}$ taking values from a finite alphabet ${\cal X}$ is to estimate the probability that $X_{n+1}=x$ based on the observations $X_i$, $0\le i\le n$…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-13 Gusztav Morvai , Benjamin Weiss

In this paper, we study the pointwise convergence of centain continuous-time polynomial ergodic averages. Our approach is based on the topological models of measurable flows. One of the main results of this paper is as follows: Let $a\in…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-02-14 Wen Huang , Song Shao , Rongzhong Xiao

Canonical characterization techniques that rely upon mean squared displacement ($\mathrm{MSD}$) break down for non-ergodic processes, making it challenging to characterize anomalous diffusion from an individual time-series measurement.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-02-21 Madhur Mangalam , Ralf Metzler , Damian G. Kelty-Stephen

As the title says we want to answer the question; how and why does statistical mechanics work? As we know from the most used prescription of Gibbs we calculate the phase space averages of dynamical quantities and we find that these phase…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-03-19 Navinder Singh

Statistical ensembles of networks, i.e., probability spaces of all networks that are consistent with given aggregate statistics, have become instrumental in the analysis of complex networks. Their numerical and analytical study provides the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-08-09 Giona Casiraghi , Vahan Nanumyan , Ingo Scholtes , Frank Schweitzer

We consider the extreme value statistics of correlated random variables that arise from a Langevin equation. Recently, it was shown that the extreme values of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process follow a different distribution than those…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-17 Lior Zarfaty , Eli Barkai , David A. Kessler

We refer by threshold Ornstein-Uhlenbeck to a continuous-time threshold autoregressive process. It follows the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck dynamics when above or below a fixed level, yet at this level (threshold) its coefficients can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-07 Sara Mazzonetto , Paolo Pigato

Nonstandard ergodic averages can be defined for a measure-preserving action of a group on a probability space, as a natural extension of classical (nonstandard) ergodic averages. We extend the one-dimensional theory, obtaining L^1 pointwise…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-06-21 Patrick LaVictoire , Andrew Parrish , Joseph Rosenblatt

We consider ergodic multiflows on a probability space. The general theorem on universal averaging for multiflows is applied to averaging along manifolds in $R^n$.

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-05-14 I. V. Bychkov , V. V. Ryzhikov

Heterogeneous diffusion processes can be well described by an overdamped Langevin equation with space-dependent diffusivity $D(x)$. We investigate the ergodic and non-ergodic behavior of these processes in an arbitrary potential well $U(x)$…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-05-01 Xudong Wang , Weihua Deng , Yao Chen

Dynamical ensembles have been introduced to study constrained stochastic processes. In the microcanonical ensemble, the value of a dynamical observable is constrained to a given value. In the canonical ensemble a bias is introduced in the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-11-14 Hadrien Vroylandt , Gatien Verley

It is shown that the families of generalized matrix ensembles recently considered which give rise to an orthogonal invariant stable L\'{e}vy ensemble can be generated by the simple procedure of dividing Gaussian matrices by a random…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 O. Bohigas , J. X. de Carvalho , M. P. Pato

We study the asymptotic properties of the trajectories of a discrete-time random dynamical system in an infinite-dimensional Hilbert space. Under some natural assumptions on the model, we establish a multiplica-tive ergodic theorem with an…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Davit Martirosyan , Vahagn Nersesyan

Let $a_n$ be the random increasing sequence of natural numbers which takes each value independently with probability $n^{-a}$, $0 < a < 1/2$, and let $p(n) = n^{1+\epsilon}$, $0 < \epsilon < 1$. We prove that, almost surely, for every…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-06-27 Ben Krause , Pavel Zorin-Kranich

We consider when there is absolute or unconditional convergence of series of various types of stochastic processes. These processes include differences of averages in ergodic theory and harmonic analysis, like the classical Cesaro average…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-01-17 Bryan Johnson , Joseph Rosenblatt

The appealing theoretical measure of irreversibility in a stochastic process, as the ratio of the probabilities of a trajectory and its time reversal, cannot be accessed directly in experiment since the probability of a single trajectory is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-04-14 Julian Kappler , Ronojoy Adhikari

Let $T$ be an ergodic measure-preserving transformation on a non-atomic probability space $(X,\Sigma,\mu)$. We prove uniform extensions of the Wiener-Wintner theorem in two settings: For averages involving weights coming from Hardy field…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Tanja Eisner , Ben Krause

The classical Birkhoff ergodic theorem states that for an ergodic Markov process the limiting behaviour of the time average of a function (having finite $p$-th moment, $p\ge1$, with respect to the invariant measure) along the trajectories…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-13 Nikola Sandrić

For an isolated generic quantum system out of equilibrium, the long time average of observables is given by the diagonal ensemble, i.e. the mixed state with the same probability for energy eigenstates as the initial state but without…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-03-17 Aslı Çakan , J. Ignacio Cirac , Mari Carmen Bañuls

Let $M$ be a semifinite von Neumann algebra and $T$ a positive contraction on both $L^1(M)$ and $L^\infty(M)$. We consider ergodic averages along a random sparse subsequence determined by independent Bernoulli variables $(X_n)_{n\geq 1}$…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2026-04-29 Christian Le Merdy , Safoura Zadeh